EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.90; (P) 125.43; (R1) 126.43; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 121.63 resumed by taking out 125.13 resistance firmly. The development also revive the case that correction from 127.07 has completed. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 127.07. Break there will resume whole rise from 114.42 to 128.67 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 125.12 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.96; (P) 129.59; (R1) 129.97; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 128.32 support today indicates resumption of fall from 133.12. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 127.85 support next. Firm break there should confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, break of 130.20 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.30; (P) 118.74; (R1) 119.17; More….

With 117.73 minor support intact, EUR/JPY’s rebound from 115.86 is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. On the downside, break of 117.73 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 115.86 instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 120.78 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.84; (P) 122.47; (R1) 122.97; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 124.08 continues. Overall, further rally is in favor as long as 120.90 support holds. Above 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD, we’d be cautious on topping around 126.09. Meanwhile, break of 120.90 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 days EMA (now at 119.98).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as correcting whole down trend from 149.76 to 109.20. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.48; (P) 132.29; (R1) 133.20; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this moment. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best. On the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rebounded to as high as 129.25 last week but reversed from there. After all, it’s staying in range of 127.49/129.29. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and near term outlook stays cautiously bearish. On the downside, break of 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of another strong recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.07; (P) 118.60; (R1) 118.92; More…

EUR/JPY drops further to as low as 117.67 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Next downside target is 161.8% projection of 123.35 to 120.05 from 121.37 at 116.03. On the upside, above 118.92 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited by 120.05 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.49; (P) 120.92; (R1) 121.48; More….

With 120.09 minor support intact, further rise is still in favor in EUR/JPY, for 122.87 resistance. Current development argues that larger rebound from 115.85 is still in progress. Break of 122.87 will confirm this bullish case. On the downside, however, break of 120.09 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.46 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.48; (P) 127.64; (R1) 127.96; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.44 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out, but outlook will remain bullish as long as 125.07 support holds. On the upside, Sustained break of 128.67 long term fibonacci level will confirm medium term upside momentum, and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 121.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.83; (P) 127.38; (R1) 128.12; More….

A temporary low is in place at 126.63 with today’s recovery. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for consolidation. But near term outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 130.20 resistance holds. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 and target 124.89 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.60; (P) 120.87; (R1) 121.09; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 119.77 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 121.26 resistance holds, further decline is expected. As noted before, corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. On the downside, break of 119.77 will pave the way to retest 115.86 low. However, firm break of 121.26 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 122.87 high instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.31; (P) 141.69; (R1) 142.38; More….

EUR/JPY roses to as high as 144.20 so far today. Sustained break of 144.06 could bring even further medium term upside acceleration. Next near term target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 139.99 from 132.63 at 148.25. On the downside, below 141.36 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. Firm break there will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.05; (P) 132.40; (R1) 132.71; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 132.96 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 131.09 minor support to bring rebound resumption. Above 132.96 will extend the rebound from 128.94 to 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and above. On the downside, below 131.09 will indicate that the rebound is completed and bring retest of 128.94 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.88; (P) 125.18; (R1) 125.47; More….

Upside momentum in EUR/JPY is rather unconvincing as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further rise is still expected with 123.78 support intact. Rebound from 118.62 is in progress for 55 day EMA (now at 126.20). Though, break of 123.78 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.01; (P) 161.37; (R1) 162.04; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally is still in progress and hits as high as 161.71 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 163.06 projection level next. On the downside, below 160.68 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.36; (R1) 129.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen below 129.96 temporary top. But further rally is expected as long as 127.48 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 125.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.47; (P) 133.68; (R1) 133.83; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading could continue inside 131.16/134.48. But further rise will be expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.38; (P) 134.94; (R1) 135.46; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 137.50 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. With 133.70 minor support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.95; (P) 125.24; (R1) 125.73; More….

Despite strong rebound, EUR/JPY is staying below 125.95 and intraday bias remains neutral first. ON the downside, break of 123.78 support will suggests completion of rebound from 118.62 after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 118.62 low. However, decisive break of 125.95 will dampen our bearish view and target 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.01; (P) 132.34; (R1) 132.71….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first and corrective pattern from 133.44 could extend further. On the upside, break of 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.