EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8407; (P) 0.8414; (R1) 0.8426; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment and more consolidations could be seen above 0.8382. Further decline is in favor. But considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, downside could be contained by 61.8% projection of 0.8619 to 0.8396 from 0.8498 at 0.8360 on first attempt. On the upside, break of 55 4H EMA (now at 0.8420) will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 key support (2022 low). For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8817; (P) 0.8859; (R1) 0.8905; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8890 resistance suggests resumption of rise from 0.8620. Intraday bias is now on the upside. Current rally would target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, upside momentum is rather unconvincing. Break of 0.8808 support will be the first sign that whole rebound from 0.8620 is completed. Deeper fall would then be seen to 0.8724 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8664; (P) 0.8676; (R1) 0.8692; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8700/4 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.8491, and carry larger bullish implications. Nevertheless, break of 0.8614 will turn bias to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 0.8704 with another leg.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Decisive break of 0.8700 resistance will argue that this decline has completed with three waves down to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 could then be another leg inside the pattern and targets 0.8977 and above. However, rejection by 0.8700 will keep the down trend alive for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8766; (P) 0.8802; (R1) 0.8829; More…

EUR/GBP failed to break through 0.8844 and retreated. Break of 0.8776 minor support turned intraday bias neutral again. For now, another rise is expected as long as 0.8693 support holds. Break of 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, break of 0.8693 will bring deeper fall back to retest 0.8620 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8593; (R1) 0.8618; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP as consolidation from 0.8517 continues. On the downside, break of 0.8517 will resume the fall from 0.8977 to 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8635 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8658) and above.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8499; (P) 0.8510; (R1) 0.8518; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Current fall is part of the pattern for 0.9499 and would target 0.8276 key support level. We’d look for bottoming signal as it approaches this support. On the upside, above 0.8532 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But, break of 0.8644 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8713; (P) 0.8779; (R1) 0.8838; More…

EUR/GBP recovered after breaching 0.8720 support and intraday bias is turned neutral again first. On the upside, break of 0.8842 resistance will argue that the corrective pull back from 0.8977 has completed. Further rise should be seen back to 0.8924 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 0.8720 will bring deeper decline to 0.8545 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8642; (P) 0.8655; (R1) 0.8672; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. Also, risk remains on the upside as long as 0.8537 support holds. Break of 0.8729 will resume the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.8818). Sustained break there will argue that fall from 0.9291, as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499, has completed. However, firm break of 0.8537 will resume the decline towards 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9156; (P) 0.9177; (R1) 0.9206; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 0.9067 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9291 will resume whole rally from 0.8670. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 100% projection of 0.8670 to 0.9175 from 0.8866 at 0.9371. However, sustained break of 0.9067 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 0.8866 support instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing the fall from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend form 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8615; (P) 0.8631; (R1) 0.8650; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as sideway trading continues. Further rally is expected with 0.8484 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.8720 and sustained trading above 0.8697 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 0.9003 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.8484 will indicate rejection by 0.8697 and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8201 medium term bottom could could either be a correction to the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high), or a medium term up trend itself. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697 will affirm the latter case, and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will maintain medium term bearishness.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP edged higher to 1.8812 last week but failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 0.9101 to 0.8617 at 0.8802. Initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 0.8711 minor support holds, further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 0.8802 will target 61.8% retracement at 0.8916. However, break of 0.8711 will suggest that rebound from 0.8617 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.8617/20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). The medium term range is set between 0.8620 and 0.9101. Downside breakout of 0.8620 will pave the way back to 0.8312 support . Break of 0.9101 will bring retest of 0.9304/5 resistance.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8572; (P) 0.8609; (R1) 0.8632; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in consolidation from 0.8575 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.8811 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8575 will resume the fall from 0.9324 and target 100% projection of 0.9324 to 0.8786 from 0.9019 at 0.8481, which is close to 0.8472 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re now seeing 0.9324 as a medium term top on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Price actions from there should develop into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9324 at 0.8411 but strong support should be seen there, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9324 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8552; (P) 0.8601; (R1) 0.8631; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9267 is in progress and should target 0.8201/8388 support zone. For now, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8779 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8722; (P) 0.8736; (R1) 0.8744; More…

EUR/GBP’s sharp decline and break of 0.8688 minor support suggests that rebound from 0.8620 has completed at 0.8790 already, ahead of 0.8796 resistance, limited by 55 day EMA. The development also dampens the bullish case of near term reversal. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.8620 low first. Break there will resumed the whole decline from 0.9305. On the upside, though, above 0.8796 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8539; (P) 0.8565; (R1) 0.8597; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral again with current recovery. On the upside, break of 0.8529 resistance will be the first sign that corrective fall from 0.8718 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.8670 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.8529 will resume the choppy fall to retest 0.8470 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8956; (P) 0.8992; (R1) 0.9062; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Overall, choppy rise from 0.8670 is in favor to continue as long as 0.8861 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9291 will target 0.9499 high. However, break of 0.8861 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8977 continued last week and the close below 0.8545 support should confirm resumption of whole down trend from 0.9267. Intraday bias stays on the downside this week. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453. On the upside, break of 0.8634 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the down trend form 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rally continued last week even though upside momentum was not too convincing. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 0.9101 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8790 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8681 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8511). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. Nevertheless, as EUR/GBP is still staying inside long term falling channel, correction from 0.9305 could still extend to 0.8400 fibonacci level before completion.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8592; (P) 0.8606; (R1) 0.8621; More…

EUR/GBP’s fall from 0.8713 resumed by breaking through 0.8585 today. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.8548 support first. Firm break there will argue that larger down trend is ready to resume through 0.8491 low. On the upside, break of 0.8619 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further fall is in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8764 is seen as another leg in the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds. Break of 0.8491 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8491 from 0.8764 at 0.8464.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8813; (P) 0.8836; (R1) 0.8865; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the upside with 0.8801 minor support intact. Whole fall from 0.9097 might be completed. Rebound from 0.8722 should target 38.2% retracement of 0.9097 to 0.8722 at 0.8865. Break will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8954 and above. On the downside, however, break of 0.8801 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8722 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current development suggests that fall from 0.9303, as a down leg in the pattern, is still in progress. But in case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 0.8116 cluster support, 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9304 at 0.8120, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.