EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8379 continued last week and hit as high as 0.8549. Initial bias is on the upside this week for 0.8593 structural resistance next. Sustained break there will be the first sign of larger bullish reversal and target 0.8656 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8487 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8379 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). However, sustained break of 0.8276 will indicate long term trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917, and possibly below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8738; (P) 0.8765; (R1) 0.8796; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the moment. short term bottom should be formed after hitting 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621. Break of 0.8796 will pave the way to key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8570; (P) 0.8582; (R1) 0.8594; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Current rise from 0.8941 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.8502. On the upside, above 0.8609 would resume the rebound and target 0.8667 resistance, possibly further to 0.8700. On the downside, however, break of 0.8522 will bring retest of 0.8491 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Fall from 0.8977 is seen as the third leg. As long as 0.8700 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. Break of 0.8491 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low). Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8700 will now be a sign of bullish reversal.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8705; (P) 0.8732; (R1) 0.8753; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and near term outlook also remains rather mixed. On the downside, break of 0.8679 support should confirm completion of the rebound form 0.8620. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support. Whole decline from 0.9305 will likely be resuming too. On the upside, above 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963)

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8797; (P) 0.8831; (R1) 0.8860; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Strong support is still expected from 61.8% retracement of 0.8282 to 0.9499 at 0.8747 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8987 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.9499 high. However, sustained break of 0.8747 will dampen near term bullishness and bring deeper fall back to 0.8276/82 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 ) should still be in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). In any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8511 extended lower last week but it’s still staying above 0.8294 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.8294 will argue that rebound from 0.8201 has completed at 0.8511, and revive near term bearishness. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.8201 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.8511 will reaffirm that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom, and target 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8294 support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8520; (P) 0.8534; (R1) 0.8550; More…

While EUR/GBP is losing downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD, there is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8611 resistance holds. Fall from 0.8977 should target 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. However, break of 0.8611 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8540; (R1) 0.8555; More…

Intraday in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with current recovery, but further decline is expected with 0.8592 resistance holds. Decisive break of 0.8502 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.8874 to 0.8502 from 0.8667 at 0.8437. On the upside, above 0.8592 minor resistance will mix up the outlook and extend sideway trading from 0.8502.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8667 resistance holds. Break of 0.8502 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8730; (R1) 0.8753; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside as fall from 0.8967 is in progress to retest 0.8686 low. We’d be cautious on strong support from there to bring another rebound. But decisive break of 0.8686 will resume whole fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8303 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8757 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery first.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound form 0.8670 extended further last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182 first. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 0.9499 high. On the downside, below 0.9901 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for testing 0.8864 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8722; (P) 0.8759; (R1) 0.8826; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Break of 0.8863 will confirm short term bottoming at 0.8670. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.8987. On the downside, however, break of 0.8670 will resume the fall from 0.9499 to 0.8276/82 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8743; (P) 0.8758; (R1) 0.8773; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8688 minor support holds. Break of 0.8797 will extend the rise from 0.8620 to key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s decline from 0.8840 extended to as low as 0.8660 last week before recovering slightly. The development argues that corrective rise from 0.8617 might have completed already. Initial bias is neutral this week first with deeper decline is favor. Break of 0.8666 will target 0.8617/20 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.8762 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.8840 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, decisive break of 0.8620 support will resume the falling leg from 0.9305 (2017 high) to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416. In that case, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP rebounded strongly after hitting 0.8201 last week. But a temporary top was formed at 0.8434 and initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 0.8434 will target 0.8476 structural resistance first. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 0.8598 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8315 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9499 is expected to continue as long as 0.8476 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.8276 support will argue that the whole up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 next. However, firm break of 0.8476 will indicate medium term bottoming at least. Focus will be back on 55 week EMA (now at 0.8534) for more evidence of bullish reversal.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s correction from 0.9499 extended to 0.8739 last week but recovered after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.8282 to 0.9499 at 0.8747. Initial bias is neutral this week first. We’d still expect strong support form 0.8747 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8987 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.9499 high. However, sustained break of 0.8747 will dampen near term bullishness and bring deeper fall back to 0.8276/82 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 ) should still be in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. Initial resistance could be seen around there as it’s close to 0.9799 (2008 high). In any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, rise form 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Decisive break of 0.9799 will target 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8474; (P) 0.8493; (R1) 0.8513; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8532 minor support suggests temporary bottoming at 0.8470. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8644 resistance holds. Break of 0.8470 will extend larger fall from 0.9499 to 0.8276 key support. However, firm break of 0.8644 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8593; (P) 0.8623; (R1) 0.8642; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point and some more consolidations could be seen. On the upside, break of 0.8279 will resume the rebound from 0.8537 and target 55 day EMA (now at 0.8791). However, firm break of 0.8537 will resume the decline towards 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8936; (P) 0.8968; (R1) 0.8990; More…

EUR/GBP lost upside momentum after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.8987 and retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is still in favor for the moment. Sustained break of 0.8987 will indicate completion of whole fall from 0.9499. Further rally should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9182 and above. However, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8894) will suggest completion of rebound from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8670 low.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9051; (P) 0.9073; (R1) 0.9091; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 0.9112. Further is expected and break of 0.9112 will target 0.9175 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rebound from 0.8670. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8930 at 0.9242. On the downside, below 0.9034 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias back to the downside..

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8472; (P) 0.8491; (R1) 0.8503; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is back on the downside with break of 0.8452 support. Fall from 0.8598 will target 0.8379 first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend fro m0.9499 to long term support at 0.8276. For now, deeper decline will remain in favor as long as 0.8549 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.