EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9108; (P) 0.9138; (R1) 0.9158; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is neutral for the moment as consolidation from 0.9291 is extending. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.9067 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9291 will extend the larger rise from 0.8670 and target 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371. However, sustained break of 0.9067 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 0.8866 support instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8836; (P) 0.8854; (R1) 0.8877; More…

EUR/GBP recovered after failing to sustain above 0.8861 support and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another fall is in favor as long as 0.8923 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8861 support will confirm that corrective rebound form 0.8670 has completed. Fall from 0.9929 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.8670 support. On the upside, though, break of 0.8923 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8564; (P) 0.8588; (R1) 0.8604; More…

EUR/GBP’s choppy decline from 0.8718 resumes by breaking 0.8559 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, break of 0.8627 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8670 resistance and above instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8934; (P) 0.8966; (R1) 0.9018; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 0.9004 resistance suggest that pull back from 0.9291 has completed. Also, with 0.8866 support intact, rise from 0.8276 isn’t over. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9291 resistance in this case. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.8866 will extend the pattern from 0.9499 with another falling leg to 0.8670 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped sharply to as low as 0.8497 last week. The downside acceleration suggests that consolidation from 0.8472 has completed with three waves to 0.8681, after failing to sustain above 55 day EMA. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 0.8472 low first. Break will resume fall from 0.9101 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8472 from 0.8681 at 0.8292 next. On the upside, above 0.8568 minor resistance will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9306 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s extending through 0.8312 support towards 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8121. We’ll look for strong support around there to contain downside to complete the correction. But for now, break of 0.8681 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8862; (P) 0.8889; (R1) 0.8910; More…

Immediate focus is now on 0.8861 support in EUR/GBP. Decisive break there will indicate that whole choppy rise form 0.8670 has completed. The pattern from 0.9499 should have then started a third leg to 0.8670 support and below. Nevertheless, rebound from the current level will retain near term bullishness, for another rise through 0.9291 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s dropped to as low as 0.8229 last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias stays on the downside this week first. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.8476 to 0.8304 from 0.8405 at 0.8233 will target 161.8% projection at 0.8127. On the upside, above 0.8304 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8385; (P) 0.8408; (R1) 0.8431; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in consolidation from 0.8381 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8434). On the downside, break of 0.8381 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499. Intraday bias will be back to the downside for 0.8276 key long term support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will but a sign of long term bearish reversal.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8584; (P) 0.8594; (R1) 0.8611; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8566. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8660 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Break of 0.8566 will resume the fall from 0.8977, and target 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This is part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen through 0.8545 support. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8304; (P) 0.8343; (R1) 0.8376; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, below 0.8308 will resume the fall fro 0.8476 to retest 0.8282 low. Sustained break of 0.8276 key long term support will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 0.8401 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8476 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.8282.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8720 resumed last week and dropped to as low as 0.8344. But a temporary low was formed and initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8585 resistance holds. Below 0.8344 will resume the decline for retesting 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Medium term term bearishness is maintained. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8604) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8525; (R1) 0.8564; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 0.8593 resistance will be the first sign of larger bullish reversal and target 0.8656 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.8452 will turn bias back to the downside to retest 0.8379 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8659; (P) 0.8703; (R1) 0.8727; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is mildly on the downside for 0.8570 support first. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.9267. On the upside, above 0.8827 will resume the rebound from 0.8570 and flip bias back to the upside instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8869 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8833; (P) 0.8861; (R1) 0.8901; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 0.8902 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8825 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8681 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8491 might have completed at 0.8609 last week. Initial bias is now mildly on the downside this week for retesting 0.8491. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8667 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8667 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to resume at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9090; (P) 0.9120; (R1) 0.9159; More…

Focus is back on 0.9007 support in EUR/GBP with yesterday’s sharp fall. Break will resume the decline from 0.9291 and turn intraday bias to the downside. Nevertheless, as such fall is still seen as a corrective move, downside should be contained above 0.8866 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9148 resistance will now suggest completion of the correction and bring retest of 0.9291 resistance.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8503; (P) 0.8526; (R1) 0.8566; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the upside, as rise from 0.8338 is in progress. Break of 0.8585 will bring further rally to 0.8720 resistance. On the downside, below 0.8501 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 0.8406 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain mildly in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term bearishness is maintained with prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

Last week’s sharp decline argues that rebound from 0.8655 has completed at 0.9101, after failing to sustain above 0.9098 resistance. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week with focus on 0.8927 support. Break will confirm near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 0.8655 to 0.9101 at 0.8825 and below. On the upside, break of 0.9101 resistance is needed to confirm rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stays on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside break out of 0.9620 will pave the way back to 0.8302/12 support zone. Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP reversed after edging higher to 0.8752 last week. Current development suggests that price actions from 0.8752 are correcting whole rally from 0.8491. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 0.8491 to 0.8752 at 0.8652 and below. But downside should be contained by 0.8614 support to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8614 support holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to resume at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8463; (P) 0.8541; (R1) 0.8589; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays mildly on the downside for pull back to 0.8465 support turned resistance. But overall, rise from 0.8201 is still in favor to continue as long as 0.8365 support holds. Break of 0.8617 will resume such rise to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.