EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s corrective decline from 0.9291 resumed last week by taking out 0.9007 support. Initial bias is now on the downside for deeper decline. Though, strong support should be seen above 0.8866 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9148 resistance will suggest completion of the correction. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9291 high.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8814; (P) 0.8844; (R1) 0.8865; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8720 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8977 will resume whole rebound from 0.8545 towards 0.9267 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8270 will turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8780) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8896 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, break of 0.8270 support and sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9035; (P) 0.9051; (R1) 0.9074; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally extends to as high as 0.9073 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.9043 will pave the way to retest 0.9305 key resistance. On the downside, below 0.9033 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8895 support holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8602; (P) 0.8639; (R1) 0.8661; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is back on the downside as fall from 0.8713 resumes. Rebound from 0.8548 should have completed, and deeper fall should be seen to retest this support first. Firm break there will target 0.8491 low. On the upside, however, above 0.8644 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9019; (P) 0.9038; (R1) 0.9075; More…

EUR/GBP rebounds strongly today but stays below 0.9139 temporary top. Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. More sideway trading could be seen. But at this point, further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.8930 support holds. Above 0.9139 will target 0.9175 resistance. Break will resume whole rebound from 0.8670 low.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP rebounded strongly ahead of 0.8472 low last week. But still outlook is unchanged that price action form 0.8472 is seen as a consolidation pattern. In case of further rise, upside should be limited below 0.8681 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8472 will confirm resumption of down trend from 0.9101 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8472 from 0.8681 at 0.8292 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9306 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s extending through 0.8312 support towards 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8121. We’ll look for strong support around there to contain downside to complete the correction. But for now, break of 0.8681 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8529; (P) 0.8557; (R1) 0.8582; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. on the downside, decisive break of 0.8537 support will resume the decline from 0.9291. Such decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499, and should target 0.8276 key support in this case. On the upside, break of 0.8638 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.8729 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8799; (P) 0.8812; (R1) 0.8829; More…

Risks stays on the downside in EUR/GBP with 0.8927 resistance intact. Fall from 0.8977 would target 0.8720 support first. Decisive break there will argue that whole rebound from 0.8545 has completed, and bring retest to this low.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 55 day EMA (now at 0.8804). Sustained trading below there will argue that fall from 0.9267 is in progress. Such decline is seen as a leg inside long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8545 will pave the way back to 0.8201 (2022 low).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8504; (P) 0.8520; (R1) 0.8530; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further decline is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8550) holds. Decisive break of 0.8491/7 will resume larger down trend to 0.8376 projection level next. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9643 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP remains bounded in range last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.8529 support will argue that the corrective recovery from 0.8497 has completed at 0.8601. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.8497 low next. On the upside, break of 0.8601 will resume the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.9267 has completed, despite loss of downside momentum as seen in D MACD. As long as 0.8713 resistance holds, the down trend will remain in favor to resume through 0.8491 low at la later stage.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Fall from 0.9267 is the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499. Break of 0.8201 (2022 low) will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged higher to 0.8657 last week but reversed again. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. The rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.8655) maintains near term bearishness. Break of 0.8517 will resume the whole decline from 0.8977. On the upside, above 0.8657 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.8517 towards 0.8717 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8912; (P) 0.8933; (R1) 0.8971; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.8974 so far. Break of trendline in 4 hour MACD suggests upside re-acceleration. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9101 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.8871 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP recovered after hitting channel support last week. But upside was capped at 0.8927. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8802 support holds. Above 0.8927 will target 0.8977 resistance. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole rally from 0.8545. However, break of 0.8802 will now be a sign of reversal and turn bias back to 0.8720 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8801) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8977 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8448 extended sharply higher last week. The development suggests that fall from 0.8668 has completed already. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for retesting 0.8668 first. Firm break there will be a strong sign of near term bullish reversal at least. On the downside, break of 0.8534 resistance turned support will mix up the near term outlook again and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8689; (P) 0.8737; (R1) 0.8766; More

A temporary top is formed at 0.8786 in EUR/GBP with 4 hours MACD staying below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations. Deeper retreat might be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8402 to 0.8786 at 38.2% retracement of 0.8402 to 0.8786 at 0.8639 and bring another rise. Above 0.8786 will target 0.8851 resistance and above. However, price actions from 0.8303 are seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9304. Hence, we’d expect strong resistance from 100% projection of 0.8303 to 0.8851 from 0.8402 at 0.8950 to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8470; (P) 0.8502; (R1) 0.8531; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, below 0.8451 will bring retest of 0.8276 low. On the upside, break of 0.8591 will extend the rebound form 0.8276 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP fell to 0.8717 last week as corrective decline from 0.8977 extended, but drew support from 0.8720 support and recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.8842 resistance will argue that the correction has completed. Further rise should be seen back to 0.8924 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 0.8720 will bring deeper decline to 0.8545 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in range above 0.8529 last week, as well ass near term falling channel. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.8529 will resume the choppy decline towards retesting 0.8470 low. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8670 will confirm that corrective fall from 0.8718 has completed. Further rise would be seen to resume the rebound from 0.8470.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8795; (P) 0.8823; (R1) 0.8844; More…

EUR/GBP continues to lose upside momentum with today’s retreat. But there is no clear sign of topping yet. Further rally is still expected and sustained break of 0.8840 will target 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8681 resistance turned support is needed to indicate completion of rise from 0.8489. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8679; (P) 0.8700; (R1) 0.8716; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.8718 will resume the rebound from 0.8470, for 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784. On the downside, break of 0.8587 will bring retest of 0.8470 low instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.