EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8587; (P) 0.8651; (R1) 0.8749; More…

EUR/GBP’s rally continues today and hit 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Sustained break above 0.8697 will carry larger bullish implication and target next fibonacci level at 0.9003. On the downside, below 0.8593 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8484 support holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s decline last week suggests that rebound from 0.8548 has completed at 0.8713 already. Initial bias stays mildly on the downside this week for 0.8548 support first. Firm break there will target 0.8491 low next. On the upside, above 0.8638 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8713 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is see as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Fall from 0.9267 is the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499. Break of 0.8201 (2022 low) will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8378; (P) 0.8404; (R1) 0.8440; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral first. On the upside, above 0.8434 will target 0.8476 structural resistance first. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 0.8598 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8315 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next. However, firm break of 0.8476 will indicate medium term bottoming at least. Focus will be back on 55 week EMA (now at 0.8534) for more evidence of bullish reversal.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8625; (P) 0.8643; (R1) 0.8664; More…

EUR/GBP recovers further as consolidation from 0.8474 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8722 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend for 0.8416 long term projection next. On the upside, though, sustained break of 0.8722 will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rise back to 0.8840 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline could extend to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8653; (P) 0.8677; (R1) 0.8693; More…

Break of 0.8649 minor support argues that EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8548 has completed at 0.8713. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.8548 support. On the upside, however, break of 0.8713 will resume the rebound to 0.8764 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9066; (P) 0.9111; (R1) 0.9159; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first and further decline is mildly in favor with 0.9220 minor resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.9024 will target 0.8866 support first. Firm break there will confirm that whole rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Nevertheless, break of 0.9220 will argue that such rebound from 0.8670 is resuming for above 0.9291.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8533; (P) 0.8556; (R1) 0.8573; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8479 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8595 will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 0.8276 to 0.8591 from 0.8479 at 0.8794.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8868; (P) 0.8903; (R1) 0.8943; More…

EUR/GBP is still bounded in range trading below 0.9054 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise will be mildly in favor as long as 0.8866 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.9054 will extend the rebound from 0.8670 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. However, firm break of 0.8866 will indicate completion of the rise from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8619; (P) 0.8682; (R1) 0.8714; More…

A temporary top is formed at 0.8744 in EUR/GBP and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, price actions from 0.8726 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Larger outlook remains bearish with 0.8786 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8594 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8276 low. However, sustained break of 0.8786 will indicate near term bullishness for 61.8% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8924 next.

In the bigger picture, there are various interpretations on the price actions from 0.9324. It could be the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Or it could just be correcting the rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9324. But in any case, as long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848 next. Firm break of 0.8786, however, will bring retest of 0.9324 high.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8997; (P) 0.9027; (R1) 0.9060; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. After all, as long as 0.8861 support holds, choppy rise form 0.8670 should resume later. Break of 0.9229 will target 0.9291 resistance first. Firm break there will target 0.9449 high.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8527; (P) 0.8554; (R1) 0.8580; More…

For now, further decline is expected in EUR/GBP with 0.8611 resistance intact. Fall from 0.8977 should target 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. However, break of 0.8611 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8612; (P) 0.8636; (R1) 0.8653; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8619 minor support argues that rebound from 0.8502 has completed at 0.8700, ahead of 0.8717 support turned resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.8502 low. Firm break there will resume larger decline form 0.8977. Nevertheless, break of 0.8700 will revive near term bullishness for another take on 0.8717.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Firm break of 0.8717 support turned resistance will argue that it has completed with three waves down to 0.8502. Further break of 0.8977 will bring retest of 0.9267 high. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.8717, followed by break of 0.8502 will resume the decline towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8571; (P) 0.8586; (R1) 0.8605; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays mildly higher at this point for 0.8670 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm that corrective fall from 0.8718 has completed. Further rise would be seen to resume the rebound from 0.8470. On the downside, however, below 0.8529 will resume the choppy fall to retest 0.8470 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8896; (P) 0.8918; (R1) 0.8956; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9054 will resume the rebound form 0.8670 and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. However, considering, bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 0.8866 minor support will argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 low.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9045; (P) 0.9066; (R1) 0.9097; More…

Consolidation from 0.9175 is extending and intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9175 resistance will resume whole rise from 0.8670. Nevertheless, break of 0.8930 will bring deeper fall to 0.8864 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8751; (P) 0.8788; (R1) 0.8812; More…

EUR/GBP retreated after hitting 0.8826 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, above 0.8826 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance next (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Firm break there will confirm neat term reversal. On the downside, below 0.8679 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9156; (P) 0.9177; (R1) 0.9206; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 0.9067 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9291 will resume whole rally from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371. However, sustained break of 0.9067 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 0.8866 support instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s decline resumed last week and reached 0.8811, but recovered since then. Further fall is expected as long as 0.8917 resistance holds. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.9291 to 0.8861 from 0.9229 at 0.8799 will indicate downside acceleration for 0.8670 support, as part of the corrective pattern from 0.9499. However, break of 0.8917 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP rose further to 0.8511 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Prior break of 0.8476 suggests short term bottoming at 0.8201. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 0.8294 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8511 will target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next. However, break of 0.8294 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8294 support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP surged to as high as 0.9190 and formed a temporary top there before turning into consolidation. The break of 0.9101 key resistance carries larger bullish implication. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 0.8891 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 0.9190 will resume recent rise for 0.9305 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that corrective fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8472. And, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) is ready to resume. Break of 0.9305 will target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8472 support holds.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8472 support holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.