Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1203; (P) 1.1229; (R1) 1.1249; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. In case of another fall through 1.1195, we’d still expect strong support above 1.1162 to bring rebound. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1292 resistance should confirm short term bottoming. Further rise should then be seen back to retest 1.1476 resistance. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1162 could carry larger bearish implication and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed at 1.1162 after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1154 will confirm resumption of decline from 1.2004 and target 1.0629 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9913; (P) 0.9983; (R1) 1.0022; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9986 suggests that corrective pattern from 1.0095 is in the third leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9874 support, and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9558; (P) 0.9574; (R1) 0.9604; More…

EUR/CHF recovers mildly today but stays in established range. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9601 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9513 will resume the decline from 1.0095, towards 0.9407 low. However, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9818). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1043; (P) 1.1061; (R1) 1.1081; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. Correction from 1.1149 could still extend lower. But downside of pull back should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1187; (P) 1.1250; (R1) 1.1282; More…

EUR/CHF dipped further to as low as 1.1208 so far as recent decline resumed. For now, there is no clear sign of bottoming yet and deeper fall could be seen. But we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone at 1.1154/98 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1319 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1452 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0718; (P) 1.0730; (R1) 1.0748; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0750 resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.0678, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Stronger rebound could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0794). Sustained break there will target 1.0936 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0678 will resume larger fall from 1.1149.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1271; (P) 1.1293; (R1) 1.1322; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.1264 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidation could be seen but further decline is expected as long as 1.1350 support tuned resistance holds. On the downside below 1.1264 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1476 towards 1.1162 low. We’d expect strong support above there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1350 will suggest that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 again.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

EUR/CHF surged to as high as 1.1096 last week as rebound from 1.0503 resumed. The cross then failed to sustain above 1.1059/76 resistance zone and retreated. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidations first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1096 will target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 will argue that the rebound might be completed, and bring deeper fall back to 1.0737 support.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076). Sustained break there will argue that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting an up trend. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. Though, rejection by 1.1059/76 will remain medium term bearishness first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1065; (P) 1.1084; (R1) 1.1102; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1056 and intraday bias remains neutral first. More sideway trading could be seen. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF’s sharp decline last week suggests that rise from 0.9252 has already completed at 0.9928 already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption, and target 0.9252 low next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.9563 support, as well as 55 W EMA (now at 0.9672) argues that rebound from 0.9252 has completed at 0.9928. Medium term bearish is maintained with both 1.0095 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.9252 will resume the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9520; (P) 0.9544; (R1) 0.9572; More….

EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9928 resumed after brief recovery and intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below below 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption, and target 0.9252 low next. On the upside, above 0.9566 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.9563 support, as well as 55 W EMA (now at 0.9672) argues that rebound from 0.9252 has completed at 0.9928. Medium term bearish is maintained with both 1.0095 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.9252 will resume the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9653; (P) 0.9672; (R1) 0.9700; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 0.9798 will resume the rebound to 0.9864 resistance. Firm break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0152), even as a corrective rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0940; (P) 1.0965; (R1) 1.1002; More….

Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will suggest that consolidation pattern from 1.1149 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1149 and above, to resume larger rise from 1.0503. However, firm break of 1.0915 resistance turned support will suggest bearish reversal and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1727; (P) 1.1750; (R1) 1.1763; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally from 1.1445 is still in progress and further rise should be seen to retest 1.1832 resistance. At this point, we’d remain cautious on strong resistance from there to bring another fall to extend recent corrective pattern. Though, firm break will confirm resumption of larger up trend. On the downside, break of 1.1649 support will turn focus back to 1.1445 instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0713; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0689 minor support intact, we continue to favor the case of trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, after defending 1.0620 key support level. That is, correction from 1.1198 could have completed. Above 1.0823 will target 1.0897 resistance next. However, break of 1.0689 support will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0629 low again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0850; (P) 1.0890; (R1) 1.0923; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0912 minor support suggests that corrective recovery from 1.0811 has completed at 1.1018 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0811 first. Break will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 1.0929 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0707; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0737; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 1.0688 temporary low. Outlook is unchanged that fall from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern fro 1.0915. Current recovery should be limited by 1.0749 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 1.0688 temporary low will target 1.0602 support next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0749 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0661; (P) 1.0677; (R1) 1.0695; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.0764 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish. On the downside, break of 1.0656 will resume larger fall from 1.1149 to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0481.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0760; (R1) 1.0786; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0838 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected 1.0712 support intact. Break of 1.0838 will extend the rise from 1.0602 to 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0712 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0602 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1124; (P) 1.1143; (R1) 1.1166; More…

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.1056 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.