Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.41; (P) 118.35; (R1) 118.92; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 117.51 is extending and intraday bias remains neutral. With 119.87 minor resistance intact, further decline is in favor. Break of 117.51 will resume large down trend to 114.84 support next. However, break of 119.87 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 120.89).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY breached 131.65 key support last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. After all, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best. On the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.85; (P) 123.47; (R1) 124.40; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 125.80 short term top. Deeper pull back could be seen. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9863; (P) 0.9877; (R1) 0.9893; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first and rise from 0.9704 is expected to resume later. Break of 0.9995 will target a retest on 1.0067 high. However, break of 0.9837 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.1002) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.46; (P) 131.64; (R1) 131.88; More….

EUR/JPY rises further to as high as 132.03 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 114.42 should now target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, break of 129.57 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.80; (P) 144.33; (R1) 145.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for 145.62 resistance. Firm break there will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance. On the downside, break of 140.88 will extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.65; (P) 126.08; (R1) 126.38; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 126.68 is still extending. Another rise is expected as long as 125.13 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.82; (P) 130.45; (R1) 131.00; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 131.69 high is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective price action in near term, with risk of deeper fall. Below 129.36 will target 127.55 support first. Firm break there will indicate near term reversal and deeper fall would be seen back to 122.39/125.80 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.52; (P) 125.75; (R1) 126.16; More….

EUR/JPY rebounds notably but stays below 126.19 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 126.19 will reaffirm the case that correction from 127.48 has completed at 125.07. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 127.48 high. On the downside, however, break of 125.07 will resume the correction from 127.48. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.84; (P) 169.22; (R1) 169.78; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 168.01 support will strengthen the case that rise from 164.31 has completed at 170.78 already. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 167.31 support, and then 164.01. Nevertheless, break of 170.87 will resume the rally to retest 171.58 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium top was formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). But as long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.51) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.58; (P) 160.28; (R1) 160.85; More…

EUR/JPY’s retreat from 161.84 is extending and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 158.55 resistance turned support intact, further rally is in favor. On the upside, break of 161.84 will resume whole rise from 153.15 to 161.8% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 163.79, which is close to 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.61; (P) 129.89; (R1) 130.19; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 127.91 short term bottom is in progress for 130.54 resistance. Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. Nevertheless, on the downside, below 129.14 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.95; (P) 121.46; (R1) 122.37; More…

A temporary low is in place at 120.54 in EUR/JPY after drawing support from 55 day EMA and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Break of 122.41 will argue that the correction from 124.08 has completed. More importantly, that will indicate that rebound from 109.20 is still in progress. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 124.08 and then 126.09 key resistance. Below 120.54 will bring deeper fall to 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.59; (P) 122.96; (R1) 123.44; More…

A temporary low is in place at 122.48 with current recovery, and 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first and some recovery could be seen. Upside of recovery should be limited by 124.09/125.29 resistance zone to bring fall resumption. As noted before, rebound form 118.62 has completed at 127.50 already. On the downside, break of 122.48 will target retest of 118.62 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.79; (P) 119.09; (R1) 119.51; More…

EUR/JPY’s rebound and breach of 119.85 minor resistance argue that a short term bottom is formed at 118.23, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. The development also argue that it has defended 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Intraday bias is back on the upside for 121.31 resistance. Break will indicate completion of whole corrective fall from 124.08 and turn near term outlook bullish for this resistance. On the downside sustained break of 118.39/45 will argue that whole rise from 109.20 has completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.44; (P) 129.57; (R1) 129.72; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in consolidation from 128.58 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 131.07 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.07; (P) 133.36; (R1) 133.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Deeper fall is still expected with 134.79 resistance intact. Decisive break of 132.04 cluster support (23.6% retracement of 114.84 to 137.49 at 132.14) will indicate larger trend reversal on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, outlook will be turned bearish for 38.2% retracement at 128.38 first. Nonetheless, rebound from 132.04 will retain near term bullishness. Break of 134.79 minor resistance will bring retest of 137.49 high instead.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in week EMA indicates lost up medium term up trend momentum. But there is no clear sign of completion of up trend from 109.03 yet. Break of 137.49 will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 132.04 will be the early sign of long term reversal and should bring deeper fall back to retest 124.08 key support level.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.72; (P) 170.11; (R1) 170.64; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62, and then 171.58 high. On the downside, break of 169.05 minor support will intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 167.31 should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58 towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.72) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.12; (P) 128.59; (R1) 129.04; More…

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook even though it’s losing upside momentum. Further rise is expected with 127.43 minor support intact. We’d be cautious of strong resistance between 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 and medium term projection level at 129.89 to bring short term topping. On the downside, below 1.2743 will bring deeper pull back to 125.80 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.45; (P) 129.93; (R1) 130.27; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.58 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper fall remains mildly in favor with 131.07 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.