EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.42; (P) 120.86; (R1) 121.13; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 121.46 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 119.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.00). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.53; (P) 117.93; (R1) 118.53; More…..

EUR/JPY’s rise from 114.42 resumes today by taking out 118.52 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should at least be corrective the fall from 122.87. Next target will be 121.14 resistance first. On the downside, though, break of 117.11 support will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/JPY is staying well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.19; (P) 120.50; (R1) 120.90; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 121.01 will bring retest of 121.46 resistance. On the downside, below 120.10 will target 119.24 support. Overall, as long as 119.11 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Larger rise from 115.86 is still in favor to resume through 121.46 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.63; (P) 119.07; (R1) 119.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. . Further rise is still in favor as long as 117.55 minor support holds. Above 120.01 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. Sustained break will target 123.35 key resistance. On the downside, break of 117.55 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 115.86.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.68; (P) 136.37; (R1) 137.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound last week was limited below 136.36 and retreated. As it’s bounded in range of 133.03/136.63, initial bias remains neutral this week first. For the moment, outlook stays bullish as long as 133.03 support holds and another rise is in favor. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, on the downside, break of 133.03 will have 55 day EMA and medium term channel support firmly taken out. Also, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD too, that will suggest medium term reversal. Deeper fall should then be seen to 132.04 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11 (2012 low). Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.35; (P) 144.90; (R1) 145.23; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 145.55 is extending. Further rally is expected as long as 142.13 support holds. Corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Break of 145.55 will resume the rise from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance and then 148.38 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.42) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.79; (P) 138.65; (R1) 139.91; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first, as it lost momentum after hitting 137.32. On the downside, break of 137.32 will resume the decline from 145.62 to 133.38 key support next. On the upside, though, break of 142.28 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 145.62 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.02; (P) 126.29; (R1) 126.79; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remain son the upside for 127.07 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level On the upside, break of 125.13 resistance turned support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in range above 118.37 last week and outlook is unchanged. With 121.39 resistance intact, further decline is still expected. Break of 118.37 will resume the fall from 122.87 to 100% projection of 122.87 to 118.46 from 121.39 at 116.98 next. However, firm break of 121.39 will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 122.87 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.13), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.42; (P) 168.61; (R1) 169.69; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 167.43) will extend the fall from 170.87, as the third leg of the pattern from 151.58, to 164.01 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 170.12 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.51) holds, price actions from 171.58 medium term top are seen as as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue as a later stage. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.72; (P) 157.11; (R1) 157.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat but outlook is unchanged. Decisive break of 157.99/158.03 will resume larger up trend to 162.82 projection level next. However, break of 155.10 will extend the corrective pattern from 157.99 with another falling leg instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway. Deeper decline would be seen to 55 W EMA (now at 145.56).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.99; (P) 127.67; (R1) 128.08; More….

EUR/JPY is staying above 16.63 minor support and intraday bias remains neutral first. Break of 126.62 will resume the fall from 130.33 and target a test on 124.61 low. This will also affirm the case that larger decline from 137.49 is still in progress. On the upside, break of 130.33 resistance will confirm resumption of rise from 124.61. That will also revive the case of near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 133.47 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.77; (P) 119.05; (R1) 121.21; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Near term outlook is neutral for now after drawing notable support from 115.86 low. On the upside, firm break of 121.39 will pave the way to 112.87 resistance next. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.34; (P) 136.07; (R1) 137.48; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 139.99 could still extend lower. On the downside, break of 132.63 will resume the fall and target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. On the upside, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.46; (P) 169.09; (R1) 170.15; More….

EUR/JPY recovers after dipping to 168.01 and intraday bias is turned neutral. Nevertheless, current development suggests that rebound from 164.31 has completed at 170.81. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 170.87 resistance holds. Below 168.01 will target 167.31 support first. Break there will target 164.01 support next.

In the bigger picture, a medium top was formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). But as long as 55 W EMA (now at 166.81) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.39; (P) 125.67; (R1) 125.98; More….

EUR/JPY lost momentum against after hitting 125.95 and intraday bias si turned neutral first. In case of another rally, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 55 day EMA (now at 126.11) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 124.36 support will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias to the downside. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will pave the way back to 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.00; (P) 141.54; (R1) 142.61; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.62) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.01; (P) 121.52; (R1) 121.84; More…

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook as the consolidation from 124.08 is still unfolding. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. On the downside, below 120.54 will target 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). In that case, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.31; (P) 136.98; (R1) 137.43; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral and consolidation from 139.99 could extend further. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.