EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8760; (P) 0.8796; (R1) 0.8837; More

No change in EUR/GBP as it’s staying in range of 0.8732/9032. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9032 resistance intact. That is, fall from 0.9305 is expected to resume later. Break of 0.8732 will target 0.8303 key support level. Nonetheless, decisive break of 0.9032 will confirm completion of the decline from 0.9305. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9305 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8444; (P) 0.8455; (R1) 0.8467; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and consolidation from 0.8396 could extend further. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8482 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.8429 minor support will bring retest of 0.8396 low first. Further break there will resume larger down trend to 0.8376 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376. Sustained break there will target 161.8% projection at 0.8211 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation above 0.8396 last week but upside remains capped below 0.8482 support turned resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week and further decline is expected. On the downside, below 0.8429 minor support will bring retest of 0.8396 low first. Further break there will resume larger down trend to 0.8376 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376. Sustained break there will target 161.8% projection at 0.8211 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

Last week’s sharp decline argues that rebound from 0.8655 has completed at 0.9101, after failing to sustain above 0.9098 resistance. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week with focus on 0.8927 support. Break will confirm near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 0.8655 to 0.9101 at 0.8825 and below. On the upside, break of 0.9101 resistance is needed to confirm rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stays on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside break out of 0.9620 will pave the way back to 0.8302/12 support zone. Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8537; (R1) 0.8564; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery. As noted before, with 0.8668 resistance intact, larger fall from 0.9499 is probably still in progress. On the downside, break of 0.8509 will resume the fall from 0.8612 to retest 0.8448 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8612 will resume the rise from 0.8448 to 0.8668 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8557; (P) 0.8599; (R1) 0.8624; More…

EUR/GBP is still stuck in sideway trading and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected with 0.8484 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8613; (P) 0.8634; (R1) 0.8666; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation below 0.8674 temporary top. Further rise is expected in the cross as long as 0.8523 support holds. Above 0.8674 will extend the rise from 0.8312 to 0.8786 resistance. Note again that price actions 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern that is extending. Break of 0.8786 would now pave the way to retest 0.9304 high. However, break of 0.8523 will indicate that rebound from 0.8312 has completed and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8493; (P) 0.8505; (R1) 0.8518; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays mildly bearish as long as 0.8556 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8448 will resume the whole decline from 0.9799, to retest 0.8276 key long term support level. However, break of 0.8556 will bring stronger rebound back to 0.8668 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8718 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rise from 0.8491 resumed by breaking through 0.8704 resistance last week. But it retreated after hitting 0.8739, just ahead of 61.8% projection of 0.8491 to 0.8704 from 0.8614 at 0.8746. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 0.8614 support to bring another rally. Firm break of 0.8746 will target 100% projection at 0.8827 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8614 support holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to resume at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9004; (P) 0.9032; (R1) 0.9057; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 0.9291 could extend lower through 0.9007. But downside should be contained above 0.8866 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9148 resistance will suggest completion of the correction. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9291 high.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8920; (P) 0.8949; (R1) 0.8986; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target is 100% projection of 61.8% projection of 0.8545 to 0.8896 from 0.8720 at 0.9071. On the downside, below 0.8875 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8720 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8780) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8896 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, break of 0.8270 support and sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8425; (P) 0.8439; (R1) 0.8459; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8482 support turned resistance holds. Below 0.8417 will resume larger down trend to 0.8376 projection level next. On the upside, firm break of 0.8482 will bring stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376. Sustained break there will target 161.8% projection at 0.8211 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dipped to 0.8587 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Break of 0.8718 minor resistance will resume the rebound from 0.8470, for 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784. On the downside, break of 0.8587 will bring retest of 0.8470 low instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8620; (P) 0.8645; (R1) 0.8670; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first with the current sharp retreat. A temporary top was formed at 0.8668 after rejection by 0.8670 resistance. On the upside, firm break of 0.8670 will affirm the case that whole rebound from 0.8470 is resuming through 0.8718 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8338 resumed last week and accelerated to as high as 0.8675. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for 0.8720 resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8201 to 0.8720 from 0.8338 at 0.8857. On the downside, break of 0.8611 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will argue that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend, rather than a correction. Next target is 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. Rejection by 0.8697 again will maintain medium term bearishness, for extending the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) at a later stage.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8601) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

While upside momentum was a bit unconvincing, the EUR/GBP did extend recent rally last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week as rise 0.8312 would target a test on 0.9304 high. At this point, there is no clear sign of up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304 to limit upside and bring another fall. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9007 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside for 0.8742/8948 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes.

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 (2008 high) is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935 (2015 low). Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend to target 0.9799 high and above.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Weekly Chart

EUR/GBP Monthly Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8638; (P) 0.8668; (R1) 0.8685; More

EUR/GBP’s rally resumed after brief dip to 0.8639 and reaches as high as 0.8858 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside and decisive break of 0.8851 will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high. There is no firm sign of up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on topping around 0.9304. On the downside, break of 0.8639 is now needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. The leg from 0.9304 should have completed after testing 0.8332 structural support. But it’s too early to say that larger rise from 0.6935 is resuming. Rejection from 0.9304 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9304 will target 0.9799 (2008 high). In case of another decline, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged lower to 0.8521 but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral tis week for some consolidations first. Another fall is mildly in favor as long as 0.8676 resistance holds. Break of 0.8521 will target target 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support. Considering diminishing downside momentum as seen in daily MACD, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8676 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 0.8786/9019 resistance zone first.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) could either be resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Or it’s just the second leg of the consolidation pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Eventual structure of the pull back from 0.9324 should reveal which case it should be.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8833; (P) 0.8852; (R1) 0.8876; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation below 0.8890 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of deeper retreat, downside should by contained by 0.8796 minor support to bring rally resumption. On the upside break of 0.8890 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963).

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8482; (P) 0.8497; (R1) 0.8516; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral with bearish outlook. Decline from 0.8786 could be developing into the third leg of the whole corrective pattern from 0.9304. And hence, deeper fall is expected ahead. On the downside, break of 0.8483 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8402 support first. Decisive break there should confirm our bearish view and target 0.8303 and below. As fall from 0.9304 is viewed as a corrective move, we’d expect strong support at 0.8116/20 cluster support to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.8604 minor resistance will delay the bearish case. That is, one more recovery will be seen to complete a five wave triangle pattern fro 0.8303 before completion.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Such decline is likely ready to resume and should make a new low below 0.8303. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart