EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1548; (P) 1.1586; (R1) 1.1612; More… .

With 1.1511 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/CHF. Current rally would target 61.8% projection of 1.0830 to 1.1537 from 1.1355 at 1.1792 next. On the downside, below 1.1511 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0509; (P) 1.0520; (R1) 1.0530; More

Downside momentum in EUR/CHF is unconvincing as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0532 resistance holds. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, though, break of 1.0532 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring lengthier consolidations.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9194; (P) 0.9220; (R1) 0.9268; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside, as rise from 0.9090 is in progress for retesting 0.9372 resistance first. Firm break there will target 0.9471 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9243 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, choppy rise from 0.8925 would still extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9319; (P) 0.9342; (R1) 0.9359; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9252 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9402 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9707; (P) 0.9723; (R1) 0.9756; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance should confirm short term bottoming after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will extend the whole decline from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9938). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0678; (P) 1.0684; (R1) 1.0692; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. But the bearish outlook is unchanged with 1.0734 resistance intact. That is, rebound from 1.0629 has completed at 1.0823. And the larger decline from 1.1198 is likely still in progress. On the downside, below 1.0668 will target 1.0620/29 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume whole fall from 1.1198 and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.0485. Nonetheless, break of 1.0734 will suggest that pull back from 1.0823 is completed and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1819; (P) 1.1883; (R1) 1.1917; More…

EUR/CHF drops sharply to as low as 1.1777 so far today and breaks 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790. Based on current momentum, deeper decline would likely be seen. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 1.1659 and below. On the upside, break of 1.1864 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is corrective the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9556; (P) 0.9583; (R1) 0.9607; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as fall from 0.9691 is extending. Deeper decline would be seen to retest 0.9513 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.0095. On the upside, above 0.9613 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9793). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0375; (P) 1.0391; (R1) 1.0405; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 1.0298 is still extending. Intraday bias stays neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited well below 1.0510 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0298 will extend the down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. However, firm break of 1.0510 will suggests medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound towards 1.0694 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1611; (P) 1.1636; (R1) 1.1652; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 1.1599 minor support will suggest that rebound from 1.1478 is completed. And bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1478 and then a test on 1.1366 short term bottom. On the upside, firm break of 1.1656 will resume the corrective rise from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9439; (P) 0.9463; (R1) 0.9480; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point, as consolidation from 0.9402 might extend further. Overall outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9543 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9745; (R1) 0.9764; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, firm break of 0.9697 will resume larger down trend to 0.9650 long term projection level. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9799 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger rise to 0.9948 resistance. However, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1086; (P) 1.1115; (R1) 1.1133; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in consolidation from 1.1056. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring further decline. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will resume the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1035; (P) 1.1062; (R1) 1.1078; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged as consolidation from 1.1149 is still in progress. Deeper fall could be seen, but downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1515; (P) 1.1550; (R1) 1.1602; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1445 is extending. With 1.1639 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Below 1.1445 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1832 to 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0937; (P) 1.0947; (R1) 1.0961; More…

EUR/CHF edges higher with weak momentum. Intraday bias is cautiously on the upside for 1.0986/0999 resistance zone. Break there will extend whole rally from 1.0629 to 61.8% projection of 1.0652 to 1.0986 from 1.0830 at 1.1036. Meanwhile, below 1.0931 minor support will bring more consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0538; (P) 1.0555; (R1) 1.0580; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.0602. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0439 support holds. A medium term bottom should be in place at 1.0298 already. Above 1.0602 will target 28.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623 first. Sustained trading above there will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0824 next. However, break of 1.0439 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.0298 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that a medium term bottom is formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0962; (P) 1.0981; (R1) 1.0996; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as price actions from 1.0811 low are seen as a consolidation pattern. While further rise cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1375; (P) 1.1410; (R1) 1.1440; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.1361 minor support suggest rejection by 1.1452 resistance. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downsides for retesting 1.1154/98. On the upside, decisive break of 1.1452 resistance should confirm bullish reversal, after drawing strong support from 1.1154/98 zone. In that case, outlook will be turned bullish for 1.1713 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0842; (P) 1.0874; (R1) 1.0892; More….

EUR/CHF retreated quickly after edging higher to 1.0902 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 1.0902 will resume the rise from 1.0694 to 1.0985 resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 1.0833 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0694 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0858) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will bring retest of 1.1149 high instead.