EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8539; (P) 0.8561; (R1) 0.8576; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remain son the downside at this point. Decline from 0.9324 is in progress for 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support. On the upside, however, break of 0.8676 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 0.8786/9019 resistance zone first.

In the bigger picture, we’re now seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9004; (P) 0.9071; (R1) 0.9111; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the downside at this point. Consolidation pattern from 0.9175 is extending with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.8930 support. Break will target 0.8864. On the upside, above 0.9139 will target 0.9175 resistance. Break will resume whole rebound from 0.8670 low.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8502; (P) 0.8523; (R1) 0.8552; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.8451 will bring retest of 0.8276 low. On the upside, break of 0.8591 will extend the rebound form 0.8276 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8593; (R1) 0.8618; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP as consolidation from 0.8517 continues. On the downside, break of 0.8517 will resume the fall from 0.8977 to 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8635 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8658) and above.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8743; (P) 0.8815; (R1) 0.8852; More…

Immediate focus is now on 0.8768 support in EUR/GBP. Sustained break of 0.8768, and 38.2% retracement of 0.8545 to 0.8896 at 0.8762, will argue that whole rebound from 0.9545 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.8679, and possibly further to retest 0.8545 low. On the upside, break of 0.8896 will resume the rally from 0.8545 to 61.8% projection of 0.8545 to 0.8876 from 0.8768 at 0.8973.

In the bigger picture, with 55 week EMA (now at 0.8618) intact, the favored case is that rise from 0.8545 is part of the whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9276 to 0.8545 at 0.8997 will pave the way to retest 0.9267 high next. However, break of 0.8768 support will dampen this view and bring retest of 0.8545 low instead.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8709; (P) 0.8731; (R1) 0.8745; More…

EUR/GBP is now in the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9499. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.8670 support. Break will target 161.8% projection of 0.9291 to 0.8861 from 0.9229 at 0.8533. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8790 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8274; (P) 0.8311; (R1) 0.8340; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside with focus on 0.8276 low. Decisive break there will resume whole fall from 0.9324. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9019 to 0.8276 from 0.8595 at 0.8136. On the upside, above 0.8348 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside, and extend the consolidation from 0.8276 with another rising leg.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. As long as 0.8595 holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and bring stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8605; (P) 0.8628; (R1) 0.8653; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, below 0.8559 will target a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8718 will resume the rebound from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8781; (P) 0.8812; (R1) 0.8853; More

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8688 temporary low. Deeper fall is expected as long as 0.8866 resistance holds. Below 0.8688 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8981 at 0.8468 first and then 100% projection at 0.8151 next. However, break of 0.8866 resistance will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 0.8981 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8740; (P) 0.8758; (R1) 0.8790; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook despite diminishing upside momentum. With 0.8711 minor support intact, further rise is expected. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9101 to 0.8617 at 0.8802 will target 61.8% retracement at 0.8916. On the downside, break of 0.8711 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8617/20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8574; (P) 0.8594; (R1) 0.8605; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral as consolidation from 0.8566 is in progress. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8660 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Break of 0.8566 will resume the fall from 0.8977, and target 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8660 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This is part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen through 0.8545 support. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9045; (P) 0.9064; (R1) 0.9085; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside and further rise should be seen to 0.9175 resistance. Break there will resume whole rebound from 0.8670. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8930 at 0.9242. On the downside, below 0.9034 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8800; (P) 0.8831; (R1) 0.8879; More

At this point, intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as it’s bounded in range below 0.8865. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8851/65 resistance zone will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 0.8639 support to bring rebound. However, break of 0.8639 support will now indicate near term topping and bring deeper pull back 0.8529 resistance turned support and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. The leg from 0.9304 should have completed after testing 0.8332 structural support. But it’s too early to say that larger rise from 0.6935 is resuming. Rejection from 0.9304 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9304 will target 0.9799 (2008 high). In case of another decline, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8966; (P) 0.9004; (R1) 0.9058; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. With 0.8866 minor support intact, further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 0.9054 will resume the rebound from 0.8670 and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, firm break of 0.8866 will indicate completion of the rise from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8860; (P) 0.8895; (R1) 0.8916; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8802 support holds. Above 0.8927 will target 0.8977 resistance. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole rally from 0.8545. However, break of 0.8802 will now be a sign of reversal and turn bias back to 0.8720 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8804) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8977 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8717 support indicates that the choppy decline from from 0.8977 is resuming. Initial bias is now on the downside this week. Deeper fall would be seen to 100% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8614. On the upside, above 0.8766 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8528; (P) 0.8562; (R1) 0.8580; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, , break of of 0.8529 will resume the choppy decline towards retesting 0.8470 low. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8616 resistance will argue that corrective fall from 0.8718 has completed. Further rise would be seen to 0.8670 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8516; (P) 0.8559; (R1) 0.8586; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in range of 0.8484/8720 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 0.8484 support holds, further rise is in favor. Break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped further to 0.8537 last week, but rebound strongly just ahead of 161.8% projection of 0.9291 to 0.8861 from 0.9229 at 0.8533. A short term bottom should be formed and initial bias remains on the upside this week. Further rise could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8837). Sustained break there will argue that fall from 0.9291, as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499, has completed. Also, for now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.8537 holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged higher to 0.8902 last week but formed a temporary top there. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidations. In case of another fall, downside should be contained well above 0.8681 resistance turned support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 0.8902 will turn bias back to the upside and target 0.9101 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8526). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.