Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8713; (P) 0.8741; (R1) 0.8794; More…

EUR/GBP’s strong rebound and firm break of 0.8739 indicates near term reversal. And whole decline from 0.9305 has likely completed after hitting 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8796 first. Firm break there will target key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP edged higher to 0.9101 last week but failed to sustain above 0.9098 resistance and retreated sharply. Nevertheless, downside is contained above 0.8927 support and initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9098 resistance will extend the whole rise from 0.8655 to 0.9304 key resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 0.8927 support will suggest near term reversal and turn bias to the downside for 0.8810 support and below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). It should be in medium term rising leg for 0.9304. Meanwhile, in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8884; (P) 0.8908; (R1) 0.8940; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 0.8472 is in progress for 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8829 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8526). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion, if upside is rejected by 0.9101.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8920; (P) 0.8949; (R1) 0.8986; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target is 100% projection of 61.8% projection of 0.8545 to 0.8896 from 0.8720 at 0.9071. On the downside, below 0.8875 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8720 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8780) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8896 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, break of 0.8270 support and sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8794; (P) 0.8815; (R1) 0.8835; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, firm break of 100% projection of 0.9291 to 0.8861 from 0.9229 at 0.8799 will indicate downside acceleration for 0.8670 support, as part of the corrective pattern from 0.9499. However, break of 0.8917 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8841; (P) 0.8871; (R1) 0.8891; More…

A temporary top is in place at EUR/GBP with 0.8902 on loss of upside momentum. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 0.8681 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 0.8902 will turn bias back to the upside and target 0.9101 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

EUR/GBP dropped sharply to as low as 0.8695 last week as fall from 0.9324 resumed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8687 first. Break will target 100% projection at 0.8481. On the upside, above 0.8792 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But recovery should be limited well below 0.9019 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, we’re now seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) could either be resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Or it’s just the second leg of the consolidation pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Eventual structure of the pull back from 0.9324 should reveal which case it should be.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8708; (P) 0.8726; (R1) 0.8757; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook. Further decline is mildly in favor with 0.8863 resistance intact. Current fall from 0.9499 could target 0.8276/82 key support zone. On the upside, though, break of 0.8863 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 ) should still be in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). In any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8757; (P) 0.8797; (R1) 0.8852; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. We’d still expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.8282 to 0.9499 at 0.8747 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8987 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.9499 high. However, sustained break of 0.8747 will dampen near term bullishness and bring deeper fall back to 0.8276/82 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 ) should still be in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). In any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8810; (P) 0.8835; (R1) 0.8858; More…

EUR/GBP is still staying in range below 0.8864 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.8864 will extend the rebound from 0.8717 to 0.8924 resistance. Further break there should confirm completion of the choppy decline from 0.8977, and should resume larger rise from 0.8545 through 0.8977 high. However, decisive break of 0.8717 support will resume the decline from 0.8977 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8743; (P) 0.8815; (R1) 0.8852; More…

Immediate focus is now on 0.8768 support in EUR/GBP. Sustained break of 0.8768, and 38.2% retracement of 0.8545 to 0.8896 at 0.8762, will argue that whole rebound from 0.9545 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.8679, and possibly further to retest 0.8545 low. On the upside, break of 0.8896 will resume the rally from 0.8545 to 61.8% projection of 0.8545 to 0.8876 from 0.8768 at 0.8973.

In the bigger picture, with 55 week EMA (now at 0.8618) intact, the favored case is that rise from 0.8545 is part of the whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9276 to 0.8545 at 0.8997 will pave the way to retest 0.9267 high next. However, break of 0.8768 support will dampen this view and bring retest of 0.8545 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8476; (P) 0.8502; (R1) 0.8515; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Rise from 0.8201 is still in favor to continue as long as 0.8365 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8617 will resume such rise to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8365 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8841; (P) 0.8860; (R1) 0.8876; More…

Downside momentum in EUR/GBP is a bit weak as seen in 4 hour MACD. But still, with 0.8896 minor resistance intact, intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.8871 support first. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 0.8686 and target a retest of this low. On the upside, above 0.8896 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. Further break of 0.8967 will resume the rebound from 0.8686 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8686 at 0.9069.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8321; (P) 0.8358; (R1) 0.8380; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Current fall is part of the larger down trend from 0.9499. Further decline would be seen to 0.8276 key long term support. On the upside, above 0.8417 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8598 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8598 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 0.8276 will argue that the long term trend has reversed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8341; (P) 0.8371; (R1) 0.8419; More…

EUR/GBP’s rise from 0.8201 resumed by breaking through 0.8456 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained break of 0.8476 resistance will indicate medium term bottom at 0.8201. Near term outlook will be turn bullish for 0.8697 fibonacci level next. . On the downside, below 0.8398 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next. However, firm break of 0.8476 will indicate medium term bottoming at least, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Stronger rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8739; (P) 0.8752; (R1) 0.8765; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8688 minor support holds. Break of 0.8797 will extend the rise from 0.8620 to key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8600; (P) 0.8624; (R1) 0.8660; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral as consolidation from 0.8548 is still extending. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8648 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8548 will resume the decline from 0.8764 to retest 0.8419 low next. However, sustained break of 0.8648 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8616; (P) 0.8630; (R1) 0.8648; More…

Focus stays on 0.8638 minor resistance in EUR/GBP. Firm break there will be the first sign of short term bullish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.8713). Sustained break there will affirm the case that whole corrective pattern from 0.9499 has completed. Nevertheless, break of 0.8532 support will resume such pattern to 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9055; (P) 0.9095; (R1) 0.9132; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the upside at this point. Pull back from 0.9175 should have completed at 0.8930 and rise from 0.8670 is probably ready to resume. Break of 0.9175 will confirm this bullish case and target 61.8% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8930 at 0.9242. On the downside, below 0.9034 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation from 0.8861 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Another fall is expected as long as 0.9068 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 0.8866 key support will indicate that rebound from 0.8670 has completed at 0.9291. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.8670, to extend the pattern from 0.9499. On the upside, however, firm break of 0.9068 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9291 resistance.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.