EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.62; (P) 132.00; (R1) 132.39; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current retreat, and some consolidations could be seen. But downside should be contained well above 129.57 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 132.35 will extend the whole rise from 114.42, for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

 

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.96; (P) 132.51; (R1) 132.83; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidative trading below 134.39 high. Near term outlook remains bullish as long as 131.69 holds. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will extend larger up trend to 141.04 resistance next. However, break of 131.69 will be an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level instead.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.77; (P) 138.70; (R1) 139.19; More….

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly today but stays below 142.84 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 138.00 support should resume whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. however, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.71; (P) 128.25; (R1) 128.93; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Current correction from 131.39 correcting whole rise from 141.84 with break of channel support. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 131.39 at 125.05 before completion. On the upside, break of 130.38 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the pull back. Otherwise, deeper decline is expected even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.57; (P) 129.04; (R1) 129.49; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 130.76 short term top. Deeper fall might be seen. But downside should be contained by 127.43 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 130.76 at 127.56) and bring rebound. Above 130.76 will extend the larger rally to next key fibonacci level at 134.20.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.91; (P) 130.21; (R1) 130.61; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 129.56 minor support will extend the consolidation from 130.65 with another fall. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 128.28 support. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 will resume the whole rally from 114.42, for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.82; (P) 166.19; (R1) 166.73; More

EUR/JPY’s break of 55 4H EMA (now at 166.14) suggests that pull back from 171.58 has completed at 164.01 already. Rebound from there is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 168.64 resistance. On the downside, break of 164.01 will resume the correction from 171.58 instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 157.82) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.66; (P) 128.13; (R1) 128.82; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 128.82 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained by 126.47 support to bring rise resumption. Above 128.82 will target 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 first . That’s also close to medium term projection level at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.25; (P) 130.03; (R1) 130.47; More…

EUR/JPY’s sharp fall and break of 129.83 minor support confirms short term topping at 131.39 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 127.95 to contain downside and bring rebound. But break of 131.39 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more consolidative trading is expected with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, firm break of 127.5 will bring deeper decline to 125.80 resistance turned support before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.28; (P) 121.49; (R1) 121.84; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. With 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05) intact, near term outlook stays bullish for further rally. On the upside, break of 122.65 will resume rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 119.99 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 118.45.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.49) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.76; (P) 132.48; (R1) 132.91; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in the corrective pattern from 134.48 and outlook is unchanged. As long as 134.48 key resistance holds, risk remains on the downside for deeper pull back. Break of 131.16 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 134.48 at 126.97, which is close to 127.55 support. We’ll look for support from there to bring rebound on first attempt.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.82; (P) 161.82; (R1) 163.07; More

EUR/JPY recovered after dipping to 160.54 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, below 160.54 will resume the fall from 163.70 to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break there will indicate that fall from 163.70 is reversing whole rise from 153.13, and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. On the upside, sustained break of 55 4H MACD (now at 162.46) will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.41; (P) 129.56; (R1) 129.73; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.58 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. With 131.07 resistance intact, outlook stays bearish. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.80; (P) 131.20; (R1) 131.55; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in correction from 133.44 and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 132.55 minor resistance will bring retest of 133.44 first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. However, firm break of 130.45 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall back to 127.91 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.98; (P) 120.65; (R1) 121.10; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. We’re holding on to the view that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 119.32 already. Above 121.32 will turn bias to the upside for 123.30 resistance. Break of 123.30 will likely extend the whole medium term rise from 109.20 through 124.08 high. Below 119.32 will bring another fall. In that case, downside should be contained by 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.25; (P) 128.88; (R1) 129.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 127.91 support there will resume the whole decline from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, though, break of 130.45 resistance will now argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.79; (P) 143.90; (R1) 144.75; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. Break of 142.52 support will extend the decline from 148.38, to 61.8% retracement of 133.38 to 148.38 at 139.11. On the upside, though, above 146.12 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound back to retest 148.38 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.25; (P) 130.38; (R1) 130.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 130.73 temporary top. Further rise expected as long as 129.14 support holds. Corrective fall from 134.11 could have completed at 127.91 already. On the upside, break of 130.73 will resume the rebound from 127.91 to 132.68 resistance next. However, break of 129.14 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 127.91 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.42; (P) 121.86; (R1) 122.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation form 122.65 is extending. . Downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.33).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.62; (P) 132.37; (R1) 132.74; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best. On the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart