Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1635; (P) 1.1655; (R1) 1.1691; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1663 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.1709 has completed with three waves down to 1.1541 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1709 resistance first. Break there will resume medium term rally and target 61.8% projection of 1.1387 to 1.1709 from 1.1541 at 1.1740 first, and then 100% projection at 1.1863. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1541 support holds.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1105) and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9975; (P) 1.0009; (R1) 1.0039; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9943 temporary low. On the downside, sustained trading below 0.9970 will resume larger down trend for 0.9650 long term projection level. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0155 resistance holds, in case of stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9584; (P) 0.9633; (R1) 0.9663; More….

EUR/CHF drops notably today but stays above 0.9530 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, outlook remains bearish with 0.9864 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9796; (P) 0.9808; (R1) 0.9826; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 0.9670 short term bottom continues today. As noted before, whole correction from 1.0995 could have completed at 0.9670 already. Further rally should be seen to 0.9878 resistance first. Firm break there should confirm this bullish case. On the downside, however, break of 0.9763 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9924). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF’s sharp decline last week argues that rebound from 1.0503 has completed earlier than expected at 1.0915. As temporary low was formed at 1.0650, initial bias is neutral this week first. Further fall is expected as long as 1.0799 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0650 will target a test on 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, break of 1.0799 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF’s decline last week argues that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed with waves up to 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 key resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.0186 support first. Break there will target 1.0086 next. On the upside, above 1.0359 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0876).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9757; (P) 0.9782; (R1) 0.9797; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Another fall cannot be ruled out, to retest 0.9670 low. Sustained break there will resume the whole fall from 1.0095. Nevertheless, break of 0.9840 will resume the rebound from 0.9670 to 0.9878 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9918). Down trend form 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0559; (P) 1.0584; (R1) 1.0621; More…

EUR/CHF drew strong support form 4 hour 55 EMA and rebounded after brief retreat. Outlook is unchanged that corrective rise from 1.0503 is still in progress. Break of 1.0611 cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1290; (P) 1.1326; (R1) 1.1365; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.1285 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deep fall is expected as long as 1.1489 support turned resistance holds. Below 1.1285 will target key support zone between 1.1154/98. We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside to complete the whole decline from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF stayed in the consolidation from 1.0986 short term top last week. Outlook remains unchanged and initial bias remains neutral this week first. More consolidative trading could be seen in near term. But downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rise resumption. As noted before, the consolidative pattern from 1.1198 should be completed. Firm break of 1.0999 resistance will pave the way for a retest on 1.1198 high.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1014; (P) 1.1037; (R1) 1.1079; More….

EUR/CHF rebounded after hitting 1.0973, ahead of 1.0954 support. Upside is limited below 1.1116 resistance so far. Intraday bias stays neutral first as consolidation pattern from 1.1149 might still extend. But in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0257; (P) 1.0296; (R1) 1.0337; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0228 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further fall is expected with 1.0359 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0228 will reaffirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0513. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0086 support next. However, above 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0991; (P) 1.1015; (R1) 1.1045; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise is expected to target 1.1127 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.0983 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance should target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1638; (P) 1.1663; (R1) 1.1679; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1709 resistance confirms up trend resumption. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.1387 to 1.1709 from 1.1541 at 1.1740 first, and then 100% projection at 1.1863. On the downside, below 1.1638 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained well above 1.1541 support and bring up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1123) and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9815; (P) 0.9837; (R1) 0.9853; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9953 is in progress. Intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9980; (P) 1.0004; (R1) 1.0049; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside as rise from 0.9844 is in progress. The strong break of trend line resistance adds to the case that corrective pattern from 1.0095 should have completed with three waves down to 0.9844. Further rally should be seen back to retest 1.0095 high. On the downside, below 0.9996 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9863; (P) 0.9904; (R1) 0.9931; More….

EUR/CHF is still staying in range below 0.9953 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9953 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming at 0.9804, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0110). On the downside, break of 0.9804 will resume larger down trend to 0.9650 long term projection level.

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9409; (P) 0.9430; (R1) 0.9448; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 0.9402 and intraday bias stays neutral. With 0.9543 resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9563; (P) 0.9608; (R1) 0.9632; More…

EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9683 accelerated to as low as 0.9547 so far today. The development confirms rejection by 0.9691 resistance, and dampened the case of larger bullish reversal. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 61.8% retracement level of 0.9416 to 0.9683 at 0.9518. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.9416 low. On the upside, above 0.9579 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) maintains medium term bearishness in EUR/CHF. That is, down trend from (1.0095) might not be over yet. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9407.16 key support zone. Firm break there will resume long term down trend. For now, outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9691 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0429; (P) 1.0460; (R1) 1.0518; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for 1.0513 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 0.9970, for 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, below 1.0398 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.