Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1206; (P) 1.1217; (R1) 1.1232; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and consolidation from 1.1620 might extend. Further decline is still expected as long as 1.1256 minor resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1154 key fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole downtrend from 1.2004. That should then pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. However, break of 1.1256 will indicate short term bottoming and turn back to the upside for 1.1310 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1041; (P) 1.1052; (R1) 1.1066; More…..

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.0962 short term bottom could extend higher. But upside should be limited limited by 1.1172 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0962 will extend the fall from 1.2004 to 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0776; (P) 1.0796; (R1) 1.0815; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.0890 would target 1.0737 support. Break there will extend the sideway pattern from 1.0915 with another falling leg, towards 1.0661 support. For now, deeper decline will remain in favor as long as 1.0866 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0231; (P) 1.0275; (R1) 1.0306; More….

Breach of 1.0228 suggests resumption of fall from 1.0513. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0086 support. As noted before, corrective rebound from 0.9970 could have completed at 1.0513. Break of 1.0086 will bring retest of 0.9970. On the upside, though, break of 1.0335 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF’s decisive break of 0.9513 support last week confirms resumption of whole down trend from 1.0095. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for retesting 0.9407 medium term bottom. On the upside, break of 0.9557 resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish with the cross capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9782). Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. On the upside, break of 0.9691 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0362). Break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1425; (P) 1.1481; (R1) 1.1512; More…

EUR/CHF’s fall accelerates to as low as 1.1401 so far today. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1366 low next. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.2004 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1366 from 1.1713 at 1.1319. On the upside, above 1.1460 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 1.1556 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. We’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen between 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0982; (P) 1.0992; (R1) 1.1003; More…

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation pattern form 1.0811 could extend further. While further rise cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1656; (P) 1.1679; (R1) 1.1699; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook is unchanged. As noted before, persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Hence, even in case of another rise, we’d expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1195 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1195 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF edged lower to 0.9550 but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first but further decline is expected as long as 0.9689 resistance holds. Break of 0.9550 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, however, break of 0.9698 will confirm short term bottoming. Bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound, towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9850).

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0801; (P) 1.0818; (R1) 1.0830; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral as it lost momentum after hitting 1.0844. Another rise is still in favor with 1.0794 minor support intact. Above 1.0844 will target 1.0890/0915 resistance zone next. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503. On the downside, though, break of 1.0794 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0737 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation below 0.9630 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another dip cannot be ruled out, but outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9510 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9630 will resume the rise from 0.9252 and target 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.9510 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9620) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0833; (P) 1.0846; (R1) 1.0862; More…

At this point, the correction from 1.0986 could still extend lower. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rebound. Break of 1.0908 resistance will argue that the correction is completed. In such case, intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0986/0999 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF’s decline last week indicates short term topping at 0.9847, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Initial bias is mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9620. But strong support is expected from there to contain downside to bring rebound, and set the range for sideway trading. Nevertheless, for now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9847 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9633) holds.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0763; (P) 1.0808; (R1) 1.0840; More…

EUR/CHF retreated notably after hitting 1.0877 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that further rise is in favor as long as 1.0721 support holds. Break of 1.0877 will target a test on 1.0915 resistance first. However, break of 1.0721 will suggest completion of the rebound from 1.0602 and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 1.0503 as forming a consolidation pattern for the moment. As long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, down from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1362; (P) 1.1391; (R1) 1.1424; More…

With 1.1329 minor support intact, further rise is still expected in EUR/CHF for 1.1489 support turned resistance. Decisive break will add to the case of trend reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. On the downside, below 1.1329 minor support, however, will suggests completion of the rebound. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1242 low. And focus is back on 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9401; (P) 0.9413; (R1) 0.9428; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise from 0.9304 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.9471 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 0.9252. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9523. On the downside, below 0.9376 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1619; (P) 1.1662; (R1) 1.1687; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. It’s close to topping, if not formed. This is supported by persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and rising wedge like structure. On the downside, break of 1.1597 support will will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0770; (P) 1.0788; (R1) 1.0816; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0799 minor resistance argue that the pull back from 1.0871 has completed at 1.0735. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise could be seen to 1.0871/7 resistance zone. On the downside, through, break of 1.0755 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for to extend the fall from 1.0871 through 1.0735 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9708; (P) 0.9733; (R1) 0.9753; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective rise from 0.9550 might extend higher. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0512 to 0.9550 at 0.9917 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9696 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9550 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0545; (P) 1.0572; (R1) 1.0589; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral and further decline is expected with 1.0602 resistance intact. Break of 1.0532 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0481. On the upside, however, break of 1.0602 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound back towards 1.0678 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next focus is 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.