Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.95; (P) 128.36; (R1) 128.80; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral as it recovered after hitting 127.91 support. On the downside, break of 127.91 will resume the fall from 134.11 and target 127.07 resistance turned support. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication and pave the way to 121.91 fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 129.65 will turn bias back to the upside for 130.73 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.57; (P) 124.97; (R1) 125.39; More…

EUR/JPY is still bounded in the consolidation pattern from 125.80 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall could be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.14; (P) 169.79; (R1) 170.52; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 170.78 will target 167.31 support first. Firm break there will confirm that corrective pattern from 171.58 has started the third leg, and target 164.01 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 170.78 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.10) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.01; (P) 163.23; (R1) 163.51; More…

EUR/JPY dips further to 162.92 but recovered since then. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, below 162.92 will resume the decline from 165.33 short term opt, and target 160.20 structural support next. On the upside, however, break of 164.40 minor resistance will bring retest of 165.33 instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.09; (P) 131.37; (R1) 131.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 132.35 is extending. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 129.57 support to bring rise resumption. On the up side, break of 132.35 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.96; (P) 130.20; (R1) 130.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 129.60 will resume the the correction from 134.11. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance should argue that the correction has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.86; (P) 122.30; (R1) 122.89; More…

Break of 1.2241 minor resistance argues that the corrective fall from 1240.08 has completed at 120.54 already. More importantly, rebound from 109.20 is still in progress. Intraday bias is back on the upside fro 124.08 first. Break will target 126.09 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 120.54 will bring deeper fall to 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.

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EUR/JPY’s rally resumed last week and surged to as high as 128.82. A temporary top is formed there and initial bias is neutral this week for consolidation. Downside of retreat should be contained by 126.47 support to bring rise resumption. Above 128.82 will target 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 first . That’s also close to medium term projection level at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

In the long term picture, the down trend from 149.76 should have completed at 109.03 already. At this point, there is clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.31; (P) 130.59; (R1) 130.87; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. A short term top is in place at 131.39 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Break of 129.83 will confirm and turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.39 is needed to confirm rise resumption. Otherwise, more consolidative trading is expected with risk of another fall.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.38; (P) 120.69; (R1) 121.16; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in tight range below 121.32 and intraday bias stays neutral. We’re holding on to the view that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 119.32 already. Above 121.32 will turn bias to the upside for 123.30 resistance. Break of 123.30 will likely extend the whole medium term rise from 109.20 through 124.08 high. Below 119.32 will bring another fall. In that case, downside should be contained by 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.51; (P) 130.04; (R1) 130.84; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 130.76 is still in progress. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 127.43 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 130.76 at 127.56) and bring rebound. Above 130.76 will extend the larger rally to next key fibonacci level at 134.20.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.04; (P) 122.46; (R1) 122.79; More…

A temporary top is in place at 122.88 with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for consolidations. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 121.18 resistance turned support and bring another rally. Above 122.88 will target 124.08. Decisive break there will extend larger rise from 109.20 and target 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is now on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.209 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.49; (P) 117.15; (R1) 117.80; More…

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 114.84 extended higher but at this point, it’s kept below 118.23 support turned resistance. Hence, intraday bias stays neutral at this point and outlook remains bearish. Below 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 will extend the decline from 124.08 to retest 109.20 low. However, firm break of 118.23 will indicate near term reversal and target 122.88 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective rise from 109.20 should have completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 support turned resistance. Medium term down trend from 149.76 is likely resuming. Break of 109.20 will target 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of another rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.08; (P) 132.65; (R1) 133.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. As long as 134.48 key resistance holds, risk remains on the downside. Break of 131.16 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 134.48 at 126.97, which is close to 127.55 support. We’ll look for support from there to bring rebound on first attempt.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.36; (P) 132.59; (R1) 132.90; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Focus remains on 131.65 key support. On the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level. That will also complete and double top pattern (134.39, 134.48) and confirms near term reversal. 55 day EMA will also be firmly taken out. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 127.55 key support. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY’s rally from 153.15 continued last week but lost momentum after hitting 163.45. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 55 4H EMA (now at 161.94) to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 163.45 will target 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY fell sharply after edging higher to 175.41 last week. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, a short term top should be in place. Deeper correction cannot be ruled out. But for now, downside should be contained by 170.87 and bring rebound, to set the range for consolidations. However, firm break of 170.87 will argue that larger correction is already underway and target 167.52 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 170.87 resistance turned support holds, the long term up trend is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. However, firm break of 170.87 will bring deeper fall to 167.52 support. Decisive break there will confirm that larger correction in in progress for 153.15/164.29 support zone.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 138.2% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 167.52 support holds.

EUR/JPY’s rebound last week suggest that pullback from 171.58 has completed at 164.01 already. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 168.64 resistance, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58. On the downside, break of 166.73 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 157.89) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 was already met but there is no signal of reversal yet. Firm break of 170.07 will target 138.2% projection at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.72; (P) 170.11; (R1) 170.64; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62, and then 171.58 high. On the downside, break of 169.05 minor support will intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 167.31 should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58 towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.72) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.45; (P) 129.93; (R1) 130.27; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.58 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper fall remains mildly in favor with 131.07 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.