EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0833; (P) 1.0846; (R1) 1.0862; More…

At this point, the correction from 1.0986 could still extend lower. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rebound. Break of 1.0908 resistance will argue that the correction is completed. In such case, intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0986/0999 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9817; (P) 0.9830; (R1) 0.9849; More

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9797 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Deeper decline is in favor with 0.9889 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.9797 will target 0.9704 support and possibly below, as whole corrective pattern from 1.0095 extends. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1148; (P) 1.1169; (R1) 1.1186; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.1119 temporary low. Upside should be limited by 1.1278 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.1119 will extend whole decline from 1.2004 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, focus will stay on 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Sustained break of 1.1154 will argue that fall from 1.2004 is itself a long term down trend. Next target will be 1.0629 support next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1476 resistance holds even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0352; (P) 1.0415; (R1) 1.0449; More….

EUR/CHF’s steep decline and strong break of 1.0216 support suggests that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed already, after second rejection by 1.0505 support turned resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0086 support first. Break will target a test on 0.9970 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0512 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9500; (P) 0.9518; (R1) 0.9534; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned with current retreat. Another rise could still be seen, by considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, upside would be limited by 0.9574 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 0.9466 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1385; (R1) 1.1399; More…

EUR/CHF’s corrective fall from 1.1476 extends lower today and intraday bias is now mildly on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1338). Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 1.1162 low. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 will confirm completion of corrective fall from 1.2004. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1682 and above.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slight favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. And, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1026; (P) 1.1047; (R1) 1.1060; More….

Consolidation continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another fall cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1290; (P) 1.1326; (R1) 1.1365; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.1285 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deep fall is expected as long as 1.1489 support turned resistance holds. Below 1.1285 will target key support zone between 1.1154/98. We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside to complete the whole decline from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0793; (P) 1.0800; (R1) 1.0813; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.0844 will extend the rebound from 1.0737 towards 1.0890 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0784 will target 1.0737 support. Overall, sideway trading from 1.0915 is set to extend for a while.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9795; (P) 0.9813; (R1) 0.9835; More….

Upside momentum is a bit weak, but intraday bias stays on the upside in EUR/CHF. Current rise from 0.9407 should target 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. On the downside, below 0.9740 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.0899 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidations first. Another rise is mildly in favor for now and break of 1.0899 will resume the rebound from 1.0694 to 1.0985 resistance next. However, on the downside, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 1.0825) will turn focus back to 1.0694 low.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0858) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will bring retest of 1.1149 high instead.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1056) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9401; (P) 0.9413; (R1) 0.9428; More

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9304 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.9471 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 0.9252. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9523. On the downside, below 0.9376 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF edged lower last week but failed to break through 1.0503 low. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Consolidation from 1.0503 could still extend with another rise. But even in that case, upside should be limited below 1.0653 resistance. Eventual downside break out is expected. Sustained break of 1.0503 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Stronger rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1243; (P) 1.1275; (R1) 1.1306; More…

As long as 1.1354 minor resistance holds, further decline is expected in EUR/CHF to key support zone at 1.1154/98. We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside to complete the whole decline from 1.2004. Meanwhile, considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1354 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should then be seen towards 1.1489 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0641; (P) 1.0672; (R1) 1.0712; More

EUR/CHF breached 1.0698 resistance but couldn’t sustain above there yet. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.0602 will resume the decline from 1.0915 to retest 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0698 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.2004 accelerated steeply to as low as 1.1531 last week. The development confirmed medium term topping at 1.2004. Initial bias is on the downside this week for 1.1445 key support zone. For now, we’d expect strong support from 1.1445 to contain downside, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1641 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9536; (P) 0.9560; (R1) 0.9599; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 0.9416 is in progress. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9570) will bring further rise to 0.9691 key structural resistance. On the downside, though, below 0.9514 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9407/16 zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm resumption, and target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. On the upside, break of 0.9691 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1404; (P) 1.1439; (R1) 1.1467; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1511 minor resistance, correction from 1.1622 short term top is expected extend through 1.1355 support. Strong support is expected from 1.1257 (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1511 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0257; (P) 1.0296; (R1) 1.0337; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0228 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further fall is expected with 1.0359 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0228 will reaffirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0513. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0086 support next. However, above 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0081; (P) 1.0249; (R1) 1.0367; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside for 1.0086 support first. Corrective rebound from 0.9970 should have completed already, after second rejection by 1.0505 support turned resistance. Break of 1.0086 will bring retest of 0.9970 low. On the upside, above 1.0232 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0512 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.