EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1486; (P) 1.1515; (R1) 1.1531; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1445 continues. Outlook stays bearish with 1.1639 resistance intact. Break of 1.1445 will resume the corrective fall from 1.1832 and target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9616; (P) 0.9627; (R1) 0.9640; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound form 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9860). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0597; (P) 1.0617; (R1) 1.0653; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Outlook remains bearish with 1.0710 resistance intact. Break of 1.0523 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9750; (P) 0.9773; (R1) 0.9791; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 0.9670 is in progress. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9779) will add to case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed, after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9878 resistance next. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 0.9670 support holds.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9929). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9483; (P) 0.9499; (R1) 0.9520; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, and fall from 0.9928 is expected to resume later. Below 0.8476 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510. Sustained trading below there will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption, and target 0.9252 low next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.9563 support, as well as 55 W EMA (now at 0.9672) argues that rebound from 0.9252 has completed at 0.9928. Medium term bearish is maintained with both 1.0095 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.9252 will resume the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1534; (P) 1.1568; (R1) 1.1605; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1656 will resume the rebound from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. For now, we’d expect at least one more falling leg before the correction from 1.2004 completes. Below 1.1478 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1366 and below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0912; (P) 1.0940; (R1) 1.0955; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 1.0811 could extend further. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.0910 will target 1.0811/63 support zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9351; (P) 0.9370; (R1) 0.9389; More

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9402 support turned resistance suggests that down trend from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9252 already. Rebound from there is tentatively seen as a corrective move first. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9451). Sustained break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. On the downside, though, break of 0.9349 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9252 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Another decline is in favor after rebound from 0.9252 completes.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9843; (P) 0.9877; (R1) 0.9915; More

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9704 accelerations higher today and the development argues that decline form 1.0095 has completed as a correction, with three waves down to 0.9704. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0040 resistance first. Firm break there would argue that larger rise from 0.9407 is resuming through 1.0095. On the downside, though, break of 0.9837 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1269; (P) 1.1320; (R1) 1.1347; More…

As long s 1.1350 support turned resistance holds, corrective fall from 1.1476 could still extend lower towards 1.1162 low. We’d expect strong support above there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1350 will suggests that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 again.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0787; (P) 1.0804; (R1) 1.0813; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for now. On the upside, above 1.0844 will extend the rebound from 1.0737 towards 1.0890 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0784 will target 1.0737 support. Overall, sideway trading from 1.0915 is set to extend for a while.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0774; (P) 1.0795; (R1) 1.0809; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.088 resistance should confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.0915 has completed at 1.0661. Further rise should be seen to 1.0915 and above. However, on the downside, firm break of 1.0790 will extend the consolidation from 1.0915 with another falling leg, back towards 1.0661 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1065; (P) 1.1084; (R1) 1.1102; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1056 and intraday bias remains neutral first. More sideway trading could be seen. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0708; (P) 1.0722; (R1) 1.0740; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 1.0678 is extending. Further decline is expected with 1.0750 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0678 will turn bias back to the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. Sustained break there will pave the way towards 100% projection at 1.0481. On the upside, break of 1.0750 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1037; (P) 1.1105; (R1) 1.1152; More…

EUR/CHF recovers after hitting 1.1056. But with 1.1145 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays on the downside for further decline. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next. On the upside, above 1.1145 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. But recovery should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring further decline.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1041; (P) 1.1052; (R1) 1.1066; More…..

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.0962 short term bottom could extend higher. But upside should be limited limited by 1.1172 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0962 will extend the fall from 1.2004 to 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0111; (P) 1.0165; (R1) 1.0232; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside at this point. Break of 1.0086 support will affirm that case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed after failing 1.0505 long term resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.9970 low next. On the upside, above 1.0232 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0877; (P) 1.0898; (R1) 1.0922; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0922 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.0832, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1023). But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078. On the downside, below 1.0875 minor support will bring retest of 1.0832 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1221; (P) 1.1239; (R1) 1.1267; More…

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.1162 extends higher today and break of 1.1256 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.1162, ahead of 1.1154 key fibonacci support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1310 support turned resistance first. Break will target 1.1444. On the downside, below 1.1207 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154 instead.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF extended sideway trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670 last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance should confirm short term bottoming, after drawing support from 0.9670. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will extend the whole decline from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9929). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0484) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.