Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1721; (P) 1.1743; (R1) 1.1781; More….

EUR/CHF’s decline resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as low as 1.1654 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1659 will pave to way to key support level at 1.1445. We’d expect strong support from here to bring rebound, at least, on first attempt. On the upside, above 1.1705 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staying another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1265; (P) 1.1295; (R1) 1.1352; More…

EUR/CHF rises to as high as 1.1335 so far as rebound from 1.1181 extends. The break of near term channel resistance is a sign of bullish reversal. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 1.1348 resistance first. Break will confirm completion of whole decline from 1.1501 and should target retesting this resistance. On the downside, break of 1.1278 will turn bias neutral again. Overall, in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 support zone to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0803; (P) 1.0812; (R1) 1.0827; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Another rise is expected as long as 1.0788 minor support holds. Break of 1.0831 will target 1.0890/0915 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503. On the downside, though, break of 1.0788 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0737 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0697; (P) 1.0727; (R1) 1.0745; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 1.0677 and intraday bias remains neutral. Above 1.0762 will extend the corrective rise from 1.0677. But overall, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0897 resistance holds. Corrective pattern from 1.1198 is still in progress and another fall is expected. Below 1.0677 will target key support level at 1.0620 next. Though, decisive break of 1.0897 resistance will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to be the sign of completion of the correction. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

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EUR/CHF stayed in range last week and despite, a steep dip to 1.1519, no follow through selling was seen. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Near term outlook is unchanged that the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend with at least one more decline. One the downside, break of 1.1505 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1366 low first. Above 1.1656 will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But, we’ll we’ll look for reversal signal above 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1417; (P) 1.1433; (R1) 1.1456; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside. Current rise from 1.1242 short term bottom is target 1.1489 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will add to the case of trend reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. Further rise should then be seen to 1.1713 resistance. On the downside, below 1.1329 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1242 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1819; (P) 1.1883; (R1) 1.1917; More…

EUR/CHF drops sharply to as low as 1.1777 so far today and breaks 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790. Based on current momentum, deeper decline would likely be seen. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 1.1659 and below. On the upside, break of 1.1864 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is corrective the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0539; (P) 1.0579; (R1) 1.0607; More…

Near term outlook in EUR/CHF remains bearish with 1.0710 resistance intact. Current down trend is in progress for 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, break of 1.0710 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0629 key support should now pave the way to parity next. Overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0975; (P) 1.0991; (R1) 1.1005; More…

Immediate focus is now on 1.0974 support in EUR/CHF. Break will indicate completion of corrective rebound from 1.0811. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0811. On the upside, in case off another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1279; (P) 1.1309; (R1) 1.1364; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1342 resistance suggests that rebound from 1.1178 has resumed. Also, it affirms the case of bullish reversal after hitting 1.1154/98 key support zone. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1452 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 11.1154/98 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0715; (P) 1.0762; (R1) 1.0842; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside as rise from 1.0661 is in progress. Consolidation pattern from 1.0915 might have completed with three waves to 1.0661. Further rise should now be seen to 1.0877 resistance for confirmation. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503. However, below 1.0772 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0367; (P) 1.0385; (R1) 1.0409; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 0.9970 is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. Firm break there will target 1.0610 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1379; (P) 1.1396; (R1) 1.1421; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1429 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1347 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.1429 will extend the rise from 1.1181 to retest 1.1501 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, with double bottom pattern (1.1173, 1.1181) Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumed last week and dipped to 1.0298, but quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited well below 1.0510 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0298 will extend the down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.0967) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

EUR/CHF rebounded further to as high as 1.0400 last week, but retreated ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.0400 would resume the rebound to 1.0610 key structural resistance. However, break of 1.0184 minor support will argue that the rebound is finished, and bring retest of 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0909).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0998; (P) 1.1010; (R1) 1.1030; More…

No change in EUR/CHF as it’s bounded in consolidation from 1.0811. In case of further rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0967 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0058; (P) 1.0118; (R1) 1.0190; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9970. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 1.0298 support turned resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.9970 will target 161.8% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 0.9578.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0790; (P) 1.0805; (R1) 1.0820; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation inside1.0721/0877. Further rise is expected as long as 1.0721 support holds. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further rally is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0409; (P) 1.0430; (R1) 1.0455; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.0324 short term bottom would target 55 day EMA (now at 1.0472). Sustained break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0936 to 1.0324 at 1.0558. On the downside, below 1.0397 minor support will bring retest of 1.0324 low instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1599 last week but upside momentum has been unconvincing. The rebound from 1.1478 so far looks rather correctively. Hence, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.1656 will resume the rebound from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. For now, we’d expect at least one more falling leg before the correction from 1.2004 completes. Below 1.1478 will turn bias to the downside for 1.1366 and below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.