Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1037; (P) 1.1105; (R1) 1.1152; More…

EUR/CHF recovers after hitting 1.1056. But with 1.1145 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays on the downside for further decline. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next. On the upside, above 1.1145 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. But recovery should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring further decline.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1764; (P) 1.1780; (R1) 1.1810; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidative trading below 1.1832 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.1683 support holds, near term outlook stays bullish for further rally. Again, considering relatively weak upside momentum, in case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance below 1.2 handle to bring medium term reversal. Break of 1.1683 support will be a early sign of reversal and turn focus to 1.1602 support.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect further rise to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 and above. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1496; (P) 1.1570; (R1) 1.1609; More….

Strong rebound in EUR/CHF suggests temporary bottoming at 1.1513. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. While another fall cannot be ruled out yet, we’d expect strong support from 1.1445 to contain downside, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1659 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0253; (P) 1.0319; (R1) 1.0386; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. on the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound from 0.9977 to 1.0610 key structural resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1533; (P) 1.1566; (R1) 1.1598; More….

Focus in EUR/CHF is now on 1.1505 minor support with the current fall. Break will confirm completion of the rebound from 1.1366. And, corrective pattern from 1.2004 would then extend with the third leg, through 1.1366 low. On the upside, above 1.1656 will extend the rebound from 1.1366. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0602; (P) 1.0618; (R1) 1.0631; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.0737 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0608 will extend larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9913; (P) 0.9983; (R1) 1.0022; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9986 suggests that corrective pattern from 1.0095 is in the third leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9874 support, and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9899; (P) 0.9912; (R1) 0.9926; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is still extending. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0507; (P) 1.0517; (R1) 1.0536; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.0596 minor resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0505 low will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200. On the upside, though, break of 1.0596 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Focus is now on 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0406; (P) 1.0430; (R1) 1.0445; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside, for 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, though, break of 1.0511 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0992; (P) 1.1008; (R1) 1.1026; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in tight range above 1.0964 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Price actions form 1.0811 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, break of 1.0964 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0841; (P) 1.0871; (R1) 1.0885; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as correction from 1.0986 continues. While deeper decline could be seen this week, downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone, probably around 55 day EMA (now at 1.0828). Rise from 1.0629 is expected to resume later. Above 1.0902 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0986/0999.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9738; (P) 0.9794; (R1) 0.9825; More…

EUR/CHF retreated notably after edging higher to 0.9847 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, above 0.9847 will resume the rally from 0.9252 to 38.2% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9818 from 0.9709 at 0.9905. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9709 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9599) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9819; More…

EUR/CHF continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But still deeper decline is expected with 0.9846 resistance holds. The cross is extending the correction from 1.0095, and further fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1498; (P) 1.1531; (R1) 1.1576; More… .

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Prior break of 1.1537 resistance indicates resumption of medium term rise. Further rally should be seen to the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.0830 to 1.1537 from 1.1355 at 1.1792 next. However, considering weak upside momentum so far, break of 1.1438 will turn focus back to 1.1355 support instead.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9618; (P) 0.9639; (R1) 0.9661; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday stays on the downside. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9563 support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9252 has completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510. On the upside, above 0.9673 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. However, firm break of 0.9563 will suggest that the rally has completed and retain medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0677; (P) 1.0700; (R1) 1.0719; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0665 temporary low is extending. Outlook is unchanged that larger down trend could extend lower. But we’d expect strong support from between 1.0665 and 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648 to contain downside. Break of 1.0788 will indicate short term bottoming on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and sustained break will put parity back into focus. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9670; (P) 0.9722; (R1) 0.9800; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9712 resistance now raises the chance of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9864 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188), even as a corrective rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1548; (P) 1.1586; (R1) 1.1612; More… .

With 1.1511 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/CHF. Current rally would target 61.8% projection of 1.0830 to 1.1537 from 1.1355 at 1.1792 next. On the downside, below 1.1511 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0928; (P) 1.0938; (R1) 1.0951; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays mildly on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 1.0863 could have completed at 1.0985, after rejection by medium term channel resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0863 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149 to 1.0737 cluster support zone. For now, risk will be on the downside as long as 1.0985 holds.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1074) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.