Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0760; (R1) 1.0786; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0838 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected 1.0712 support intact. Break of 1.0838 will extend the rise from 1.0602 to 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0712 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0602 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1618; (P) 1.1638; (R1) 1.1672; More…

EUR/CHF breached 1.1656 resistance briefly without follow through buying. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1599 minor support will suggest that rebound from 1.1478 is completed. And bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1478 and then a test on 1.1366 short term bottom. On the upside, firm break of 1.1656 will resume the corrective rise from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9706; (P) 0.9729; (R1) 0.9752; More…

EUR/CHF failed to break through 0.9760 resistance and treated. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Strong support should still be seen around 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670 to complete the whole corrective pattern from 1.0095. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will pave the way back to 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0352; (P) 1.0369; (R1) 1.0392; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0298 is extending. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 1.0510 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.0298 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation below 1.1149 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral tis week first. Another fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise form 1.0503 to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF’s uptrend resumed last week and edged higher to 1.1721 but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidation first. Another rise will be in favor as long as 1.1638 minor support holds. Above 1.1721 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2 key level. However, below 1.1638 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1541 support.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1116) and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1544; (P) 1.1581; (R1) 1.1608; More…

EUR/CHF’s corrective fall from 1.1709 is still in progress and deeper decline could be seen. But still, near term outlook stays bullish with 1.1483 support holds. Above 1.1663 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1709 high. Break will resume medium term rally to 1.2 key level. However, break of 1.1483 will be an early sign of reversal. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 1.1355 support.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1104) and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9317; (P) 0.9331; (R1) 0.9349; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9252 is still in progress. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9402 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0710; (P) 1.0751; (R1) 1.0775; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0744 minor support suggests that rebound from 1.0503 has completed earlier than expected at 1.0915. Intraday bias is now back on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0640). Sustained break there will bring retest of 1.0503 low. On the upside, though, above 1.0799 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.0811 key support turned resistance suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from 1.0503 could either be correcting the down trend from 1.2004. Or it could be starting a new up trend. Focus is now on 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076). Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. Though, rejection by 1.1059/76 will revive medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9443; (P) 0.9459; (R1) 0.9490; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some consolidations would be seen above 0.9402 first. Further fall is expected as long as 0.9543 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0771; (P) 1.0789; (R1) 1.0807; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 1.0936 will target a test on 1.0694 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0936 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains mixed as EUR/CHF is still failing to get rid of 55 week EMA cleanly. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0734; (P) 1.0746; (R1) 1.0767; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0839 resistance intact and further fall is expected. On the downside, break of 1.0694 will resume larger fall from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0863) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF’s sharp decline and break of 1.0677 support last week indicates resumption of recent decline. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for next key support level at 1.0620 first. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. On the upside, break of 1.0749 resistance is needed to indicate near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 would be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0804; (P) 1.0834; (R1) 1.0850; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point and some more sideway consolidation could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.8920 resistance will target 1.0915. On the downside, below 1.0787 will target 1.0737 support first. Break there will extend the sideway pattern from 1.0915 with another falling leg, towards 1.0661 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0730; (P) 1.0737; (R1) 1.0746; More…

EUR/CHF drops sharply today but stays in range of 1.0677/0762. Intraday bias remains neutral first. The corrective price actions from 1.0677 affirmed near term bearishness. Break of 1.0677 will extend recent decline to 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. But decisive break there is needed to confirm trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish for another fall later.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0288; (P) 1.0330; (R1) 1.0373; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside for 1.0400 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 0.9970, and target 1.0610 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.0246 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 1.0086 support holds.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1087 last week but quickly lost momentum. Initial bias is neutral this week first for consolidation. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.0986 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1087 at 1.0989) and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.1087 will target key resistance at 1.1127/98. However, break of 1.0986/89 will indicate short term topping, possibly on bearish divergence condition in dail MACD. In such case, deeper fall would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0918) and below.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. We’ll favor this bullish case as long as 1.0830 support holds. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9658; (P) 0.9676; (R1) 0.9694; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral again as it retreated again after edging higher to 0.9691. For now, further rally will stay in favor as long as 0.9617 support holds. Above 0.9691 will resume the rise from 0.9513 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9513 at 0.9735. However, firm break of 0.9617 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9513 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9799). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1471; (P) 1.1494; (R1) 1.1524; More….

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.1387 resumed and intraday bias is mildly on the upside for further rise. Still, break of 1.1622 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, the consolidation from should continue with risk of at least another fall. Below 1.1450 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1387 and below. Strong support in expect at 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251) to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9580; (P) 0.9615; (R1) 0.9673; More….

While EUR/CHF recovers, further decline is still expected with 0.9698 resistance intact. Current down trend should now target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, break of 0.9698 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.