EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.45; (P) 153.84; (R1) 155.50; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline accelerates to as low as 151.39 so far and intraday bias stays on the downside. The break of 153.32 could have completed a double top pattern (157.99, 158.03). Deeper fall is now expected as long as 154.91 minor resistance holds. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 157.99 at 150.77. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 146.30. On the upside, above 154.91 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway. Deeper decline would be seen to 55 W EMA (now at 145.19).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.63; (P) 117.90; (R1) 118.22; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 117.51 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 119.87 resistance intact. Break of 117.51 will resume the large down trend to 114.84 support next. However, break of 119.87 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 120.67).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.19; (P) 160.59; (R1) 160.96; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again with current recovery. On the downside, below 160.20 will resume the fall from 163.70 to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break there will indicate that fall from 163.70 is reversing whole rise from 153.13, and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. On the upside, though, above 162.16 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.10; (P) 128.51; (R1) 129.09; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range of 127.49/129.10 and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds. On the downside, below 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.20; (P) 131.00; (R1) 131.43; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as it’s staying in consolidation between 128.94 and 132.40. Near term outlook also stays bearish and another decline is expected. On the downside break of 128.94 will extend the whole fall from 137.49 to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. Nonetheless, break of 132.40 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. Sustained break there would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 119.90. On the upside, break of 132.40 resistance will indicate that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 137.49. But still, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, outlook is neutral at best for consolidations.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.87; (P) 129.08; (R1) 129.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the upside and further recovery could be seen. But after all, price actions from 127.49 are seen as a corrective pattern. And, near term outlook remains mildly bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds. On the downside, below 128.24 minor support will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.88; (P) 169.01; (R1) 169.74; More

EUR/JPY is still bounded in sideway trading and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 168.01 support will strengthen the case that rise from 164.31 has completed at 170.78 already. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 167.31 support, and then 164.01. Nevertheless, break of 170.87 will resume the rally to retest 171.58 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium top was formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). But as long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.51) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.29; (P) 134.99; (R1) 135.40; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point, as consolidation from 137.49 is still extending. With 133.70 minor support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.17; (P) 126.34; (R1) 126.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 126.74 continues. Break of 126.74 will put focus on 127.07 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. In any case, outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 125.13 resistance turned support holds, in case of another retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.24; (P) 126.15; (R1) 126.74; More….

EUR/JPY dives to as low as 123.88 so far today and is now pressing 124.08 key support. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Decisive break of 124.08 will carry larger bearish implication and target 119.90 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 125.52 support turned resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, with the current decline, focus would be back on 124.08 key resistance turn support. Decisive break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90. Meanwhile, strong rebound from 124.08, followed by break of 129.25 resistance will retain medium term bullishness. Rise could 109.03 could still extend through 137.49 resistance in that case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.78; (P) 130.27; (R1) 130.67; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 129.90 argues that rise from 124.61 has completed at 131.97 already, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 127.13 support first. Break there will confirm this bearish case and target 124.61 low. On the upside, break of 131.97 is now needed to indicate resumption of rise from 127.13. Otherwise, risk will stay mildly on the downside even in case of rebound.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there has completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.83; (P) 129.63; (R1) 130.02; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 128.72 so far today. The break of 129.10 indicates resumption of fall from 131.97. It also revives the case that corrective rise from 124.61 has completed with three waves up to 131.97. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 127.13 support first. Break there will pave the way to 124.61 low. ON the upside, break of 131.13 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 131.97. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, for now, medium outlook remains cautiously bullish. the three wave structure of the fall from 137.49 to 124.61 argues that it’s a correction. Also, 124.08 key resistance turned support was defended. Break of 133.47 resistance will affirm the bullish case that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress for another high above 137.49. And this will remain the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.55; (P) 123.88; (R1) 124.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first and further rise is expected. On the upside, firm break of 124.43 will resume the rise from 114.42 to 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. On the downside, however, break of 121.96 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31 support instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.80) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.94; (P) 164.17; (R1) 164.39; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidations below 165.33. Downside of current retreat should be contained by 55 4H EMA (now at 163.57) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 153.15 to 163.70 from 160.20 at 166.71. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will turn bias to the downside for deeper fall to 160.20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.52; (P) 121.95; (R1) 122.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside as corrective fall from 122.87 short term top is in progress. for 55 day EMA (now at 121.22). Break there will target 120.17 structural support. On the upside, break of 122.87 will extend larger rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.23).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.99; (P) 128.52; (R1) 129.28; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is neutral for consolidation above 127.49 temporary low. Another fall is expected as long as 130.14 resistance holds. On the downside, below 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.61/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.91; (P) 131.60; (R1) 132.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. In case of another rise, we’ll stay cautious on strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45 to finish the corrective rise from 129.34. Below 130.95 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 129.34. Break of 129.34 will resume the whole decline from 137.49 to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level. Nonetheless, sustained break of 132.45 will target 61.8% retracement at 134.37 first, before resuming the fall from 137.49.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.61; (P) 155.38; (R1) 156.58; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for retesting 157.99 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 153.32 will extend the pull back from 157.99 to 55 D EMA (now at 152.62) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.89; (P) 129.16; (R1) 129.49; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and more consolidations could be seen. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 high will resume larger up trend from 114.42. On the downside, below 128.28 will extend the correction from 130.65. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.60; (P) 124.87; (R1) 125.34; More…

EUR/JPY surges to as high as 126.24 and broke 125.80/126.09 resistance zone. The development indicates resumption of rise from 114.84 and that from 109.03. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. On the downside, below 124.73 minor support will turn bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart