Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1521; (P) 1.1543; (R1) 1.1561; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Another fall is mildly in favor with 1.1585 minor resistance intact. Below 1.1478 will target 1.1366 first. Break will resume the larger corrective decline from 1.2004. On the upside, above 1.1585 will likely extend the rebound from 1.1366 through 1.1656. But in that case, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9557; (P) 0.9571; (R1) 0.9591; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and outlook stays bearish with 0.9601 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9513 will resume the decline from 1.0095, towards 0.9407 low. However, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9818). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0884; (P) 1.0897; (R1) 1.0906; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0863 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0925 support turned resistance intact. Below 1.0863 will resume the fall from 1.1149 to next cluster support zone at 1.0737, (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0925 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1026 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0715; (P) 1.0762; (R1) 1.0842; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.0915 might have completed with three waves to 1.0661. Further rise should now be seen to 1.0877 resistance for confirmation. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503. However, below 1.0752 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9530; (P) 0.9556; (R1) 0.9571; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. With 0.9501 resistance intact, larger down trend is still in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 0.9513 support will confirm this bearish case and target 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0972; (P) 1.1001; (R1) 1.1021; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for sideway trading below 1.1059. Outlook is unchanged too. We’d continue to expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside to complete the consolidation pattern from 1.0811. On the downside, break of 1.0974 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9783; (R1) 0.9826; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the downside as down trend resumes. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, break of 0.9948 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0255; (P) 1.0282; (R1) 1.0316; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. Outlook is unchanged that corrective rebound from 0.9970 should have completed with three waves up to 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 key resistance. Below 1.0228 will target 1.0086 support. Firm break there will bring retest of 0.9970 low. However, break of 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation below 1.0797 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. With 1.0701 minor support intact, further rally is expected. Also, corrective pull back from 1.0915 should have completed at 1.0602. On the upside, break of 1.0797 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0701 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly after edging lower to 0.9407 last week. But upside is limited below 0.9712 resistance so far. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9712 will argue that fall from 0.9864 has completed totally at 0.9407, and bring stronger rally back to this résistance. Further break there will carry larger bullish implication. Nevertheless, break of 0.9548 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 0.9407 low first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will indicate medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188).

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0539; (P) 1.0579; (R1) 1.0607; More…

Near term outlook in EUR/CHF remains bearish with 1.0710 resistance intact. Current down trend is in progress for 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, break of 1.0710 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0629 key support should now pave the way to parity next. Overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0202; (P) 1.0224; (R1) 1.0246; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues inside 1.0184/0400. On the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound from 0.9977 to 1.0610 key structural resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0460; (P) 1.0496; (R1) 1.0545; More….

EUR/CHF recovered stronger after hitting 1.0349 support but stays below 1.0527 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.0527 will bring retest of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623. Sustained break there will add to the case of bullish trend reversal. On the downside,l however, firm break of 1.0439 should confirm rejection by 1.0623 fibonacci resistance, and bring retest of 1.0298 low instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0944; (P) 1.0973; (R1) 1.0991; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.0915 cluster support (38.2% retracement 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0903) holds, we’d still treat the price actions from 1.1149 as a correction. Break of 1.1026 resistance would argue that larger up trend is resuming. However, sustained break of 1.0903/15 will suggest bearish reversal, or at least bring deeper fall to next cluster support zone at 1.0737 support zone (61.8% retracement at 1.0751).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly last week and hit as high as 1.0839, but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.0788 minor support holds. Above 1.0839 will resume the rebound from 1.0715 short term bottom to 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0715 at 1.0881. We’d monitor the reaction to 1.0881 to assess the chance of bullish reversal. On the downside, break of 1.0788 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0715 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0869) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1058) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

EUR/CHF’s sharp retreat last week might have completed at 0.9873 already, after drawing support from 55 day EMA. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for retesting 1.0095 resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.9917 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to resume the correction to 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise form 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

In the long term picture, it’s still way to early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low).

EUR/CHF broke through 0.9670 last week to resume the whole decline from 1.0095. But a temporary low was formed at 0.9606 with subsequent recovery. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Some consolidations could be seen, but outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9721 support turned resistance holds. Below 0.9606 will target 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9670 from 0.9840 at 0.9515.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9913). Down trend form 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0459) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9565; (P) 0.9589; (R1) 0.9602; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9849). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9746; (R1) 0.9762; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9835 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9847, and should target 0.9563 support. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9835 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Break of 0.9847 resistance will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1477; (P) 1.1512; (R1) 1.1543; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1585 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is in favor for 1.1366 support. Break there will resume the corrective fall from 1.2004. On the upside, though, above 1.1585 will likely extend the rebound from 1.1366 through 1.1656. But in that case, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.