Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.83; (P) 121.43; (R1) 121.86; More….

While EUR/JPY drops sharply, it’s holding above 119.99 support. Price actions from 122.65 are seen as a consolidation pattern and intraday bias stays neural. On the upside, break of 122.65 will resume the rise form 115.86 to key channel resistance (now at 124.33). However, sustained break of 119.99 support will argue that rise from 115.86 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 119.24 support first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.06; (P) 120.72; (R1) 121.27; More….

EUR/JPY is still holding above 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05) for now. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, rebound from 115.86 could have completed at 122.65, ahead of medium term channel resistance. Firm break of 119.99 should confirm and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 118.45 and below. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness and turn focus back to 122.65 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.49) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.99; (P) 133.41; (R1) 133.67; More….

EUR/JPY’s pull back extends lower today but stays well above 132.51 support. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment, and further rally is still expected. On the upside, sustained break of 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28, will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 132.51 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.27; (P) 129.65; (R1) 130.24; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 128.04 would target a test on 131.39 high. Break there is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d likely see more consolidation first. On the downside, below 128.91 minor support will turn bias to the downside for another fall. At this point, we’d still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95 to bring rebound. But sustained break of 127.95 will bring deeper decline to 125.80 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 125.82) before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.07; (P) 133.55; (R1) 133.85; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as it’s staying in corrective trading below 134.37 temporary top. We’re favoring the case that medium term up trend is nearly ready to resume. Break of 134.48 will target 61.8% projection of 127.55 to 134.48 from 131.16 at 135.44 and then 100% projection at 138.09. However, firm break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.16; (P) 115.59; (R1) 116.35; More…

EUR/JPY formed a temporary low at 114.84 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations. Upside of recovery should be limited by 118.23 support turned resistance and bring another decline. Corrective rise from 109.20 has completed at 124.08. Below 114.84 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 109.20 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective rise from 109.20 should have completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 support turned resistance. Medium term down trend from 149.76 is likely resuming. Break of 109.20 will target 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of another rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.14; (P) 130.45; (R1) 130.96; More…

EUR/JPY retreats after hitting 130.76. A temporary top is in place and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. But near term outlook remains bullish as long as 127.99 support holds. Above 130.76 will target 100% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 133.35 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 127.99 will bring deeper pull back 55 day EMA (now at 125.13).

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 would now target 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY’s up trend resumed by breaking through 129.96 last week, and hit as high as 130.37. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Current rally from 121.63 should target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. On the downside, break of 129.02 minor support will turn bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.53; (P) 135.83; (R1) 136.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. More consolidation would be seen in range of 133.03/136.63. But after all, outlook stays bullish with 133.03 support intact. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, on the downside, break of 133.03 will have 55 day EMA and medium term channel support firmly taken out. Also, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD too, that will suggest medium term reversal. Deeper fall should then be seen to 132.04 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.40; (P) 161.90; (R1) 162.74; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Correction from 163.70 should have completed at 160.20. Further rally would be seen to retest 163.70 first. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 153.15 for 164.29 high. On the downside, below 161.05 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to resume the correction from 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.11; (P) 140.78; (R1) 141.32; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 142.92 will argue that the correction from 148.38 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.31; (P) 130.59; (R1) 130.87; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. A short term top is in place at 131.39 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Break of 129.83 will confirm and turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.39 is needed to confirm rise resumption. Otherwise, more consolidative trading is expected with risk of another fall.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.79; (P) 130.02; (R1) 130.40; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first. On the downside, break of 128.58 will resume the fall from 134.11, and target 127.07 resistance turned support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.97; (P) 120.17; (R1) 120.43; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation fro m119.77 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 121.26 resistance to bring fall resumption. As noted before, corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. On the downside, break of 119.77 will pave the way to retest 115.86 low.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.51; (P) 141.21; (R1) 142.25; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 142.92 will argue that the correction from 148.38 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.02; (P) 131.46; (R1) 132.25; More…

EUR/JPY lost momentum after hitting 132.00 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 129.36 support holds. Above 132.00 will target 134.20 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.03; (P) 124.33; (R1) 124.48; More…

EUR/JPY drops sharply to as low as 123.24 so far and deeper decline might be seen. But after all, it’s staying in the consolidation pattern from 125.80. Hence, we’d expect downside to be contained by by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY’s strong rebound last week argues that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 already, after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 121.32 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm and target 124.08 high next. On the downside, though, below 120.01 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn focus back to 118.23 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. Decisive break of 126.09 will indicate that such decline is completed and EUR/JPY has started another medium term rally already. Before that, deeper fall is mildly in favor towards 94.11 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.09; (P) 119.81; (R1) 120.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. On the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.13; (P) 121.39; (R1) 121.61; More….

With 122.17 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected in EUR/JPY. Decisive break of 120.78 support will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias to the upside to extend the consolidation from 120.78.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.