Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8723; (P) 0.8764; (R1) 0.8808; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in range above 0.8670 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 0.8863 will confirm short term bottoming at 0.8670. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.8987. On the downside, however, break of 0.8670 will resume the fall from 0.9499 to 0.8276/82 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 is deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9157; (P) 0.9204; (R1) 0.9251; More…

With 0.9088 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/GBP. Current rally should now target 0.9305 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9088 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again to bring consolidations, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that corrective fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8472. And, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) is ready to resume. Break of 0.9305 will target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8472 support holds.

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 09201 resumed by breaking through 0.8511 resistance last week. The development affirms the case that 0.8201 is a medium term bottom. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Further rally would be seen to 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 0.8500 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.8465 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8201, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Rise from there could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. In either case, further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9003.

In the long term picture, current development argues that fall from 0.9499 is probably the third leg of the pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 will pave the way back to 0.6935 (2015 low) and probably below. However, sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8606) will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP’s steep decline last week argues that rebound from 0.8201 has completed at 0.8720 already, after rejection by 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level. The development maintains medium term bearishness. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 0.8201/48 support zone next. On the upside, above 0.8531 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 argues that rebound from 0.8201 is merely a corrective move. That is, down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) is now over. Sustained break of 0.8201 will resume such decline and target 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8720 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8604) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8407; (P) 0.8421; (R1) 0.8440; More…

Further fall is expected in EUR/GBP as long as 0.8467 resistance holds. Current down trend from 0.9499 is in progress for 0.8276 key long term support next. On the upside, break of 0.8467 minor resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound back to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8513).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8656 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8656 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9062; (P) 0.9091; (R1) 0.9108; More

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.9305 short term top accelerates to as low as 0.8981 so far. Such decline is likely the third leg of the consolidation from 0.9304. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.8312 to 0.9305 at 0.8926 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 8691 and below. On the upside, above 0.9075 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it is finished yet. But in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound. Whole up trend from 0.6935 is expected to resume after consolidation from 0.9304 completes. Firm break of 0.9799 high will target 61.8% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8524; (P) 0.8559; (R1) 0.8577; More…

EUR/GBP retreated notably after failing to sustain above 0.8593 resistance an intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 0.8593 resistance will be the first sign of larger bullish reversal and target 0.8656 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8487 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.