EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation above 1.1056 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week for some more consolidations first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1140; (P) 1.1176; (R1) 1.1197; More…

EUR/CHF drops to as low as 1.1085 and break of 1.1119 support confirms down trend resumption. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next. On the upside, above 1.1163 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. But recovery should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring further decline.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9636; (P) 0.9647; (R1) 0.9662; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Some more consolidations could be seen. Further rally is still expected and decisive break of 0.9691 resistance will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9840 resistance next. However, break of 0.9595 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0396; (P) 1.0432; (R1) 1.0453; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 1.0365 is still extending. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0511 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0785; (P) 1.0831; (R1) 1.0880; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 1.0602 has just resumed and should now target 1.0915 resistance first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0503 to 1.1059 cluster resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0721 support is needed to confirm completion of the rally. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 1.0503 as forming a consolidation pattern for the moment. As long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, down from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0737; (P) 1.0790; (R1) 1.0817; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, with focus on 1.0739 support. Break there will suggest completion of rebound from 1.0602. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting this week. On the upside, though, break of 1.0849 will resume the rise towards 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9678; (P) 0.9733; (R1) 0.9803; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 will extend the rise from 0.9252 to 1.0095 key resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9664 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9683 resistance indicates medium term bottoming at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9530) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9772; (P) 0.9832; (R1) 0.9872; More….

EUR/CHF is still extending the corrective pattern from 0.9953 and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1284; (P) 1.1317; (R1) 1.1373; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Current decline from 1.2004 might extends lower. But even in that case, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, Meanwhile, considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1354 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should then be seen towards 1.1489 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9936; (P) 0.9980; (R1) 1.0061; More….

EUR/CHF’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.0047 so far today. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9953 from 0.9720 at 1.0057, which is close to 1.0072 medium term fibonacci level. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 100% projection at 1.0266 next. On the downside, below 0.9983 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Sustained break there will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0041) taken out firmly. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal. Further rally would then be seen to 1.0505 long term support turned resistance (2020 low). However, rejection by 1.0072 will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall at a later stage.

EUR/CHF rebounded to 1.1337 last week but failed to break through 1.340/8 resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Overall, we’re slightly favoring the case the choppy decline from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1181 already. On the upside, break of 1.1348 will confirm this bullish case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.1501 next. On the downside, in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 support zone to contain downside to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly after edging lower to 0.9407 last week. But upside is limited below 0.9712 resistance so far. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9712 will argue that fall from 0.9864 has completed totally at 0.9407, and bring stronger rally back to this résistance. Further break there will carry larger bullish implication. Nevertheless, break of 0.9548 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 0.9407 low first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will indicate medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188).

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0827; (P) 1.0843; (R1) 1.0854; More…

EUR/CHF is losing downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further fall is expected with 1.0905 resistance intact, for 1.0811 low. Decisive break there will resume long term down trend. On the upside, break of 1.0905 resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.0811 with another rising leg. In any case, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF gyrated lower to 0.9541 last week but recovered ahead of 0.9520. Overall outlook is unchanged as range trading continued. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9849). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0422). Break of 1.00095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0647; (P) 1.0668; (R1) 1.0684; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 1.0650 might extend. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0799 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0650 will target a test on 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, break of 1.0799 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF’s decline last week indicates short term topping at 0.9847, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Initial bias is mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9620. But strong support is expected from there to contain downside to bring rebound, and set the range for sideway trading. Nevertheless, for now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9847 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9633) holds.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0008; (P) 1.0035; (R1) 1.0064; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9986 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0095 with another leg, back towards 0.9873 support. On the upside, firm break of 1.0095 will resume whole rally from 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0528; (P) 1.0543; (R1) 1.0559; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.0710 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0854; (P) 1.0873; (R1) 1.0888; More…

Break of 1.0832 suggests resumption of down trend in EUR/CHF. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645. On the upside, break of 1.0924 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF rose further to 1.0513 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 1.0360 will suggest that rebound from 0.9970 has completed as a three-wave corrective move at 1.0513. That came after rejection by 100% projection of 0.9970 to 1.0086 from 1.0400 at 1.0516 and 1.0505. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0186 support first. On the upside, however, sustained break of 1.0505 long term resistance will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.0782.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0876).