Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.49; (P) 120.92; (R1) 121.48; More….

With 120.09 minor support intact, further rise is still in favor in EUR/JPY, for 122.87 resistance. Current development argues that larger rebound from 115.85 is still in progress. Break of 122.87 will confirm this bullish case. On the downside, however, break of 120.09 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.46 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.99; (P) 124.25; (R1) 124.79; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as the consolidation from 125.80 continues. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out down we’d expect downside to be contained by by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.92; (P) 129.36; (R1) 129.80; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 129.97 minor resistance confirms that pull back from 130.86 has completed at 127.85 already. Intraday bias turned back to the upside for 130.86. Break will resume the rise from 124.89 and target key fibonacci resistance at 132.56. On the downside, below 129.43 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turned support, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) remains in favor to continue. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.43; (P) 129.87; (R1) 130.19; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.58 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 131.07 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 128.58 will resume the fall from 134.11, and target 127.07 resistance turned support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.29; (P) 128.91; (R1) 129.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen below 129.96. Further rally is expected as long as 127.48 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.98; (P) 150.53; (R1) 150.95; More….

EUR/JPY lost momentum after edging higher to 151.05 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level. On the downside, however, break of 148.83 will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg, back towards 146.12 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.10; (P) 130.40; (R1) 130.62; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 130.73 temporary top. Further rise is expected as long as 129.75 minor support holds. Corrective fall from 134.11 could have completed at 127.91 already. On the upside, break of 130.73 will resume the rebound from 127.91 to 132.68 resistance next. However, break of 129.75 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 127.91 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.68; (P) 117.99; (R1) 118.25; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 117.51 is extending. With 119.87 resistance intact, near term outlook remains bearish. On the downside, break of 117.51 will resume the large down trend to 114.84 support next. However, break of 119.87 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 120.31).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY’s rally from 137.37 extended higher last week but formed a temporary top at 147.85 and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 145.66 resistance turned support holds. Decisive break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. However, firm break of 145.66 will indicate that corrective pattern from 148.38 has started the third leg. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 142.53 support first and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

EUR/JPY’s strong rally and break of 131.59 resistance last week confirmed resumption of rise from 127.36. Also, it revived the case that corrective pattern from 134.11 has completed with three waves down to 127.36. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for retesting 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. On the downside, below 131.20 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.33; (P) 129.02; (R1) 130.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. With break of 55 day EMA, the corrective pattern from 134.11 might have completed at 124.37 already. Further rise should be seen to 133.13/134.11 resistance zone. This will now be the mildly favored case as long as 127.40 minor support holds. Nevertheless, break of 127.40 will bring retest of 124.37 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral for now. Price actions from 134.11 are so far still seen as a corrective pattern. That is, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in favor to resume at a later stage. But before that, the corrective pattern from 134.11 could still extend further, sideway or downward. In the latter case, break of of 124.37 will target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.78; (P) 149.51; (R1) 150.57; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen, but downside should be contained by 146.85 support to bring another rally. Break of 151.60 will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 138.81 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.94; (P) 116.66, (R1) 117.06; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. The rebound from 115.44 short term bottom is in favor to continue. On the upside, break of 117.77 will target 119.00 resistance next. Sustained break there will indicate that whole fall from 122.87 has completed and turn outlook bullish. On the downside, break of 115.44 will resume larger down trend instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet, with the cross staying well inside falling channel. Fall from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress for 109.48 (2016 low). Also, in any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of another rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.22; (P) 144.69; (R1) 145.57; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 145.66 will resume recent rebound from 137.37. Further rally should then be seen to retest 148.38 high. On the downside, break of 142.53 will target 138.83 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.31; (P) 149.23; (R1) 149.87; More….

Intraday in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside, as correctively pattern from 151.60 is probably in the third leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support, and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.98; (P) 131.44; (R1) 131.78; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Break of 130.03 will bring deeper fall to 128.23 support first. Break will target 127.36 support and below. On the upside break of 133.13 will bring retest of 134.11 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY recovered to 126.78 last week but dropped sharply since then. Break of 124.27 support firstly indicates resumption of fall from 127.50. Secondly it argues that rebound from 118.62 might be completed. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. On the upside, above 125.08 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.86). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.03 low. On the upside, break of 133.12 resistance bring retest of 149.76 (2014 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.20; (P) 143.84; (R1) 144.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and further decline remains mildly in favor. Break of 140.75 will resume the choppy fall from 148.38. However, sustained break of the channel resistance (now at 144.83) will suggest that the correction from 148.38 has completed. Stronger rise should be seen to 146.12 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 138.08), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.38; (P) 131.69; (R1) 131.93; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with today’s deep pull back. As long as 129.90 minor support holds, further rise is still in favor. Above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.98; (P) 117.32; (R1) 117.55; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains mildly on the downside. Rebound from 115.86 should have completed at 120.01. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 115.86 first. On the upside, above 118.47 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 120.01 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.