EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s strong rebound last week indicates short term bottoming at 0.8379. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 0.8486) will target 0.8593 structural resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.8434 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8379 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will be a sign of long term bearish reversal.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). However, sustained break of 0.8276 will indicate long term trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917, and possibly below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8656; (P) 0.8671; (R1) 0.8692; More….

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8548 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 0.8764 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.8633 support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8548 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8342; (P) 0.8386; (R1) 0.8412; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for retesting 0.8282 low. Sustained break of 0.8276 key long term support will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 0.8411 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8476 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.8282.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9051; (P) 0.9084; (R1) 0.9118; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 0.8312 is expected to target a test on 0.9304 high. At this point, there is no clear sign of up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304 to limit upside and bring another fall. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9007 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside for 0.8742/8948 support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8639; (P) 0.8672; (R1) 0.8696; More

Intraday bias in EUR./GBP stays neutral for the moment. Another rise is expected as long as 0.8449 holds. Rebound from 0.8303 is seen as the second leg of the consolidation pattern from 0.9304. Above 0.8764 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9304 to 0.8303 at 0.8922 and above. We’ll expect strong resistance above 0.8922 to limit upside and bring another fall. On the downside, below 0.8449 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.8303 first. Break there will extend the whole fall from 0.9304. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at around 0.8116.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support around 55 weeks EMA (now at 0.8243) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8667; (P) 0.8684; (R1) 0.8698; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8660 is extending. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8758 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8660 will resume recent decline to 100% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8614. Nevertheless, break of 0.8758 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This is part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen through 0.8545 support. his will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8874 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8448; (P) 0.8489; (R1) 0.8523; More

With 0.8550 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the downside. Fall from 0.8851 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9304. Deeper decline should be seen to 0.8303 low next. Break will extend the fall from 0.9304 to 0.8116 key cluster support level. On the upside, above 0.8550 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8868; (P) 0.8881; (R1) 0.8895; More

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook even though upside momentum is weak. With 0.8828 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor for 0.8981 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate that whole decline from 0.9305 has completed. In such case, EUR/GBP will target a test on 0.9304/5 key resistance. On the downside, below 0.8828 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8668 instead.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8552; (P) 0.8601; (R1) 0.8631; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9267 is in progress and should target 0.8201/8388 support zone. For now, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8779 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8482; (P) 0.8497; (R1) 0.8516; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral with bearish outlook. Decline from 0.8786 could be developing into the third leg of the whole corrective pattern from 0.9304. And hence, deeper fall is expected ahead. On the downside, break of 0.8483 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8402 support first. Decisive break there should confirm our bearish view and target 0.8303 and below. As fall from 0.9304 is viewed as a corrective move, we’d expect strong support at 0.8116/20 cluster support to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.8604 minor resistance will delay the bearish case. That is, one more recovery will be seen to complete a five wave triangle pattern fro 0.8303 before completion.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Such decline is likely ready to resume and should make a new low below 0.8303. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8565; (P) 0.8588; (R1) 0.8607; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8484 support holds. Break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8606; (P) 0.8630; (R1) 0.8645; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8720 high will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8201 to 0.8720 from 0.8338 at 0.8857. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long a s0.8510 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will argue that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend, rather than a correction. Next target is 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. Rejection by 0.8697 again will maintain medium term bearishness, for extending the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) at a later stage.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8868; (P) 0.8903; (R1) 0.8943; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in range trading below 0.9054 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise will be mildly in favor as long as 0.8866 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.9054 will extend the rebound from 0.8670 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, firm break of 0.8866 will indicate completion of the rise from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8633; (P) 0.8657; (R1) 0.8679; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral and further rally is expected with 0.8619 minor support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8717 support turned resistance will solidify that fall from 0.8977 has completed a five-wave decline. Further rally should then be seen to 0.8977 resistance next. On the downside, though, below 0.8619 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8502 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Firm break of 0.8717 support turned resistance will argue that it has completed with three waves down to 0.8502. Further break of 0.8977 will bring retest of 0.9267 high. Nevertheless, break of 0.8502 will resume the decline towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8495; (P) 0.8517; (R1) 0.8530; More…

As long as 0.8644 resistance holds, further decline is expected in EUR/GBP. Current fall is part of the pattern for 0.9499 and would target 0.8276 key support level. We’d look for bottoming signal as it approaches this support. Nevertheless, break of 0.8644 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped sharply to as low as 0.8312 last week but formed a temporary low ahead of 0.8303 low and recovered. Nonetheless, the development still suggests that larger correction from 0.9304 is resuming and further fall is expected through 0.8303 low ahead.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in EUR/GBP is neutral this week for consolidation above 0.8312 temporary low first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8511 resistance and bring another decline. Below 0.8303 will extend the fall from 0.9304 to 0.8116/20 cluster support. As decline from 0.9304 is seen as a corrective move, we’d expect strong support around 0.8116/20 to contain downside and completion such correction. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 0.8511 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8786 resistance instead.

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Such decline is likely ready to resume and should make a new low below 0.8303. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

EUR/GBP Weekly Chart

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 (2008 high) is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935 (2015 low). Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend to target 0.9799 high and above.

EUR/GBP Monthly Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8881; (P) 0.8898; (R1) 0.8923; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. While the pull back fro 0.8994 is deep, the structure still suggests that it’s a correction. Thus we’re holding on to the view that fall from 0.9097 has completed at 0.8847 already. On the upside, break of 0.8994 will target a test on 0.9097 high. Firm break there will resume the rise from 0.8620 towards 0.9305 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). At this point, there is no clear sign of range break out yet. And more corrective trading would continue. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8315; (P) 0.8338; (R1) 0.8357; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 0.8421 resistance holds. Break of 0.8304 will resume larger down trend towards 0.8276 key long term support. However, break of 0.8421 resistance will be a sign of bullish reversal. Further rise would be seen back to 0.8598 structural resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9117; (P) 0.9140; (R1) 0.9167; More…

EUR/GBP’s corrective fall from 0.9324 might extend lower to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9038). But strong support should be seen in 0.8891/9051 support zone to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 0.9194 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Break of 0.9324 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should be resuming. Sustained break of 0.9305 will confirm and target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8891 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8564; (P) 0.8588; (R1) 0.8604; More…

EUR/GBP’s choppy decline from 0.8718 resumes by breaking 0.8559 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, break of 0.8627 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8670 resistance and above instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.