EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.05; (P) 126.31; (R1) 126.56; More….

EUR/JPY is remaining in consolidation from 127.22 and intraday bias stays neutral first. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 125.92 support holds. Break of 127.22 will resume whole rise from 114.42 for 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 125.92 will indicate rejection by 127.07 resistance. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.79; (P) 129.44; (R1) 129.83; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 133.44 in in progress for 127.92 key support. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, however, break of 130.58 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 127.91 support will argue that a medium term top is formed, and turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.77; (P) 164.10; (R1) 164.72; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 65.33. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.13; (P) 122.45; (R1) 122.71; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 121.52 minor support to bring another rise. On the upside, break of 122.65 will extend whole rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.06). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.09; (P) 135.89; (R1) 137.28; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Corrective fall from 139.99 could still extend lower. Below 132.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. Nevertheless, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.81; (P) 135.15; (R1) 135.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is neutral for consolidation below 135.62 temporary top. Further rise is still in favor for the moment. Break of 135.62 will extend the medium term rally to 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 134.39 from 132.04 at 144.12. However, break of 4 hour 55 EMA will bring deeper pull back to 134.37 support and below.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 132.04 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back 55 week EMA (now at 128.34).

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.58; (P) 120.74; (R1) 120.91; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range below 121.01 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 121.01 will bring retest of 121.46 resistance. On the downside, below 120.10 will target 119.24 support. Overall, as long as 119.11 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Larger rise from 115.86 is still in favor to resume through 121.46 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.47; (P) 157.70; (R1) 158.06; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk will be mildly on the downside as long as 158.64 resistance holds. Break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.80) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.58; (P) 126.52; (R1) 128.32; More…

EUR/JPY retreats after hitting 127.84. A temporary top is likely formed and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Downside of consolidation should be contained by 124.64 support to bring another rally. Above 127.84 will extend the rise from 114.84 to 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 first. That’s also close to medium term projection level at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.61; (P) 131.94; (R1) 132.31; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in the corrective pattern from 134.48 short term top. Deeper fall is mildly in favor and break of 131.16 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 134.48 at 126.97, which is close to 127.55 support. We’ll look for support from there to bring rebound on first attempt. In any case, firm break of 134.48 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, near term risks remain on the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.73; (P) 130.35; (R1) 130.72; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again as it retreated after hitting 130.95. Another rise is expected as long as 129.56 minor support holds. Break of 130.95 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. However, firm break of 129.56 will turn bias back to the downside for 128.28 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.53; (P) 120.18; (R1) 120.69; More…

EUR/JPY’s fall from 122.88 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for the moment. With a break of 120.01 minor support, the cross should now target 118.39/45 key cluster level again (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). However, as such decline is viewed as part of the consolidation pattern from 124.08, we’d expect strong support from 118.39/45 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 120.81 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 122.88 and then 124.08.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09, or firm break of 118.45 cluster support, will likely extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.86; (P) 128.28; (R1) 128.63; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 134.11 should continue to 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58. On the upside, above 128.93 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.54 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.93; (P) 132.19; (R1) 132.58; More….

EUR/JPY is still extending the corrective pattern from 133.44 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper fall could be seen but downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.52; (P) 121.95; (R1) 122.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside as corrective fall from 122.87 short term top is in progress. for 55 day EMA (now at 121.22). Break there will target 120.17 structural support. On the upside, break of 122.87 will extend larger rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.23).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.06; (P) 132.72; (R1) 133.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 133.44 temporary top. Such consolidation should be brief as long as 132.13 minor support holds. Above 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62. Nevertheless, break of 132.13 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.77; (P) 164.22; (R1) 164.77; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. However, decisive break of 162.26 support will argue that it’s at least correcting the rise from 153.15, and target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 165.33 at 160.67.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.62; (P) 133.58; (R1) 134.10; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 136.63 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 132.04 support. Decisive break there will confirm medium term trend reversal. On the upside, above 134.03 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 136.63 holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should now be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.01; (P) 128.78; (R1) 129.33; More…

EUR/JPY formed a temporary low at 128.04 and recovered. The cross is drawing support from 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95 as we expected. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 129.54 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 131.39 is completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 131.39. However, sustained break of 127.95 will bring deeper decline to 125.80 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 125.82) before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.45; (P) 168.02; (R1) 168.82; More

EUR/JPY is extending consolidation from 171.58 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. Overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 165.33 resistance turned support holds. Above 171.58 will resume larger up trend to 178.39 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Decisive break of 169.96 (2008 high) will pave the way to 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.39. On the downside, break of 162.26 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.