Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8325; (P) 0.8337; (R1) 0.8351; More…

Further decline is expected in EUR/GBP despite weak downside momentum. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8417 resistance holds. Current down trend should target 0.8276 key long term support. On the upside, above 0.8417 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP breached 0.8491 key support last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further decline is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8553) holds. Decisive break of 0.8491/7 will resume larger down trend to 0.8376 projection level next. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9643 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.

EUR/GBP’s correction from 0.8624 extended lower last week after interim recovery. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 100% projection of 0.8624 to 0.8530 from 0.8591 at 0.8497, which is close to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8494). Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. But for now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8591 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.8382 is strong, there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. As long as 0.8643 resistance holds, down trend from 0.9267 could still resume through 0.8382 at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8643 will indicate that such down trend has completed, and turn outlook bullish for 0.8764 resistance next.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9069; (P) 0.9138; (R1) 0.9181; More…

EUR/GBP’s pull back from 0.9291 extended lower but it’s staying above 0.9067 support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 0.9291 will resume the whole rise from 0.8670. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371 next. However, sustained break of 0.9067 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 0.8866 support instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8592; (R1) 0.8628; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for 0.8402 support. Break of 0.8402 will extend the correction from 0.9304 with the third leg. In that case, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, though, above 0.8604 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9039; (P) 0.9054; (R1) 0.9075; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9175 is extending. On the upside, break of 0.9175 will resume larger rise from 0.8670, towards 0.9499 high. However, break of 0.8930 support will also come with firm break of 55 day EMA. That would argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed. In this case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 0.8864 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP rebounded strongly last week and the development suggests short term bottoming at 0.8401. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.8656 resistance. Firm break there will argue that whole down trend from 0.9499 has completed. Stronger rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8401 at 0.8820. On the downside, break of 0.8459 minor support will bring retest of 0.8401 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8656 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8656 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8635; (P) 0.8686; (R1) 0.8712; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8786 continues. Deeper fall might be seen but we’d expect support from 38.2% retracement of 0.8402 to 0.8786 at 0.8639 to contain downside. Break of 0.8786 will target 0.8851 resistance and above. Price actions from 0.8303 are seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9304. Hence, we’d expect strong resistance from 100% projection of 0.8303 to 0.8851 from 0.8402 at 0.8950 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained trading below 0.8693 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement 0.8549 and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8548; (P) 0.8565; (R1) 0.8584; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and further fall is in favor with 0.8676 resistance intact. Break of 0.8521 will target 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support. Considering diminishing downside momentum as seen in daily MACD, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8676 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 0.8786/9019 resistance zone first.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8482; (P) 0.8506; (R1) 0.8535; More…

The break of 0.8511 minor resistance indicates near term reversal in EUR/GBP. And the corrective pattern from 0.8851 could be finished with three waves down to 0.8312, just ahead of 0.8303 support. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.8786 resistance next. Firm break there could bring further rally towards 0.9304 high. Nonetheless, price actions from 0.9304 are seen as a corrective pattern and there is no clear sign of up trend resumption yet. Hence, even in that case, we’ll stay cautious on strong resistance below 0.9304. On the downside, below 0.8413 minor support with turn focus back to 0.8303 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. In any case, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) will resume at a later stage to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8556; (R1) 0.8575; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, above 0.8593 will target 0.8656 resistance. Firm break there will argue that whole down trend from 0.9499 has completed. Stronger rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8401 at 0.8820. On the downside, break of 0.8459 minor support will bring retest of 0.8401 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8656 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8656 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8767; (P) 0.8803; (R1) 0.8830; More

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8773 suggests resumption of fall from 0.9305. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.8312 to 0.9305 at 0.8691 and below. Such decline is seen as the third leg of consolidation pattern from 0.9304. We’ll look for bottoming signal again at it approaches 0.8303 support. However, break of 0.8884 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s still in progress with fall from 0.9305 as the third leg. Break of 0.8303 could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes.

EUR/GBP’s sideway trading continued last week, inside range of 0.8686/8928. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Also, outlook stays mildly bearish with 0.8928 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 0.8686 will resume whole decline from 0.9305. As 61.8% retracement of 0.8312 to 0.9305 should then be taken out too, deeper decline would be seen to retest 0.8303/8312 support zone. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 0.8928 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 0.9304 resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8690; (P) 0.8709; (R1) 0.8722; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook. Further decline is expected with 0.8863 resistance intact. Deeper fall might be seen to 0.8276/82 key support zone. On the upside, though, break of 0.8863 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 ) should still be in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). In any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8590; (P) 0.8626; (R1) 0.8648; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.8484 support will suggest rejection by 0.8697 medium term fibonacci resistance. Outlook will be turned bearish for 0.8248 support next. On the upside, break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8593; (R1) 0.8618; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP as consolidation from 0.8517 continues. On the downside, break of 0.8517 will resume the fall from 0.8977 to 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8635 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8658) and above.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9054; (P) 0.9092; (R1) 0.9119; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remain son the upside at this point. Decisive break of 0.9175 will resume whole choppy rise from 0.8670. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371. On the downside, below 0.9034 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will now be in favor as long as 0.8866 support holds.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8722 extended to as high as 0.8896 last week. The break of 0.8847 support turned resistance will suggest that the fall from 0.9097 has completed at 0.8722 already. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.9097 to 0.8722 at 0.8954 and above. On the downside, break of 0.8798 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8722 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.8722 will extend the falling leg through 0.8620 support. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8883; (P) 0.8908; (R1) 0.8951; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral as it recovers just ahead of 0.8864 near term support. Further fall is expected with 0.8974 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.8864 should confirm completion of whole rebound from 0.8670 at 0.9175. Deeper decline would then be seen to retest 0.8670 support. Nevertheless strong rebound from currently level, followed by break of 0.8974 resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9148/75 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’s still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8525; (P) 0.8539; (R1) 0.8555; More…

With 0.8561 minor resistance intact, fall from 0.8612 is still in favor to extend to retest 0.8448 low. Also, with 0.8668 resistance intact, larger fall from 0.9499 is probably still in progress, and break of 0.8448 will resume. On the upside, however, break of 0.8561 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8612 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.