Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8736; (P) 0.8773; (R1) 0.8792; More…

3The break of 0.8760 support suggests that rebound from 0.8620 is likely finished at 0.8844. The three wave corrective structure in turns argue that larger decline from 0.9305 is not completed yet. Intraday bias is turned back tot he downside for 0.8679 support first. Break will affirm this bearish case and target 0.8620 and below. On the upside, break of 0.8844 is now needed to revive the bullish case of reversal. Otherwise, outlook is now bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8482; (P) 0.8508; (R1) 0.8523; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8454 support suggests that corrective rise from 0.8726 has completed at 0.8595 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8726 low first. Break will resume larger down trend from 0.9324. On the upside, break of 0.8595 is needed to confirm resumption of the rebound. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is till in progress. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

EUR/GBP’s strong break of 0.8421 resistance last weeks argues that a medium term bottom was formed at 0.8282, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 0.8276 key long term support. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 0.8598 resistance next. Decisive break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 next. On the downside, below 0.8398 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still see a corrective pattern that should be contained by 0.8276 long term support (2019 low). Bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and break of 55 day EMA raises the chance that it might be completed. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8282 at 0.8747 will affirm this bullish case and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9034 and above).

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). However, sustained break of 0.8276 will indicate long term trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8684; (P) 0.8700; (R1) 0.8719; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 0.8718 will resume the rise from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784. On the downside, however, break of 0.8587 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8470 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8755; (P) 0.8771; (R1) 0.8792; More…

Despite diminishing upside momentum, there is no sign of topping in EUR/GBP yet. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.8840 resistance. Decisive break there will target 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 0.8681 resistance turned support will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8760; (P) 0.8796; (R1) 0.8837; More…

No change in EUR/GBP as it’s staying in range of 0.8732/9032. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9032 resistance intact. That is, fall from 0.9305 is expected to resume later. Break of 0.8732 will target 0.8303 key support level. Nonetheless, decisive break of 0.9032 will confirm completion of the decline from 0.9305. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9305 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8946; (P) 0.8967; (R1) 0.9008; More…

EUR/GBP strong rally and break of 0.9051 resistance indicates resumption of whole rise from 0.8472. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9101 key resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 0.9305 next. On the downside, break of 0.8891 support is now needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case off retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8545). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And this will be the preferred case as long as 55 week EMA (now at 0.8801) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8544; (P) 0.8590; (R1) 0.8616; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside at this point. Recovery from 0.8502 could have completed ahead o f0.8717 support turned resistance, keeping outlook bearish. Retest of 0.8502 low should be seen next, and firm break there will resume larger decline form 0.8977. On the upside, above 0.8618 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Firm break of 0.8717 support turned resistance will argue that it has completed with three waves down to 0.8502. Further break of 0.8977 will bring retest of 0.9267 high. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.8717, followed by break of 0.8502 will resume the decline towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8590; (P) 0.8613; (R1) 0.8625; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside for the moment. Deeper decline should be seen to 0.8548 support first. Firm break there will target 0.8491 low next. On the upside, above 0.8638 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8713 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8550; (P) 0.8568; (R1) 0.8586; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8279 will resume the rebound from 0.8537 and target 55 day EMA (now at 0.8774). However, firm break of 0.8537 will resume the decline from 0.9291, and that from 0.9499, towards 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8556; (P) 0.8570; (R1) 0.8585; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral as a temporary low is formed at 0.8552. Some consolidations could be seen and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.8648 support turned resistance to bring another fall. Below 0.8552 will target 0.8491 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is now seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8486; (P) 0.8512; (R1) 0.8551; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook as rise form 0.8379 is in progress for 0.8593 resistance. Sustained break there will be the first sign of larger bullish reversal and target 0.8656 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.8444 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8379 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will be a sign of long term bearish reversal.

EUR/GBP’s corrective fall from 0.9324 extended lower last week. While further decline cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong support from 0.8891 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8856 to contained downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9148 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9324 high. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should be resuming. Sustained break of 0.9305 will confirm and target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8891 support holds, in case of deep pull back. However, sustained break of 0.8891 will dampen this bullish view and focus would be back on 0.8472 key support.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8472 support holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9105; (P) 0.9168; (R1) 0.9219; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with today’s steep retreat. Some consolidations could be seen. Still, as long as 0.8861 support holds, choppy rise form 0.8670 should resume later. Break of 0.9229 will target 0.9291 resistance first. Firm break there will target 0.9449 high.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8885; (P) 0.8907; (R1) 0.8926; More…

With 0.8956 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays mildly on the downside despite diminishing downside momentum. As noted before, corrective rise from 0.8620 could have completed at 0.9097 already. Current fall should target 61.8% retracement at 0.8802 and below. On the upside, above 0.8956 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 0.9051 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). At this point, there is no clear sign of range break out yet. And more corrective trading would continue. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8688; (P) 0.8719; (R1) 0.8734; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8690 temporary low. As long as 0.8800 minor resistance holds, another fall is expected. Break of 0.8690 will extend whole fall from 0.9098 to 0.8620 support first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.9098 to 0.8722 from 0.8939 at 0.8563 next. However, break of 0.8800 will turn focus back to 0.8939 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.8722 will extend the falling leg through 0.8620 support. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8954; (P) 0.8989; (R1) 0.9018; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in range of 0.8866/9054 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is in favor with 0.8866 minor support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9054 will resume the rebound from 0.8670 and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, firm break of 0.8866 will indicate completion of the rise from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8282; (P) 0.8298; (R1) 0.8317; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral as consolidation from 0.8248 is extending. Further decline is still expected as long as 0.8379 resistance holds. Below 0.8248 will target a retest on 0.82101 low. On the upside, however, above 0.8379 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8294 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8577; (P) 0.8597; (R1) 0.8629; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.8529 will resume the choppy fall to retest 0.8470 low. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8670 will confirm that corrective fall from 0.8718 has completed. Further rise would be seen to resume the rebound from 0.8470.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP’s near term outlook is a bit mixed as it struggled to break through medium term trend line resistance. Yet, there was no sustainable selling. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.8844 will revive the case of bullish trend reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) to confirm. On the downside, however, below 0.8727 will target a test on 0.8620 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.