EUR/GBP dropped sharply to as low as 0.8774 last week as fall from 0.9097 resumed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.8620 low next. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 0.9304. In that case, next target will be 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9097 at 0.8412. On the upside, break of 0.8847 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current development suggests that fall from 0.9303, as a down leg in the pattern, is still in progress. But in case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 0.8116 cluster support, 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9304 at 0.8120, to bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP dropped to as low as 0.8469 last week but lost momentum ahead of 0.8449 support and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. The sustained trading below near term channel suggests that corrective rise from 0.8303 has completed at 0.8851 already. We’d favor deeper fall as long as 0.8650 minor resistance holds. Break of 0.8449 will argue that corrective fall from 0.9304 has started the third leg for 0.8116 cluster support. Nonetheless, break of 0.8650 will turn focus back to 0.8851 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935. Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend to target 0.9799 high and above.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8735; (R1) 0.8756; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Choppy decline form 0.8977 is resuming and would target 100% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8614. On the upside, above 0.8766 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8912; (P) 0.8933; (R1) 0.8971; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.8974 so far. Break of trendline in 4 hour MACD suggests upside re-acceleration. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9101 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.8871 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8539; (P) 0.8551; (R1) 0.8565; More…

EUR/GBP’s decline is still in progress despite loss of downside momentum. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Current fall from 0.8713 is part of the larger down trend. Deeper decline should be seen to 0.8491 low, and then 0.8464 projection level. On the upside, above 0.8591 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8531; (P) 0.8543; (R1) 0.8554; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8491/7 support zone will confirm larger down trend resumption and target 0.8464 projection level first. However, firm break of 0.8577 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

EUR/GBP stayed in range of 0.9007/9148 last week and outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 0.9291 are seen as a corrective pattern. Another fall through 0.9007 cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 0.8866 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9148 resistance will suggest completion of the correction. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9291 high.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8705; (P) 0.8737; (R1) 0.8762; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.8786 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen but downside should be contained by 0.8624 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 0.8786 will resume larger rise from 0.8201 to 100% projection of 0.8201 to 0.8720 from 0.8338 at 0.8857.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the down trend from 0.9499 has (2020 high) has completed at 0.8201. Rise from there is developing into a medium term up trend. Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.9003 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.8545) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8582; (P) 0.8607; (R1) 0.8620; More…

EUR/GBP failed to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA and retreated. But it stays above 0.8559 support and intraday bias remains neutral first On the downside, below 0.8559 will target a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8718 will resume the rebound from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784.

In the bigger picture, e price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP gyrated higher last week but stayed below 0.8866 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another fall will be expected as long as 0.8866 holds. Below 0.8760 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.8688 first. Break will resume whole decline from 0.9305. However, firm break of 0.8866 resistance will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 0.8981 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8809; (P) 0.8826; (R1) 0.8842; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally resumes by taking out 0.8850 and reaches as high as 0.8874 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should now be seen back to retest 0.9101 key resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8790 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8704; (P) 0.8757; (R1) 0.8788; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in range of 0.8679/8844 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 0.8808 will target 0.8844 first. Firm break there will finally confirm our bullish view and resume the rebound from 0.8620 to 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). On the downside, however, break of 0.8679 minor support should indicate completion of the rebound form 0.8620. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8516; (P) 0.8540; (R1) 0.8559; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside as fall from 0.8713 is in progress. Current decline is seen as part of the larger down trend. Next target is 0.8491 low, and then 0.8464 projection level. On the upside, above 0.8563 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8566; (P) 0.8595; (R1) 0.8635; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook. Consolidation pattern from 0.8472 is possibly extending with another rising leg for now. While further recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited below 0.8681 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8472 will confirm resumption of down trend from 0.9101 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8472 from 0.8681 at 0.8292 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9306 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s extending through 0.8312 support towards 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8121. We’ll look for strong support around there to contain downside to complete the correction. But for now, break of 0.8681 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8960; (P) 0.8983; (R1) 0.9006; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. As long as 0.8931 resistance turned support holds, further rally is expected in the cross. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9098 resistance will extend the rally from 0.8655 and target 0.9304 key resistance next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 0.8931 will indicate near term reversal and target 0.8810 support and below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). It should be in medium term rising leg for 0.9304. Meanwhile, in case of another fall, down side should be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8423; (P) 0.8453; (R1) 0.8474; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery, but further decline is expected as long as 0.8552 minor resistance holds. Rebound from 0.8201 should have completed at 0.8720, after rejection by 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. Below 0.8401 ill target a test on 0.8201/48 support zone next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 argues that rebound from 0.8201 is merely a corrective move. That is, down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) is now over. Sustained break of 0.8201 will resume such decline and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8720 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8600; (P) 0.8643; (R1) 0.8707; More…

EUR/GBP dipped to 0.8577 but quickly recovered. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Further decline is expected with 0.8869 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8577 will resume the fall from 0.9267, and target 61.8% projection of 0.9267 to 0.8647 from 0.8869 at 0.8486.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8515; (P) 0.8537; (R1) 0.8553; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in tight range above 0.8512 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, below 0.8521 will resume the fall from 0.8764 to retest 0.8491. Break there will extend larger down trend to 0.8464 projection level. On the upside, above 0.8566 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8602).

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8713 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8656; (P) 0.8671; (R1) 0.8692; More….

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8548 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 0.8764 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.8633 support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8548 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP recover to 0.8827 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.8827 will resume the rise from 0.8570 to 0.8869. Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 0.9267 high. On the downside, below 0.8689 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8570 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8869 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).