EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9045; (P) 0.9073; (R1) 0.9120; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally accelerates to as high as 0.9170 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9079 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay cautiously bearish as long as 0.9001 support holds.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8811; (P) 0.8841; (R1) 0.8876; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside. Current rise from 0.8620 is in progress for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). On the downside, below 0.8829 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first and bring consolidation. But downside should be contained above 0.8724 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8529; (P) 0.8551; (R1) 0.8566; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral first, with mixed near term outlook. On the upside, firm break of 0.8670 resistance will revive that case that rebound from 0.8470 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.8718 resistance first. However, break of 0.8502 will resume the choppy corrective fall from 0.8718 towards 0.8470 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9038; (P) 0.9072; (R1) 0.9102; More…

Outlook in EUR/GBP is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. Price actions from 0.9291 are seen as a corrective pattern. Another fall through 0.9007 cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 0.8866 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9148 resistance will suggest completion of the correction. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9291 high.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8569; (P) 0.8579; (R1) 0.8599; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 0.8448 would target 0.9668 resistance. Firm break there will be a strong sign of near term bullish reversal at least. On the downside, break of 0.8534 resistance turned support will mix up the near term outlook again and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8540; (P) 0.8566; (R1) 0.8588; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.8634 resistance intact. Break of 0.8538 will resume larger decline from 0.8977 to 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.8634 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8935; (P) 0.8953; (R1) 0.8967; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook as fall from 0.9175 is in progress for 0.8864 support. Break should confirm completion of whole rebound from 0.8670. In this case, deeper fall would be seen back to 0.8670 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9067 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged higher last week but quickly retreated back into familiar range. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, above 0.8456 will target 0.8476 structural resistance first. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 0.8598 resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 0.8315 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next. However, firm break of 0.8476 will indicate medium term bottoming at least. Focus will be back on 55 week EMA (now at 0.8523) for more evidence of bullish reversal.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8893; (P) 0.8934; (R1) 0.8959; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside at this point. Choppy rebound from 0.8670 should have already completed at 0.9175. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.8864 support first. Break there should confirm this bearish case and target 0.8670 and below. On the upside, though, break of 0.8974 resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’s still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8330; (P) 0.8351; (R1) 0.8368; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook as further decline is expected as long as 0.8417 resistance holds. Current fall is part of the larger down trend from 0.9499. Further decline would be seen to 0.8276 key long term support. On the upside, above 0.8417 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8437; (P) 0.8466; (R1) 0.8520; More…

Further rise is mildly in favor in EUR/GBP. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 0.8486) will target 0.8593 structural resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.8434 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8379 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will be a sign of long term bearish reversal.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8940; (P) 0.9004; (R1) 0.9038; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9175 will resume larger rise from 0.8670, towards 0.9499 high. However, break of 0.8930 support will also come with firm break of 55 day EMA. That would argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed. In this case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 0.8864 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8339; (P) 0.8363; (R1) 0.8379; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8476 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for retesting 0.8282 low. Sustained break of 0.8276 key long term support will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 0.8411 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8476 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.8282.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8889; (P) 0.8905; (R1) 0.8929; More…

EUR/GBP recovers strongly after hitting 0.8864. But upside is limited well below 0.8957 so far. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Overall, while correction from 0.8957 may extend, as long as 0.8815 support holds, larger rally is expected to continue. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305. EUR/GBP should then target 61.8% retracement at 0.9043 next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8669; (P) 0.8709; (R1) 0.8739; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 0.8620 should have completed at 0.8790 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.8620 low. As EUR/GBP was rejected by falling 55 day EMA, recent decline is possibly still in progress. Break of 0.8620 will resume the whole fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8303/12 support zone. On the upside, though, above 0.8796 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation pattern from 0.8899 last week. Despite a deep pull back, downside was contained above 0.8796 support. Thus, further rise is still expected. On the upside, above 0.8890 will resume the rally from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, break of 0.8796 will be the first sign that whole rebound from 0.8620 is completed. Deeper would then be seen to 0.8724 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8326; (P) 0.8371; (R1) 0.8457; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8421 resistance indicates that a short term bottom is at least formed at 0.8282, just ahead of 0.8276 long term support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8598 structural resistance next. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.8282 support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still see a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support. Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Break of 0.8598 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 0.8578) should confirm this case and turn outlook bullish for 0.9499 high again. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8913; (P) 0.8935; (R1) 0.8967; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally extends to as high as 0.8954 so far and is finally showing some solid upside momentum. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Decisive break should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305. EUR/GBP should then target 61.8% retracement at 0.9043 next. On the downside, 0.8890 resistance turned support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, wed stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8904; (P) 0.8950; (R1) 0.8979; More…

EUR/GBP drops notably today abut stays in range of 0.8861/9229. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 0.8861 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8670 is in favor to extend. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9291 will target 0.9449 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8861 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8931; (P) 0.8966; (R1) 0.8985; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.9175 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.8864 support. Break will confirm completion of the rebound from 0.8670. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9067 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9175 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.