EUR/GBP edged lower to 0.8282 last week but recovered ahead of 0.8276 low. A short term bottom could be formed and consolidation form 0.8276 might be in it’s third leg. On the upside, break of 0.8415 will turn bias to the upside for 0.8537/8595 resistance zone. On the downside, decisive break of 0.8276 will confirm resumption of whole fall from 0.9324.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.9324 medium term top is still in progress. As long as 0.8595 holds, further fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8595 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and bring stronger rebound.

In the long term picture, fall from 0.9324 is currently seen as the third leg of the whole pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). It’s a bit early to judge how deep the decline would extend to and whether 0.6935 would be taken out. We’ll pay attention to the structure of the fall from 0.9324 and corresponding downside momentum to made an assessment later.

EUR/GBP edged lower to 0.8847 last week but staged a strong rebound from there. There development suggests that fall from 0.9097 has completed. More importantly, the corrective structure argues that larger rise from 0.8620 is not completed. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.9097 resistance first. Firm break there will resume the rise from 0.8620 towards 0.9305 high. On the downside, break of 0.8936 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). At this point, there is no clear sign of range break out yet. And more corrective trading would continue. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8662; (P) 0.8682; (R1) 0.8695; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first with current retreat. Focus stays on 0.8700 resistance. Decisive break there carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rally to 0.8874 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by this resistance will maintain bearish outlook that larger down trend is not over. Break of 0.8629 resistance turned support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8568 support first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Decisive break there will argue that this decline has completed with three waves down to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 could then be another leg inside the pattern that targets 0.8977 and above. However, rejection by 0.8700 will keep the down trend alive for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8440; (P) 0.8456; (R1) 0.8472; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 0.8376 projection level next. On the upside, above 0.8482 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high is in progress). Next target is 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376. Sustained break there will target 161.8% projection at 0.8211 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8594; (P) 0.8606; (R1) 0.8618; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 0.8575 is extending. Another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.8811 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8575 will resume the fall from 0.9324 and target 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re now seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8589; (P) 0.8608; (R1) 0.8622; More…

No change in EUR/GBP’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, below 0.8559 will target a test on 0.8470 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8718 will resume the rebound from 0.8470 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8370; (P) 0.8393; (R1) 0.8416; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8344 temporary low. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, further decline is expected as long as 0.8585 resistance holds. Below 0.8344 will resume the fall from 0.8720 for retesting 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Medium term term bearishness is maintained. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

EUR/GBP stayed in range of 0.8451/8591 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, below 0.8451 will bring retest of 0.8276 low. On the upside, break of 0.8591 will extend the rebound from 0.8276 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9324 to 0.8276 at 0.8676.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) should have completed at 0.9324 already. As long as 0.8786 support turned resistance holds, further decline is expected. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.7848. Nevertheless, break of 0.8786 will argue that fall from 0.9324 has completed and turn focus back to this high.

In the long term picture, fall from 0.9324 is currently seen as the third leg of the whole pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). It’s a bit early to judge how fall the decline would extend to and whether 0.6935 would be taken out. We’ll pay attention to the structure of the fall from 0.9324 and corresponding downside momentum to made an assessment later.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9153; (P) 0.9187; (R1) 0.9229; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.9291 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 0.9067 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9291 will resume whole rally from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371. However, sustained break of 0.9067 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 0.8866 support instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP fell to as low as 0.8498 last week but recovered just ahead of 0.8491/7 support zone. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations first. Further decline is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8564) holds. Decisive break of 0.8491/7 will resume larger down trend to 0.8376 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8486; (P) 0.8517; (R1) 0.8534; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.8593 resistance will be the first sign of larger bullish reversal and target 0.8656 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.8452 will turn bias back to the downside to retest 0.8379 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8796; (P) 0.8806; (R1) 0.8823; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8827 resistance argues that whole decline from 0.9267 has completed. Intraday bias is now back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9276 to 0.8545 at 0.8997 and possibly above. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.8744) holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9267 is seen as a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8827 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8610; (P) 0.8622; (R1) 0.8645; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the upside as rise from 0.8491 extends higher today. While further rally could be seen, this rise is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.8502. Upside should be limited by 0.8667/8700 resistance zone. On the downside, below 0.8614 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 0.8568 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8491 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Fall from 0.8977 is seen as the third leg. As long as 0.8700 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. Break of 0.8491 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low). Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8700 will now be a sign of bullish reversal.

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8338 extended higher last week but outlook is unchanged. Fall from 0.8720 is still expected to resume as long as 0.8585 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8338 support will target a retest on 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Medium term bearishness is maintained. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8591) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8820; (P) 0.8839; (R1) 0.8865; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8828 indicates that fall from 0.9229 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Immediate focus is now on 100% projection of 0.9291 to 0.8861 from 0.9229 at 0.8799. Firm break there will indicate downside acceleration for 0.8670 support, as part of the corrective pattern from 0.9499. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8917 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9020; (P) 0.9050; (R1) 0.9071; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9162 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9024 will resume the decline from 0.9291 to 0.8866 support. Decisive break there should confirm completion of the whole choppy rebound from 0.8670. Though, break of 0.9126 will likely resume such rebound through 0.9291.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8911; (P) 0.8924; (R1) 0.8939; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation below 0.8957 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 0.8815 support holds, further rally is expected in the cross. Sustained break of 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305. EUR/GBP should then target 61.8% retracement at 0.9043 next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8370; (P) 0.8404; (R1) 0.8460; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral again with break of 0.8414 minor resistance and some consolidation would be seen. But near term outlook will stay cautiously bearish as long as 0.8585 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8338 will resume the fall from 0.8720 and target a test on 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Medium term term bearishness is maintained. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8653; (P) 0.8677; (R1) 0.8693; More…

Break of 0.8649 minor support argues that EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8548 has completed at 0.8713. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.8548 support. On the upside, however, break of 0.8713 will resume the rebound to 0.8764 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8819; (P) 0.8837; (R1) 0.8860; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral as it recovered after breaching 61.8% retracement of 0.8472 to 0.9324 at 0.8797. On the downside, sustained break of 0.8786 will extend the fall from 0.9328 towards 0.8472 key support next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.8894 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would then be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.8977).

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 0.9305 (2017 high) suggests that consolidation from there is extending. Breach of 0.8472 cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9305 at 0.8400. On the upside, firm break of 0.9327 will confirm up trend resumption.