EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1134; (P) 1.1165; (R1) 1.1194; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1119 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1278 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.1119 will extend whole decline from 1.2004 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, focus will stay on 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Sustained break of 1.1154 will argue that fall from 1.2004 is itself a long term down trend. Next target will be 1.0629 support next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1476 resistance holds even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9811; (P) 0.9829; (R1) 0.9846; More

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD, but further decline is still expected with 0.9889 resistance intact. The corrective pattern from 1.0095 might be extending with another falling leg. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.9704 support and possibly below. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped notably last week but remained above 1.1056 low. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. More sideway trading cannot be ruled out. But in case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0759; (P) 1.0774; (R1) 1.0795; More

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neural. Further rise is in favor with 1.0712 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0838 will target 1.0915 resistance next. However, break of 1.0712 will suggest that rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9519; (P) 0.9532; (R1) 0.9547; More

Further rally is still expected in EUR/CHF with 0.9466 support intact. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, strong resistance could be seen from 0.9574 fibonacci resistance to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9466 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0358; (P) 1.0418; (R1) 1.0472; More….

EUR/CHF recovered after drawing support from 1.0369 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rise could still be seen. On the upside sustained break of 1.0505 long term resistance will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.0782. However, decisive break of 1.0369 will indicate rejection by 1.0505 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0186 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9913; (P) 0.9983; (R1) 1.0022; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9986 suggests that corrective pattern from 1.0095 is in the third leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9874 support, and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9633; (P) 0.9666; (R1) 0.9688; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9602 and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.9948 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9602 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1250; (P) 1.1275; (R1) 1.1308; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, a short term bottom is likely in pace. On the upside, break of 1.1301 minor resistance will target 1.1356 resistance first. Decisive break there should confirm near term reversal. In that case, further rally should be seen back to 1.1501 resistance. However, on the downside, below 1.1224 will invalidate this bullish case and extend the fall to 1.1173 low instead. But still, we’d expect strong support inside 1.1154/98 key support zone to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.0086 extended higher last week. The development suggests that pull back from 1.0400 has completed, and rise from 0.9970 is ready to resume. But as a temporary top was formed at 1.0369, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 1.0400 will target 100% projection of 0.9970 to 1.0400 from 1.0086 at 1.0516. On the downside, break of 1.0246 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0086 support instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0891).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1085; (P) 1.1099; (R1) 1.1125; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first as consolidation form 1.1149 is extending. Downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0248; (P) 1.0314; (R1) 1.0352; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 1.0216. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9972. On the upside, break of 1.0446 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Sustained break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0610 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumed last week and hit as low as 0.9697. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.9650 long term projection level. Some support might be seen there to bring rebound. But break of 0.9948 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish Firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0808).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0673; (P) 1.0700; (R1) 1.0748; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neural for consolidation above 1.0650 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0799 minor resistance holds. Below 1.0650 will target a test on 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, break of 1.0799 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0937; (P) 1.0950; (R1) 1.0959; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish as long as 1.1026 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0930 minor support will bring retest of 1.0863 low. Break there will resume whole fall from 1.1149. On the upside, break of 1.1026 will be the first sign of near term bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9633; (P) 0.9654; (R1) 0.9690; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. Some consolidations could be seen, but another fall is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9747) holds. Below 0.9613 will target 0.9563 support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9252 has completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. However, firm break of 0.9563 will suggest that the rally has completed and retain medium term bearishness.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9922; (P) 0.9945; (R1) 0.9965; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from is seen as another falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9844 support. But downside should be contained by 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9986 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0040 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1410; (R1) 1.1435; More…

A temporary top is likely in place at 1.1454 in EUR/CHF with 4 hour MACD staying well below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first and deeper retreat could be seen. But downside should be contained by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1248) and bring rise resumption. Above 1.1454 will extend recent rise from 1.0629 to 200% projection of 1.0652 to 1.0986 from 1.0830 at 1.1498. Break will target 261.8% projection at 1.1704 next. Nonetheless, sustained break of 1.1248 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0785; (P) 1.0831; (R1) 1.0880; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 1.0602 has just resumed and should now target 1.0915 resistance first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0503 to 1.1059 cluster resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0721 support is needed to confirm completion of the rally. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 1.0503 as forming a consolidation pattern for the moment. As long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, down from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0737; (P) 1.0790; (R1) 1.0817; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, with focus on 1.0739 support. Break there will suggest completion of rebound from 1.0602. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting this week. On the upside, though, break of 1.0849 will resume the rise towards 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.