EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8667; (P) 0.8691; (R1) 0.8713; More…

For now, further rally could still be seen in EUR/GBP with 0.8649 intact. Rebound from 0.8548 could extend to 0.8764 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.8649 will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8548 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation from 0.8861 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Another fall is expected as long as 0.9068 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 0.8866 key support will indicate that rebound from 0.8670 has completed at 0.9291. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.8670, to extend the pattern from 0.9499. On the upside, however, firm break of 0.9068 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9291 resistance.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8537; (P) 0.8589; (R1) 0.8618; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8650 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.8729 resistance. Firm break there will reaffirm the case of short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound for 0.8861 support turned resistance. On the downside, firm break of 0.8537 will resume the decline from 0.9291, and that from 0.9499, towards 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9238; (P) 0.9252; (R1) 0.9276; More

EUR/GBP’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9304 key resistance. We’d remain cautious on rejection from 0.9304 to extend the medium term consolidation pattern. Break of 0.9184 will turn bias back to the downside for pull back to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8959). However, sustained break of 0.9304 will confirm up trend resumption and pave the way to 0.9799.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes. Firm break of 0.9799 high will target 61.8% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP 4 Hours Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8781; (P) 0.8805; (R1) 0.8829; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8760 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.8830 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance next (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Firm break there will confirm neat term reversal. On the downside, below 0.8760 minor support will turn focus back to 0.8679 support. Break there will suggests that larger decline from 0.9305 is resuming.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s strong rebound from 0.8655 suggests near term reversal on bullish convergence in daily MACD. Initial bias stays on the upside this week first. Break of 0.8939 resistance will target 0.9098 next. On the downside, below 0.8779 minor support will turn focus back to 0.8655 instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Medium term fall from 0.9305 is possibly in progress and could extend through 0.8620. On the upside, break of 0.8939 resistance is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8877; (P) 0.8912; (R1) 0.8934; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9175 should continue to 0.8864 support. Break will confirm completion of whole rebound from 0.8670 at 0.9175. On the upside, though, break of 0.8974 resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’s still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8543 support argues that larger down trend is ready to resume. Further decline is expected this week for 0.8502 first. Firm break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 0.8874 to 0.8502 from 0.8667 at 0.8437. On the upside, above 0.8592 minor resistance will mix up the outlook and extend sideway trading.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8667 resistance holds. Break of 0.8502 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to resume at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound was limited at 0.8635 last week and quickly reversed. The development keeps near term outlook bearish. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Break of 0.8517 will resume the fall from 0.8977 to 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8635 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8666) and above.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8912; (P) 0.8933; (R1) 0.8971; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.8974 so far. Break of trendline in 4 hour MACD suggests upside re-acceleration. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9101 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.8871 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8527). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8938; (P) 0.8962; (R1) 0.8977; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral as sideway trading continues. Further fall is mildly in favor with 0.9068 resistance intact. Sustained break of 0.8866 will argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed, and pattern from 0.9499 has started the third leg. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 0.8670 and possibly below. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9068 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9291 resistance..

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9087; (P) 0.9129; (R1) 0.9174; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 0.9291 are seen as consolidations only and further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 0.9291 will resume the whole rise from 0.8670. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371 next. However, sustained break of 0.9067 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 0.8866 support instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP surged to as high as 0.9048 last week. The development indicates that whole decline from 0.9324 has completed at 0.8276 already. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for retesting 0.9324 high. On the downside, break of 0.8842 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral to bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, there are various interpretations in medium term price actions from 0.9263 (2016 high). We’re currently favoring the case that it’s a consolidation pattern with fall from 0.9324 to 0.8276 as the third leg, due to the strong impulsive rally from 0.8276. Decisive break of 0.9324 will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.6935, for 0.9799 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, current development suggests that up trend form 0.6935 is still in progress. It would be the third leg of the whole up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9263 should indicate resumption of such long term up trend.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation below 0.8876 last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further rally is expected as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.8719) holds. Break of 0.8876 will resume the rise from 0.8545 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9276 to 0.8545 at 0.8997 and possibly above. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring retest of 0.8545 low instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed for now as rise from 0.8545 would either be part of the up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low), or just a correction to 0.9267 (2022 high). As long as 55 week EMA (now at 0.8609) holds, the former case is in favor, and break of 0.9267 should be seen next as up trend resumes at a later stage. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will shift favor to the latter case, for another decline back towards 0.8201.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8345; (P) 0.8381; (R1) 0.8449; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside at this point. Further rally should be seen to 0.8511 resistance first. Further break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 0.8307 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8248 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8528; (P) 0.8546; (R1) 0.8561; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is back on the downside as choppy fall from 0.8718 resumed through 0.8540 temporary low. Deeper fall could be seen back to retest 0.8470 low. On the upside, break of 0.8600 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8670 resistance and above instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped to as low as 0.8627 last week as down trend form 0.9305 resumed. As a temporary low is likely formed, initial bias is neutral this week first. But recovery should be limited well below 0.8796 resistance to bring another decline. Break of 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8407.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound last week suggests short term bottoming after drawing support from 0.8620 key support level. Further rise is expected this week as long as 0.8711 minor support holds, to 38.2% retracement of 0.9101 to 0.8617 at 0.8802. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.8916. On the downside, break of 0.8711 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8617/20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP retreated after hitting 0.8465 last week. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 0.8465 will target 0.8511 resistance. Further break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next. However, on the downside, break of 0.8380 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8248 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8713; (P) 0.8786; (R1) 0.8833; More…

At this point, we’d still expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.8282 to 0.9499 at 0.8747 to complete the correction from 0.9499. On the upside, break of 0.8987 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9499 high first. However, sustained break of 0.8747 will dampen near term bullishness and bring deeper fall back to 0.8276/82 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.9324 (2016 high) confirms resumption of up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.