Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8976; (P) 0.9007; (R1) 0.9030; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.9175 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9175 will resume larger rise from 0.8670, towards 0.9499 high. However, break of 0.8930 support will also come with firm break of 55 day EMA. That would argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed. In this case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 0.8864 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation from 0.8617 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further rise will remain in favor as long as 0.8365 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8617 will resume rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8365 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below. However, sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8604) will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP recovered notably last week but it’s, after all, staying in consolidation from 0.9030. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out as the consolidation extends. But downside should be contained by 0.8854 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.9043 will pave the way to retest 0.9305 key resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8854 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP retreated after rising to 0.8624 last week and a short term top could be formed ahead of 0.8643 resistance. Some consolidations could be seen now, with risk of deeper pullback. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8382 to 0.8624 at 0.8532 to bring another rally. On the upside, firm break of 0.8624 will target 0.8643 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.8382 is strong, there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. As long as 0.8643 resistance holds, down trend from 0.9267 could still resume through 0.8382 at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8643 will indicate that such down trend has completed, and turn outlook bullish for 0.8764 resistance next.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8688; (P) 0.8735; (R1) 0.8788; More…

Despite spiking higher to 0.8847, EUR/GBP quickly retreated. Intraday bias is neutral first with focus on 0.8786 resistance. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance from 0.8786 to complete the corrective rise from 0.8276. Break of 0.8621 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8276 low. However, sustained break of 0.8786 will indicate near term bullishness for 61.8% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8924 next.

In the bigger picture, there are various interpretations on the price actions from 0.9324. It could be the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Or it could just be correcting the rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9324. But in any case, as long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848 next. Firm break of 0.8786, however, will bring retest of 0.9324 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8975; (P) 0.9006; (R1) 0.9023; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook as sideway trading is still in progress. With 0.8861 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8670 is in favor to extend. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9291 will target 0.9449 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8861 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8525; (P) 0.8539; (R1) 0.8551; More…

Outlook in EUR/GBP remains unchanged as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 0.8529 support will argue that the corrective recovery from 0.8497 has completed at 0.8601. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.8497 low next. On the upside, break of 0.8601 will resume the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 0.9267 has completed, despite loss of downside momentum as seen in D MACD. As long as 0.8601 resistance holds, the down trend will remain in favor to resume through 0.8491 low at la later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8738; (P) 0.8759; (R1) 0.8779; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s mixed outlook is it’s still bounded in range of 0.8712/8844. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. . On the downside, break of 0.8679 support should confirm completion of the rebound form 0.8620. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support. Whole decline from 0.9305 will likely be resuming too. On the upside, above 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963).

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8645; (P) 0.8662; (R1) 0.8683; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8700 resistance will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rally to 0.8874 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by this resistance will maintain bearish outlook that larger down trend is not over. Firm break of 0.8629 resistance turned support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8568 support first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Decisive break of 0.8700 resistance will argue that this decline has completed with three waves down to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 could then be another leg inside the pattern and targets 0.8977 and above. However, rejection by 0.8700 will keep the down trend alive for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8583; (P) 0.8611; (R1) 0.8665; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the moment. Current development argues that pull back from 0.8851 is finished at 0.8402 already. Rise from there is possibly the third leg of the corrective price actions from 0.8303. Further rise would now be seen to 0.8851 and possibly above. Nonetheless, whole price actions fro 0.8303 are viewed as the second leg of the correction from 0.9304. Hence, we’d expect strong resistance from 100% projection of 0.8303 to 0.8851 from 0.8402 at 0.8950 to limit upside. On the downside, below 0.8546 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8402 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP’s rise from 0.8312 resumed last week and breached 0.8851 resistance. Initial bias remains on the upside this week first. Firm break of 0.8851 will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high. At this point, there is no clear sign up larger up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on topping around 0.9304. On the downside, however, break of 0.8639 support will now indicate near term topping and bring deeper pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8584) and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. The leg from 0.9304 should have completed after testing 0.8332 structural support. But it’s too early to say that larger rise from 0.6935 is resuming. Rejection from 0.9304 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9304 will target 0.9799 (2008 high). In case of another decline, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the long term picture, firstly, price action from 0.9799 (2008 high) is seen as a long term corrective pattern and should have completed at 0.6935 (2015 low). Secondly, rise from 0.6935 is likely resuming up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Thirdly, this is supported by the impulsive structure of the rise from 0.6935 to 0.9304. Hence, after the correction from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend to target 0.9799 high and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8926; (P) 0.8963; (R1) 0.9004; More…

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8786 accelerated to high as 0.8999 and hit 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8786 at 0.8992. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained break of 0.8992 will bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 0.9118 and above. On the downside, break of 0.8923 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8786 low.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8397; (P) 0.8453; (R1) 0.8550; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8508 resistance confirms short term bottoming a 0.8276. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside. Rise from 0.8276 is correcting whole fall form 0.9324 and should target 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676. On the downside, break of 0.8476 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.8276 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 was firmly taken out. Further decline should now be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.7848 next. In any case, further decline would remain in favor as long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8724; (P) 0.8759; (R1) 0.8792; More…

With 0.8711 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/GBP. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9101 to 0.8617 at 0.8802 will target 61.8% retracement at 0.8916. On the downside, break of 0.8711 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8617/20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9157; (P) 0.9167; (R1) 0.9180; More

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.9217 so far. Break of channel resistance suggests upside acceleration. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.9304 key resistance next. At this point, there is no clear sign of up trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304 to limit upside and bring another fall. But firm break of 0.9304 will confirm up trend resumption and pave the way to 0.9799. On the downside, below 0.9159 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes. In that case, 2008 high at 0.9799 will be the next target.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8489; (P) 0.8504; (R1) 0.8529; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as consolidation continues inside 0.8451/8591. On the downside, below 0.8451 will bring retest of 0.8276 low. On the upside, break of 0.8591 will extend the rebound from 0.8276 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8657; (P) 0.8679; (R1) 0.8696; More…

EUR/GBP drops sharply to as low as 0.8588 so far today. The break of 0.8617/20 key support zone suggests resumption of larger decline from 0.9305. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8617 from 0.8840 at 0.8541. On the upside, break of 0.8666 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 0.8840 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, decisive break of 0.8620 support will resume the falling leg from 0.9305 (2017 high) to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416. In that case, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 to contain downside and bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8805; (P) 0.8835; (R1) 0.8892; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP inside 0.8686/8928. Intraday bias remains neutral. Also, outlook stays mildly bearish with 0.8928 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 0.8686 will resume whole decline from 0.9305. As 61.8% retracement of 0.8312 to 0.9305 should then be taken out too, deeper decline would be seen to retest 0.8303/8312 support zone. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 0.8928 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 0.9304 resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP gyrated in range of 0.8474/8722 last week and outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first and more consolidative trading could seen. Overall, as long as 0.7822 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish. On the downside, firm break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend for 0.8416 long term projection next. On the upside, though, sustained break of 0.8722 will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rise back to 0.8840 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline could extend to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP stayed in range trading below 0.9054 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further rise is in favor as long as 0.8866 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.9054 will extend the rebound form 0.8670 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, firm break of 0.8866 will complete a head and should top pattern. That will indicate completion of the rise from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.