EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9915; (P) 0.9922; (R1) 0.9930; More….

EUR/CHF’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 0.9252 should target 100% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. On the downside, below 0.9880 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9728 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0773; (P) 1.0806; (R1) 1.0827; More….

The break of 1.0818 support dampened our bullish view. Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned back to the downside for 1.0735 support. Break there will extend the sideway pattern from 1.0915 with another falling leg. On the upside, though, break of 1.8920 resistance will target 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1359; (P) 1.1379; (R1) 1.1405; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the upside at this point. rebound from 1.1242 short term bottom is still in progress for 1.1489 support turned resistance. Firm break there will add some credence in near term reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. On the downside, below 1.1329 minor support, however, will suggests completion of the rebound. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1242 low. And focus is back on 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0744; (P) 1.0764; (R1) 1.0783; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for sideway trading. Further rise is in favor with 1.0712 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0838 will target 1.0915 resistance next. However, break of 1.0712 will suggest that rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0616; (P) 1.0657; (R1) 1.0684; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point and further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 1.0623 will resume the decline from 1.0915 to retest 1.0503 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0711 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded further to as high as 1.0400 last week, but retreated ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.0400 would resume the rebound to 1.0610 key structural resistance. However, break of 1.0184 minor support will argue that the rebound is finished, and bring retest of 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0909).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0998; (P) 1.1010; (R1) 1.1030; More

No change in EUR/CHF as it’s bounded in consolidation from 1.0811. In case of further rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0967 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0058; (P) 1.0118; (R1) 1.0190; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9970. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 1.0298 support turned resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.9970 will target 161.8% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 0.9578.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1584; (P) 1.1644; (R1) 1.1706; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside with 1.1668 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 1.2004 should target key support level at 1.1445. We’d expect strong support from here to bring rebound, at least, on first attempt. On the upside, above 1.1668 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staying another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9388; (P) 0.9407; (R1) 0.9425; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is mildly on the downside at this point. Deeper pullback could be seen but downside should be contained above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9471 will resume the rebound from 0.9252, as a correction to whole decline from 1.0095. Next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Another decline is in favor after rebound from 0.9252 completes. However, firm break of 0.9683, and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9659) will argue that EUR/CHF is already in a medium term rally, even as a corrective move.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it stayed in consolidation below 1.1740 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. After all, near term outlook remains bullish as long as 1.1630 support holds. Above 1.1740 will target a test on 1.1832 high. At this point, we’ll stay cautious strong resistance from there to bring another fall. Corrective pattern from 1.1832 might still have an attempt on 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372) before completion. On the downside, below 1.1630 minor support will target 1.1445 low again.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0745; (P) 1.0771; (R1) 1.0791; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as fall from 1.0890 is in progress. Decisive break of 1.0737 support will confirm the start of another falling leg inside the pattern from 1.0915. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.0658 support. On the upside, above 1.0813 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9798; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9864; More

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9846 resistance suggests that fall form 0.9995 has completed at 0.9774, well ahead of 0.9704 low. The development also argue revive the case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9876) will affirm this bullish case, and target 0.9995 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0509; (P) 1.0519; (R1) 1.0526; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the downside. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, above 1.0551 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.0653 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0118; (P) 1.0151; (R1) 1.0213; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. On the upside, break of 1.0204 minor resistance will argue that pull back form 1.0400 has completed already. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 1.0400 first. Break will resume whole rebound from 0.9970 towards 1.0610 resistance. On the downside, though, below 1.0086 will resume the fall towards 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped further to 1.1119 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.1278 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1119 will extend recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0214; (P) 1.0242; (R1) 1.0294; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Another decline cannot be ruled out as consolidative pattern from 1.0400 extends. Below 1.0186 will target 1.0086 support. On the upside, above 1.0289 will target 1.0369/0400 resistance zone. Firm break there will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9783; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9816; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Whole correction from 1.0995 could have completed at 0.9670 already. Further rally should be seen to 0.9878 resistance first. Firm break there should confirm this bullish case. On the downside, however, break of 0.9744 support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9924). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0140; (P) 1.0167; (R1) 1.0198; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery. But outlook is unchanged that corrective rebound from 0.9970 should have completed after failing 1.0505 long term resistance. Risk stays on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds. On the downside, below 1.0096 will target a retest on 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0880; (P) 1.0903; (R1) 1.0915; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Sustained trading below 1.0915 resistance turned support will argue that whole rise from 1.0505 has completed at 1.11490. Deeper decline is on track to next support zone at 1.0737, (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751). On the upside, through, above 1.0925 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0505 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed,. Rejection by 55 month EMA would also keep long term outlook bearish.