EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8550; (P) 0.8588; (R1) 0.8609; More…

EUR/GBP is staying in range of 0.8537/8729 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.8279 will resume the rebound from 0.8537 and target 55 day EMA (now at 0.8790). However, firm break of 0.8537 will resume the decline towards 0.8276 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8716; (P) 0.8754; (R1) 0.8785; More…

Outlook in EUR/GBP is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, above 0.8808 will target 0.8844 first. Firm break there will finally confirm our bullish view and resume the rebound from 0.8620 to 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). On the downside, however, break of 0.8679 minor support should indicate completion of the rebound form 0.8620. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP gyrated in range of 0.8474/8722 last week and outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first and more consolidative trading could seen. Overall, as long as 0.7822 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish. On the downside, firm break of 0.8474 will resume larger down trend for 0.8416 long term projection next. On the upside, though, sustained break of 0.8722 will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rise back to 0.8840 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Current fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) is a falling leg inside the pattern. Such decline could extend to 100% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8620 from 0.9101 at 0.8416 and possibly below. But for now, we’d expect strong support around 0.8312 support to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in sideway consolidation last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. With 0.8861 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8670 is in favor to extend. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9291 will target 0.9449 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8861 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8670 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8953; (P) 0.9004; (R1) 0.9041; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 0.8670 could have completed at 0.9175, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8670 at 0.9182. Further fall should be seen to 0.8864 support. Break will confirm this bearish case and target a test on 0.8670 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.9067 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9175 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 0.9499 was deep, there is no sign of trend reversal yet. The up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) should resume at a later stage to 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9263 from 0.8276 at 0.9715. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8668; (P) 0.8677; (R1) 0.8687; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the upside despite some loss of upside momentum. Current rebound from 0.8548 would target 0.8764 key resistance next. EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8548 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 0.8764 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.8649 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8548 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This decline is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Break of 0.8201 will target 100% projection of 0.9499 to 0.8201 from 0.9267 at 0.7969. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8764 resistance holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8735; (R1) 0.8756; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Choppy decline form 0.8977 is resuming and would target 100% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8614. On the upside, above 0.8766 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s pull back from 0.9051 extended to 0.8891 last week, but drew support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Consolidation from 0.9051 could extend with another fall through 0.8891. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8489 to 0.9051 at 0.8836 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9051 will indicate rise resumption for 0.9101 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9305 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. No change in this view. Current development argues that it might have completed with three waves down to 0.8472, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8400, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8545). Decisive break of 0.9101 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And this will be the preferred case as long as 55 week EMA (now at 0.8801) holds.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9306 at 0.8400 holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8728; (P) 0.8747; (R1) 0.8762; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral at this point. As the cross was supported by 0.8686 key support level, we’d slightly favoring the case for further rebound. On the upside, above 0.8796 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8967 to 0.8666 at 0.8852 and above. Nonetheless, on the downside, firm break of 0.8666 will resume the decline from 0.9305 and pave the way to 0.8303 key support zone next.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8494; (P) 0.8505; (R1) 0.8520; More…

EUR/GBP’s rise from 0.8379 resumed by breaking 0.8549 and intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8593 structural resistance. Sustained break there will be the first sign of larger bullish reversal and target 0.8656 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8487 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8593 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. We’d look for bottoming signal around there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8593 will now be an early sign of medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.8656 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8379 at 0.8807.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation above 0.8660 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8758 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8660 will resume recent decline from 0.8977 to 100% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8614. Nevertheless, break of 0.8758 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This is part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen through 0.8545 support. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8874 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s decline from 0.8977 continued last week and hit as low as 0.8566. As a temporary low was formed there, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. But recovery should be limited by 0.8660 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Break of 0.8566 will target 161.8% projection of 0.8977 to 0.8717 from 0.8874 at 0.8453.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. This is part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall would be seen through 0.8545 support. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to extend at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP’s rebound from 0.8338 extended higher last week but outlook is unchanged. Fall from 0.8720 is still expected to resume as long as 0.8585 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8338 support will target a retest on 0.8201 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Medium term bearishness is maintained. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

In the long term picture, the lack of medium term downside momentum suggests that fall from 0.9499 (2020 high) is merely a correction to rise from 0.6935 (2015 high). In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9499 at 0.7917 to bring rebound. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 0.8591) will indicate that the correction has completed and bring retest of 0.9499.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8930; (P) 0.8947; (R1) 0.8970; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and some more sideway trading could be seen. Further fall is mildly in favor with 0.9068 resistance intact. Sustained break of 0.8866 will argue that rebound from 0.8670 has completed, and pattern from 0.9499 has started the third leg. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 0.8670 and possibly below. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9068 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9291 resistance.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8576; (P) 0.8596; (R1) 0.8617; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and further decline is expected with 0.8674 resistance intact. Break of 0.8545 will resume the fall from 0.9267, and target 61.8% projection of 0.9267 to 0.8647 from 0.8827 at 0.8444 next. On the upside, above 0.8674 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound back to 0.8827 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 0.9267 is a down leg inside long term range pattern. Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201/8338 support zone. But strong support should be seen there to bring reversal. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8827 resistance will turn favor to the case that such decline is merely a correction in the up trend from 0.8201. That is, further rally would be seen at a later stage through 0.9267.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8333; (P) 0.8366; (R1) 0.8393; More…

EUR/GBP’s decline resumes after brief consolidation and intraday bias back on the downside. Current fall from 0.8720 should target a retest on 0.8201 low. On the upside, above 0.8414 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will stays cautiously bearish as long as 0.8585 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Medium term term bearishness is maintained. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8624; (P) 0.8661; (R1) 0.8724; More…

EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8653 minor resistance indicates short term bottoming at 0.8537, just ahead of 161.8% projection of 0.9291 to 0.8861 from 0.9229 at 0.8533. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.8832). For now, risk will be mildly on the upside as long as 0.8537 holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8443; (P) 0.8473; (R1) 0.8520; More…

EUR/GBP’s choppy rise from 0.8338 resumed by breaking 0.8510 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.8585 resistance firs. On the downside, break of 0.8406 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain mildly in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term bearishness is maintained with prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Break of 0.8201 will resume larger down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high). Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8697 will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself.

EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP dropped to as low as 0.8690 last week and break of 0.8772 indicate resumption of decline from 0.9098. With a temporary low in place at 0.8690, initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 0.8800 minor resistance holds, another fall is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8690 will extend whole fall from 0.9098 to 0.8620 support first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.9098 to 0.8722 from 0.8939 at 0.8563 next. However, break of 0.8800 will turn focus back to 0.8939 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). Medium term fall from 0.9305 is possibly in progress and could extend through 0.8620. On the upside, break of 0.8939 resistance is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Hence, after the consolidation from 0.9304 completes, we’d expect another medium term up trend through 0.9799 to 100% projection of 0.5680 to 0.9799 from 0.6935 at 1.1054.

EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9108; (P) 0.9138; (R1) 0.9158; More…

EUR/GBP drops sharply to as low as 0.9024 so far today. The break of 0.9067 support, as well as 55 day EMA, raises the chance that rebound from 0.8670 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.8866 support for confirmation. For now, risk will remain mildly on the downside as long as 0.9220 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).