Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0738; (P) 1.0769; (R1) 1.0798; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.0721 support intact, further rise remains in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound form 1.0602 and target 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0885; (P) 1.0933; (R1) 1.0958; More…..

EUR/CHF’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 1.0880 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.1476 is part of the whole decline from 1.2004. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645. On the upside, above 1.0929 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.1062 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0532; (P) 1.0569; (R1) 1.0589; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend from 1.1149 should target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0481. On the upside, break of 1.0678 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the downside from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next focus is 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0539; (P) 1.0579; (R1) 1.0607; More…

Near term outlook in EUR/CHF remains bearish with 1.0710 resistance intact. Current down trend is in progress for 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, break of 1.0710 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0629 key support should now pave the way to parity next. Overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9413; (P) 0.9449; (R1) 0.9470; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside at this point. Current decline from 1.0095 is in progress for 0.9407 medium term bottom. Decisive break there will confirm larger down trend resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9532 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish with the cross capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9782). Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. On the upside, break of 0.9691 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1167; (P) 1.1186; (R1) 1.1202; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1162 temporary low is extending. For now, further decline is expected as long as 1.1256 minor resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.1154 key fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole downtrend from 1.2004. That should then pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. However, break of 1.1256 will indicate short term bottoming and turn back to the upside for 1.1310 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0742; (P) 1.0776; (R1) 1.0813; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and more sideway consolidation could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.0838 will target 1.0915 high. Firm break there will resume whole rise from 1.0503 to 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. However, break of 1.0712 support will dampen this bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0602, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9675; (P) 0.9716; (R1) 0.9740; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidations below 0.9786. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9557 support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9786 will resume the rally from 0.9252 towards 1.0095 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9535) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9926; (P) 0.9971; (R1) 1.0002; More….

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.0095 is still extending and intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper fall to 0.9873 cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0067 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1451; (P) 1.1476; (R1) 1.1505; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. A short term top should be formed at 1.1537 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, after hitting a key projection level. More corrective trading and deeper fall is expected in near term. Below 1.1411 will target 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1385) and below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0710; (P) 1.0751; (R1) 1.0775; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0744 minor support suggests that rebound from 1.0503 has completed earlier than expected at 1.0915. Intraday bias is now back on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0640). Sustained break there will bring retest of 1.0503 low. On the upside, though, above 1.0799 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.0811 key support turned resistance suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from 1.0503 could either be correcting the down trend from 1.2004. Or it could be starting a new up trend. Focus is now on 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076). Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. Though, rejection by 1.1059/76 will revive medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0674; (P) 1.0684; (R1) 1.0695; More…

As noted before, EUR/CHF’s rebound form 1.0629 should have completed at 1.0823. Intraday bias stays mildly on the downside for 1.0620/29 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume the larger fall from 1.1198. On the upside, above 1.0709 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will be cautiously bearish as long as 1.0761 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet. sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9568; (P) 0.9595; (R1) 0.9634; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally from 0.9252 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. On the downside, below 0.9553 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9622) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF stayed in range below 0.9995 last week but with 0.9837 minor support intact, near term outlook stays cautiously bullish. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Correction from 1.0095 could have completed at 0.9704 already. Break of 0.9995 will affirm this bullish case and target a retest on 1.0095 high. However, break of 0.9837 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.1002) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1259; (P) 1.1285; (R1) 1.1331; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.1224 will resume the decline from 1.1501 to 1.1173 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.1348 resistance should confirm near term reversal and target 1.1501 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9862; (P) 0.9885; (R1) 0.9911; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation below 0.9995 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.9837 minor support holds. Break of 0.9995 will affirm the case that correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Further rally should be seen through 1.0040 to retest 1.0095 high. However, firm break of 0.9837 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.1002) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF jumped to 1.0849 last week but reversed from there. Initial bias is neutral this week with focus on 1.0739 support. Break there will suggest completion of rebound from 1.0602. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting this week. On the upside, though, break of 1.0849 will resume the rise towards 1.0915 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0711; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More….

Further decline is expected in EUR/CHF with 1.0770 resistance intact. Sustained break of 1.0694 low will resume whole down trend from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. On the upside, though, break of 1.0770 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 1.0811 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0597; (P) 1.0617; (R1) 1.0639; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0590 temporary low. Outlook remains bearish with 1.0737 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0590 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9717; (R1) 0.9733; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Strong support should still be seen around 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670 to complete the whole corrective pattern from 1.0095. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will pave the way back to 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).