Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0690; (P) 1.0718; (R1) 1.0733; More…

With 1.0683 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/CHF. As noted before, a short term bottom is likely in place at 1.0629 on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Current development raised the chance of larger trend reversal after defending 1.0620 key support level. Decisive break of 1.0749 should affirm this bullish case and target 1.0897. On the downside, though, below 1.0683 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0629 instead.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. There is no confirmation of completion yet. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. However, strong rebound from 1.0620 and break of 1.0897 resistance will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0720; (P) 1.0730; (R1) 1.0744; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment as it’s bounded in range of 1.0677/0762. Below 1.0677 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1198 and target 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1619; (P) 1.1648; (R1) 1.1689; More…

EUR/CHF recovered ahead of 1.1597 support but is still stuck in range below 1.1736. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. We continue to believe that the cross is close to topping, if not formed. This is under persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and rising wedge like structure since 1.1709. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1597 support will a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF surged to as high as 1.1622 last week as larger up trend finally resumed. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Current rally would target 61.8% projection of 1.0830 to 1.1537 from 1.1355 at 1.1792 next. On the downside, below 1.1511 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1673; (P) 1.1696; (R1) 1.1738; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as it’s still bounded in range below 1.1736. We continue to believe that the cross is close to topping, if not formed. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1597 support will a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313. However, strong break of 1.1736 will resume medium term up trend from 1.0629 instead.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1045; (P) 1.1059; (R1) 1.1076; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1149 is extending. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0678; (P) 1.0688; (R1) 1.0700; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0652 continues. With 1.0699 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still expected. Below 1.0652 will target 1.0620/0629 support zone. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, EUR/CHF should target next long term fibonacci level at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0699 minor resistance will argue that choppy fall from 1.0823 has completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1334; (P) 1.1350; (R1) 1.1365; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s still bounded in range of 1.1310/1.1444. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.1310 intact, further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9959; (P) 1.0001; (R1) 1.0027; More….

A temporary top was formed at 1.0040 with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 1.0095 should have completed with three waves down to 0.9844. Above 1.0040 will bring retest of 1.0095 high. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now 0.9930) will delay the bullish case and bring deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF stayed in range below 1.1736 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week. We maintained the view that EUR/CHF is close to topping, if not formed. This is supported by persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and rising wedge like structure. On the downside, break of 1.1597 support will will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0959; (P) 1.0989; (R1) 1.1009; More…..

Break of 1.0962 indicates resumption of recent decline in EUR/CHF. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.1476 is part of the down trend from 1.2004. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645. On the upside, break of 1.1062 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9866; (P) 0.9895; (R1) 0.9914; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. In cas of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832, to complete the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Break of 0.9923 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.0067/0095 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0025) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF stayed inside tight range above 1.0677 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Price actions from 1.1198 are seen a corrective pattern that is still unfolding. Below 1.0677 will target 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1068; (P) 1.1084; (R1) 1.1113; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1096 confirms resumption of whole rebound form 1.0503. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149. Decisive there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.1404. On the downside, break of 1.0954 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from 1.0503 is now seen as a medium term up trend itself. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0722; (P) 1.0731; (R1) 1.0740; More….

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, but there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Current decline from 1.1149 would target a retest on 1.0505 low. On the upside, 1.0802 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1149 resistance holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0576; (P) 1.0599; (R1) 1.0636; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0710 resistance intact. Break of 1.0523 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1527; (P) 1.1582; (R1) 1.1613; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 1.1540 temporary low. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1684 resistance to bring fall resumption. As noted before, the decline from 1.1832 is correcting medium term rise from 1.0629. Below 1.1540 will target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.)

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9834; (P) 0.9893; (R1) 0.9931; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, above 0.9953 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again, and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA affirmed medium term bearishness. Long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF’s choppy decline from 0.9995 extended lower last week. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 0.9074 support. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Break of 0.9847 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the downside. However, firm break of 0.9704 will resume the whole decline from 1.0095 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0515) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0897; (P) 1.0920; (R1) 1.0936; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0986 is still in progress. Deeper fall could be seen but downside is expected to be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rise resumption. As noted before, the consolidative pattern from 1.1198 should be completed. Firm break of 1.0999 resistance will pave the way for a retest on 1.1198 high.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.