EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.72; (P) 135.30; (R1) 135.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 137.49. Further rise is expected as long as 133.70 support holds. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.41; (P) 130.62; (R1) 130.92; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation form 131.59 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 131.59 resistance will reaffirm the bullish case that consolidation from 134.11 could have completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Further rally would then be seen to retest 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside break of 129.59 minor support will argue that rebound from 127.36 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.52; (P) 156.15; (R1) 157.15; More

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 158.55 will resume the corrective rebound from 153.15. On the downside, break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.28; (P) 130.44; (R1) 130.71; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 130.54 resistance argues that correction from 134.11 has already completed at 127.91. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 132.68 resistance first. Break there will bring retest of 134.11 high. On the downside, below 130.11 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 121.46 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 191.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.82). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 126.12), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 127.91 extended higher last week. A short term bottom should be in place on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week for 130.54 resistance first. Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. Nevertheless, on the downside, below 128.58 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low instead. Break will target 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.48; (P) 127.64; (R1) 127.96; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.44 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out, but outlook will remain bullish as long as 125.07 support holds. On the upside, Sustained break of 128.67 long term fibonacci level will confirm medium term upside momentum, and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 121.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.06; (P) 157.49; (R1) 157.73; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations would be seen first. But further rally is expected as long as 154.03 support holds. Break of 157.99 will resume larger up trend to 162.82 projection level. However, break of 154.03 will argue that larger correction is under way back to 151.60 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.71; (P) 127.59; (R1) 129.17; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 127.90 support turned resistance argues that fall from 133.13 has completed at 124.37 already. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 130.27 resistance first. Break there will target 133.13 structural resistance next. On the downside, break of 126.28 minor support will revive near term bearishness and target 124.37 low again.

In the bigger picture, the break of 127.36 support turned resistance mixed up the medium term outlook. But still, outlook is neutral at best for now until there is clear sign of up trend resumption. Corrective pattern from 134.11 could still extend further, sideway or downward. Break of 124.37 will target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.84; (P) 132.18; (R1) 132.37; More….

As long as 130.97 support holds, outlook in EUR/JPY remains bullish. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.29; (P) 158.85; (R1) 159.89; More….

Prior breach of 159.32 suggests that EUR/JPY’s up trend is resuming. Further rally is now expected as long as 157.64 support holds. Next target is 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 157.99 from 151.39 at 163.09. Nevertheless, break of 157.64 will now indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will now remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly last week after initial fall to 137.37. But upside is kept well below 142.92 resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 142.92 will argue that the correction from 148.38 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.55) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.09; (P) 130.42; (R1) 130.75; More….

EUR/JPY lose upside momentum after hitting 130.73, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected as long as 128.49 minor support holds. Above 130.73 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 128.49 will turn focus back to 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.83; (P) 127.38; (R1) 128.12; More….

A temporary low is in place at 126.63 with today’s recovery. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for consolidation. But near term outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 130.20 resistance holds. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 and target 124.89 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.83; (P) 120.21; (R1) 120.47; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 191.11 support holds, outlook remains cautiously bullish and further rise is in favor. On the upside above 120.68 will target a test on 121.46 resistance firm Break will resume whole rise form 115.86 and target 123.35 structural resistance.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.32). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term trend has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.62; (P) 124.85; (R1) 125.19; More….

EUR/JPY continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 123.84 minor support intact, further rise is still in favor to retest 127.07 high. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 114.42. On the downside, however, break of 123.84 will turn bias back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.40; (P) 140.96; (R1) 141.91; More….

Break of 140.15 minor support suggests that rebound from 137.37 has completed at 142.84. Rejection by 142.92 resistance indicates that larger decline from 148.38 is still in progress. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 137.37 low. Break there will target 135.40 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.94; (P) 157.61; (R1) 158.71; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 158.464 will argue that the pull back has from 159.75 is completed. Bias will be turned back to the upside for resuming larger up trend through 159.75 high. On the downside, below 156.07 minor support will resume the fall from 159.75 through 154.32 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 159.75 are views as a corrective pattern for now. As long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue through 159.75 at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 151.39 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.44; (P) 132.84; (R1) 133.76; More…

EUR/JPY’s pull back from 134.39 is still in progress. But still, it’s holding above 131.69 resistance turned support and outlook remains bullish. Above 133.02 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will extend larger up trend to 141.04 resistance next. However, break of 131.69 will be an early sigh of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level instead.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.70; (P) 132.24; (R1) 132.63; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidative trading below 134.39 high. Near term outlook remains bullish as long as 131.69 holds. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will extend larger up trend to 141.04 resistance next. However, break of 131.69 will be an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level instead.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart