EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0795; (P) 1.0814; (R1) 1.0830; More

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0782 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.0860 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 1.0782 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn bias to the upside for recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0783; (P) 1.0808; (R1) 1.0833; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside, as rebound from 1.0694 is on track to 1.0839 resistance. Sustained break there will turn near term outlook bullish for 1.0863/0985 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 1.0780 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0694 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0859) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1082; (P) 1.1117; (R1) 1.1158; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside with focus on 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.1404. On the downside, below 1.1073 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.0954 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9644; (P) 0.9667; (R1) 0.9690; More

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9606 and intraday bias remains neutral. Also, outlook remains bearish with 0.9721 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9606 will resume larger decline from 1.0095 to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9670 from 0.9840 at 0.9515.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9913). Down trend form 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9121; (P) 0.9455; (R1) 0.9639; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 0.9252. While stronger recovery might be seen, further decline is expected as long as 0.9402 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0619; (P) 1.0646; (R1) 1.0674; More

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.0590 temporary continues today and intraday bias remains neutral. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. but upside should be limited by 1.0737 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0590 will turn bias to the downside for 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped notably last week but remained above 1.1056 low. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. More sideway trading cannot be ruled out. But in case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1325; (P) 1.1354; (R1) 1.1384; More…

With 1.1317 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for 1.1452 resistance. Decisive break there should confirm near term reversal. That is, whole correction from 1.2004 has completed at 1.1178 after hitting 1.1154/98 key support zone. In that case, further rise should be seen to 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.1317 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1335; (P) 1.1347; (R1) 1.1362; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation in range of 1.1310/1444. Further rise is still mildly in favor with 1.1310 intact. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9719; (P) 0.9739; (R1) 0.9777; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.9476 is in progress and should target 0.9928 high next. On the downside, however, break of 0.9677 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF surged to as high as 1.1096 last week as rebound from 1.0503 resumed. The cross then failed to sustain above 1.1059/76 resistance zone and retreated. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidations first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1096 will target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 will argue that the rebound might be completed, and bring deeper fall back to 1.0737 support.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076). Sustained break there will argue that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting an up trend. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. Though, rejection by 1.1059/76 will remain medium term bearishness first.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0548; (P) 1.0571; (R1) 1.0602; More

Still no change in EUR/CHF’s outlook even though it’s lacking a direction for now. With 1.0170 resistance intact, further fall is expected. Current down trend is in progress for 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, break of 1.0710 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0629 key support should now pave the way to parity next. Overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9918; (R1) 0.9937; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9953 minor resistance will suggests short term bottoming at 0.9804, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0125). on the downside, break of 0.9804 will resume larger down trend to 0.9650 long term projection level.

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s late break of 1.0650 support last week suggests resumption of decline from 1.0915. Initial bias remains is now on the downside this week for 61.8% projection of 1.0915 to 1.0650 from 1.0769 at 1.0605 first. Sustained break there will target 100% projection at 1.0504, which is close to 1.0503 low. On the upside, break of 1.0769 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the decline. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9578; (P) 0.9598; (R1) 0.9611; More

EUR/CHF is losing some upside momentum but intraday bias stays on the upside for now. Current rise from 0.9252 should target 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. On the downside, below 0.9553 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9622) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9726; (P) 0.9757; (R1) 0.9809; More

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9760 resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.9670, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9779) will add to case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed, and target 0.9878 resistance next. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.9670 support holds.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9929). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9320; (P) 0.9341; (R1) 0.9372; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 0.9471 could still extend lower, but downside should be contained above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9363 minor resistance will argue that the correction from 0.9471 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9471 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1521; (P) 1.1543; (R1) 1.1561; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Another fall is mildly in favor with 1.1585 minor resistance intact. Below 1.1478 will target 1.1366 first. Break will resume the larger corrective decline from 1.2004. On the upside, above 1.1585 will likely extend the rebound from 1.1366 through 1.1656. But in that case, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1538; (P) 1.1588; (R1) 1.1616; More….

EUR/CHF lost momentum after hitting 1.1639 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. With 1.1505 minor support intact, rebound from 1.1366 is in favor to extend. Above 1.1639 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. We’ll look for topping signal above there though. On the downside, however, break of 1.1505 will suggest that the rebound is completed. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1366.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0709; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0743; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment as it’s bounded in range of 1.0677/0762. Below 1.0677 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1198 and target 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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