Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9748; (P) 0.9781; (R1) 0.9824; More..

EUR/CHF’s rally from 0.9252 resumed by breaking 0.9785 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should be seen towards 1.0095 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9689 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9535) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0581; (P) 1.0607; (R1) 1.0629; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.0504 is extended to extend higher. Break of 1.0662 will target 1.0710 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1059 to 1.0503 at 1.0715). However, break of 1.0578 minor support will bring retest of 1.0503 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, we’d still expect larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) to extend lower to parity. However, Firm break of 1.0811 should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.0503. Stronger rise should be seen back to 1.1059 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9732; (P) 0.9758; (R1) 0.9791; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9697. While further fall cannot be ruled out, some support might be seen from 0.9650 long term projection level to bring rebound. Break of 0.9948 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9751; (P) 0.9764; (R1) 0.9785; More…

EUR/CHF’s correction from 0.9995 might extend lower. But downside should be contained above 0.9704 to bring rebound. Whole corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. On the upside, break of 0.9847 resistances will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rally back to 0.9995.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9971) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1174; (P) 1.1190; (R1) 1.1213; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1119 temporary low is extending. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1278 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1119 will extend recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1055; (P) 1.1079; (R1) 1.1105; More….

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.1149 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another retreat cannot be ruled out. But outlook stays bullish for another rally as long as 1.0954 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly to as high as 1.0797 last week and retreated after forming a temporary top there. Corrective pull back from 1.0915 should have completed at 1.0602. Initial bias is neutral this week first, and further rise is expected as long as 1.0701 minor support holds. On the upside, above 1.0797 will target 1.0915 resistance next. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0701 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1538; (P) 1.1588; (R1) 1.1616; More….

EUR/CHF lost momentum after hitting 1.1639 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. With 1.1505 minor support intact, rebound from 1.1366 is in favor to extend. Above 1.1639 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. We’ll look for topping signal above there though. On the downside, however, break of 1.1505 will suggest that the rebound is completed. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1366.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0709; (P) 1.0729; (R1) 1.0739; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and further fall is expected with 1.0749 resistance intact. Current decline from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.0915. On the downside, break of 1.0688 will turn bias to the downside for 1.0602 support next. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.0749 will mix up the near term outlook, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9539; (P) 0.9552; (R1) 0.9569; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook also remains bearish for now. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9513 will resume the decline from 1.0095, towards 0.9407 low. However, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9818). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF rebounded after retreating to 0.9641 last week, but upside stays below 0.9798 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9798 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9641 support holds.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). In case of resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0547; (P) 1.0580; (R1) 1.0608; More….

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.0610 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0439 support holds. A medium term bottom should be in place at 1.0298 already. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0824 next. However, break of 1.0439 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.0298 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that a medium term bottom is formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0940; (P) 1.0969; (R1) 1.1024; More…

EUR/CHF’s corrective rise from 1.0811 extends higher today further rebound could be seen. But still, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.0912 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside first. Further break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1249; (P) 1.1269; (R1) 1.1293; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. We’re still slightly favoring the case the choppy decline from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1181 already. On the upside, break of 1.1348 will confirm this bullish case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.1501 next. On the downside, in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 support zone to contain downside to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1644; (P) 1.1676; (R1) 1.1732; More…

Intraday bias remains on the upside in EUR/CHF. The rebound from 1.1366 is expected to extend higher. But such rebound is seen as a corrective move, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. On the downside, below 1.1618 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1478 support and below to extend the corrective pattern from 1.2004. However, sustained trading above 1.1760 will pave the way to retest 1.2004 high next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

EUR/CHF turned sideway after dipping to 1.0365 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidation first. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0511 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1015) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0352; (P) 1.0369; (R1) 1.0392; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0298 is extending. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 1.0510 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.0298 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF’s decline from 1.0890 resumed last week and reached as low as 1.0748 so far. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.0737 support first. Decisive break there will confirm the start of another falling leg inside the pattern from 1.0915. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.0658 support. On the upside, above 1.0813 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9731; (P) 0.9747; (R1) 0.9755; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside break of 0.9840 will resume the rebound from 0.9670. That will also revive the case that whole corrective decline from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9670. Further rally should be seen to 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained trading below 0.9670 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9913). Down trend form 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9584; (P) 0.9633; (R1) 0.9663; More….

EUR/CHF drops notably today but stays above 0.9530 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, outlook remains bearish with 0.9864 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.