Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9834; (P) 0.9863; (R1) 0.9880; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral again with today’s steep retreat. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9779 will likely resume the fall from 0.9953 through 0.9720.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0691; (P) 1.0705; (R1) 1.0720; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.0683/0761 and intraday bias remains neutral. We’d slightly favoring the case of trend reversal on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. And, further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.0683 minor support holds. Above 1.0761 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Break will re-affirm the case of trend reversal and target 1.0897 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.0683 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0620 key support level again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1547; (P) 1.1583; (R1) 1.1630; More….

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.1366 resumed by taking out 1.1639 minor resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But after all, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend with at least one more falling leg. Hence, we’ll look for reversal signal again above 1.1760. On the downside, break of 1.1505 will suggest that the rebound is completed. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1366.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF’s rebounded from 1.0324 short term bottom extended to 1.0510 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise cannot be ruled out yet. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0936 to 1.0324 at 1.0558. On the downside, firm break of 1.0423 will bring retest of 1.0324 low. Break there will resume larger down trend from 1.1149.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.0967) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9686; (P) 0.9719; (R1) 0.9740; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 should confirm short term bottoming after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will extend the whole decline from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9938). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 0.9252 continued last week and initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.9574 fibonacci level next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, strong resistance could be seen from 0.9574 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9466 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF’s down trend continued last week and accelerated to as low as 1.0567. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 100% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0481. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the downside from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next focus is 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1037) maintains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume the down trend from 1.2004 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9624; (P) 0.9642; (R1) 0.9660; More…

Sideway trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is still expected and decisive break of 0.9691 resistance will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9840 resistance next. However, break of 0.9595 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1230; (P) 1.1246; (R1) 1.1271; More…

EUR/CHF recovers notably today but stays below 1.1342 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Even in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring strong rebound. On the upside, above 1.1342 will target 1.1452 resistance first. Break should confirm that whole decline from 1.2004 has completed and target 1.1713 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1317; (P) 1.1359; (R1) 1.1437; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1414 today suggests resumption of rebound from 1.1178 short term bottom. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Decisive break of 1.1452 resistance should confirm bullish reversal, after drawing strong support from 1.1154/98 zone. In that case, outlook will be turned bullish for 1.1713 resistance next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 1.1280 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1517; (P) 1.1546; (R1) 1.1561; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. Fall from 1.1713 is in progress for 1.1478 support first. Break there will confirm completion of corrective rebound from 1.1366 at 1.1713. EUR/CHF should then resume the decline from 1.2004 through 1.1366. On the upside, above 1.1603 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and could extend the rise from 1.1366. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. We’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0855; (P) 1.0882; (R1) 1.0896; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 1.0863 and intraday bias remains neutral for now. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 1.1062 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0836; (P) 1.0882; (R1) 1.0909; More…

EUR/CHF’s recovered ahead of 1.0832 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 1.0832 is extending and another rise cannot be ruled out. On the upside, break of 1.0928 will extend the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.1021). But, in that case, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078. On the downside, break of 1.0832 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0134; (P) 1.0170; (R1) 1.0204; More….

Further fall remains in favor in EUR/CHF with 1.0242 minor resistance intact. Rebound from 0.9770 could have completed at 1.0400 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. Further fall would be seen back to retest 0.9970 low. However, break of 1.0242 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0400 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9794; (P) 0.9833; (R1) 0.9878; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.1366 low resumed last week by breaking 1.1656 resistance and reached as high as 1.1707. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. As such rebound is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2004, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1760 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.1618 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1478 support and below. However, sustained trading above 1.1760 will pave the way to retest 1.2004 high next.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. Hence, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1183; (P) 1.1205; (R1) 1.1219; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Recovery from 1.1119 is seen as a correction and upside should be limited by 1.1278 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1186 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.1119 first. Break there will extend recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1352; (P) 1.1454; (R1) 1.1540; More….

EUR/CHF breached 1.1445 support to as low as 1.1366 and recovered. There is no clear sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.1445 will target next key support zone between 1.11543 and 1.1198. On the upside, above 1.1530 will turn intraday bias back to the upside and bring recovery first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. The cross has met 1.1445 already, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern. However, sustained break of 1.1445 will target next key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9746; (R1) 0.9762; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9835 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9847, and should target 0.9563 support. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9835 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Break of 0.9847 resistance will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1134; (P) 1.1165; (R1) 1.1194; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1119 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1278 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.1119 will extend whole decline from 1.2004 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, focus will stay on 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Sustained break of 1.1154 will argue that fall from 1.2004 is itself a long term down trend. Next target will be 1.0629 support next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1476 resistance holds even in case of rebound.