Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1212; (P) 1.1268; (R1) 1.1298; More…

EUR/CHF recovers mildly today but still, intraday bias stays on the downside for key support zone at 1.1154/98. At this point, we’d still expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1310 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1452 resistance. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF recovered notably last week as consolidation pattern from 1.0811 extended. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and outlook is unchanged. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, sustained break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend and target 1.0629 key support next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF rose to as high as 1.0512 last week but failed to break through 1.0513 resistance and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0513 will resume the whole rebound from 0.9970, for 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0216 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.0086 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0851).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9682; (P) 0.9710; (R1) 0.9728; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.9798 will resume the rebound to 0.9864 resistance. Firm break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188), even as a corrective rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1392; (P) 1.1431; (R1) 1.1454; More…

At this point. EUR/CHF is staying below 1.1477 minor resistance and intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 1.1537 could extend but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 to bring rebound. Break of 1.1477 resistance will argue that the consolidation from 1.1537 has completed and larger rise is resuming. Further break of 1.1537 will confirm and target 1.2 key resistance level next.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1366; (P) 1.1396; (R1) 1.1421; More…

EUR/CHF dips mildly today but it’s, after all, staying in consolidation from 1.1537. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next. On the downside, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0633; (P) 1.0654; (R1) 1.0664; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in tight range of 1.0631/0706 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.0706 resistance intact, outlook stays mildly bearish. Break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.0706 minor resistance will raise the chance of medium term reversal. In that case, focus will be turned back to 1.0749 and then 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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EUR/CHF edged lower to 0.9601 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9684 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9601 will resume larger decline from 1.0095, and target 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9670 from 0.9840 at 0.9515. On the upside, however, break of 0.9684 will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9889). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0459) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0697; (P) 1.0722; (R1) 1.0770; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0650 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0799 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0650 will target a test on 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, break of 1.0799 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0745; (P) 1.0771; (R1) 1.0791; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as fall from 1.0890 is in progress. Decisive break of 1.0737 support will confirm the start of another falling leg inside the pattern from 1.0915. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.0658 support. On the upside, above 1.0813 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0903; (P) 1.0924; (R1) 1.0960; More…

Stronger recovery could be seen in EUR/CHF but outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 1.0811 are seen as a consolidation pattern, that’s extending. We’d still expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1470; (P) 1.1521; (R1) 1.1579; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1366 is still in progress. Further recovery could be seen. But we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1610 to bring another decline. Below 1.1366 will resume the fall from 1.2004 and target next key support zone between 1.1154 and 1.1198.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. The cross has met 1.1445 already, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0672; (P) 1.0700; (R1) 1.0715; More…

EUR/CHF is still holding on to 1.0683 minor support despite brief breach. Intraday bias stays neutral first. We’d slightly favoring the case of trend reversal on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. And, further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.0683 minor support holds. Above 1.0761 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Break will re-affirm the case of trend reversal and target 1.0897 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.0683 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0620 key support level again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9633; (P) 0.9666; (R1) 0.9688; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9602 and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.9948 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9602 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0787; (P) 1.0818; (R1) 1.0865; More…

EUR/CHF’s breach of 1.0838 resistance suggests that rise from 1.0602 is resuming. Further rise is now in favor as long as 1.0739 support holds, towards 1.0915 resistance. However, break of 1.0739 will suggest that rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1665; (P) 1.1701; (R1) 1.1721; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. We’d maintain that it’s close to topping. And in case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen well below 1.2 handle to bring medium term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1602 support will indicate reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.1387 and below.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1952; (P) 1.1969; (R1) 1.1984; More…

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.2004 is still unfolding and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But further rise is expected as long as 1.1888 minor support holds. Decisive break 1.2 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2003 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.

EUR/CHF continued to engage in sideway trading last week. The corrective price actions and it’s stay below falling 55 days EMA affirmed near term bearishness. Break of 1.0677 will extend recent decline to 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. But decisive break there is needed to confirm trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish for another fall later.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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EUR/CHF’s steep decline last week indicates that whole rebound from 0.9407 has completed at 0.9953, ahead of 0.9970 support turned resistance. Initial bias is now on the downside this week. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement a 0.9616, and possibly below. On the upside, though, above 0.9818 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. That is, down trend resumption through 0.9407 is favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

In the long term picture, capped well below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). In case of resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1345; (P) 1.1356; (R1) 1.1371; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation in range of 1.1310/1444. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rally is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.