EUR/CHF extended the consolidation from 0.9691 last week and outlook is basically unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 0.9691 will resume whole rise from 0.9513 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9513 at 0.9735. However, firm break of 0.9611 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9513 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9793). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0368). Break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1948; (P) 1.1976; (R1) 1.2004; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral with focus on 1.2 key resistance. Further rally is expected as long as 1.1888 minor support holds. Firm break of 1.2 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2003 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9317; (P) 0.9331; (R1) 0.9349; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9252 is still in progress. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9402 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9642; (P) 0.9657; (R1) 0.9680; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as recovery from 0.9530 extends. But outlook remains bearish with 0.9864 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9715; (P) 0.9739; (R1) 0.9758; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9697 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. While further fall cannot be ruled out, some support might be seen from 0.9650 long term projection level to bring rebound. Break of 0.9948 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. nevertheless, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1205; (P) 1.1223; (R1) 1.1237; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and corrective recovery from 1.1162 might extend. But still, as long as 1.1256 minor resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish and further decline is expected. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1154 key fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole downtrend from 1.2004. That should then pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. However, break of 1.1256 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1310 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1331; (P) 1.1343; (R1) 1.1364; More….

EUR/CHF’s rise from 1.1162 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.1384 resistance. Break will target 1.1444 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1281 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1162 low.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds. However, decisive break of 1.1444 will indicate completion of fall from 1.2004 and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9864; (P) 0.9885; (R1) 0.9922; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation below 0.9953. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9798 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9953 will resume the rise from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9407. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9641 support holds, even as a corrective rebound. Next target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Reaction from there, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0121) will reveal whether the trend is reversing.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9831; (P) 0.9852; (R1) 0.9869; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is extending. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1535; (P) 1.1567; (R1) 1.1626; More…

EUR/CHF reaches as high as 1.1603 so far as rebound from 1.1445 extends. However, price actions from 1.1445 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Hence, intraday bias remains neutral. Also, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1639 resistance holds. On the downside, break of will resume the corrective fall from 1.1832 and target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nevertheless, break of 1.1639 will suggest short term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1832 high.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9554; (P) 0.9576; (R1) 0.9616; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9849). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9521; (P) 0.9537; (R1) 0.9552; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues above 0.9513. With 0.9601 resistance intact, larger down trend is still in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 0.9513 support will confirm this bearish case and target 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF’s rally accelerated to as high as 0.9786 last week. But a temporary top should be formed after hitting 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9557 support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9786 will resume the rally towards 1.0095 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9535) holds.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9295; (P) 0.9329; (R1) 0.9351; More…

EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9471 is trying to resume and intraday bias is back on the downside. While deeper decline could be seen, strong support is still expected above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9363 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 0.9471 will resume the rebound from 0.9252 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Another decline is in favor after rebound from 0.9252 completes. However, firm break of 0.9683, and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9638) will argue that EUR/CHF is already in a medium term rally, even as a corrective move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0512; (P) 1.0522; (R1) 1.0529; More…

EUR/CHF is still staying in consolidation from 1.0503. Intraday bias remains neutral and another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Stronger rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1952; (P) 1.1969; (R1) 1.1984; More…

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.2004 is still unfolding and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But further rise is expected as long as 1.1888 minor support holds. Decisive break 1.2 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2003 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9787; (P) 0.9812; (R1) 0.9837; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral again with current retreat. on the upside, firm break of 0.9847 resistance will resume larger rise from 0.9252 to 61.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9931 next. However, break of 0.9748 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9847 with another falling leg instead.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9644) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0182; (P) 1.0212; (R1) 1.0235; More….

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum but there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains mildly on the downside. Fall from 1.0369 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.0400. Deeper decline could be seen to 1.0086 support. On the upside, above 1.0289 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 1.0400 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9320; (P) 0.9341; (R1) 0.9372; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 0.9471 could still extend lower, but downside should be contained above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9363 minor resistance will argue that the correction from 0.9471 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9471 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1509; (P) 1.1534; (R1) 1.1574; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1445 is extending. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1639 resistance holds. On the downside, break of will resume the corrective fall from 1.1832 and target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.