EUR/CHF dropped to as low as 0.9943 last week and breached 0.9970 low. But a temporary low was formed and it quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, sustained trading below 0.9970 will resume larger down trend for 0.9650 long term projection level. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0155 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0840).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1204; (P) 1.1224; (R1) 1.1260; More….

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.1119 extends further but outlook is unchanged. Upside should be limited below 1.1278 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.1186 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.1119 first. Break there will extend recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9783; (P) 0.9812; (R1) 0.9834; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9763 minor support argues that recovery from 0.9670 has completed as a correction to 0.9840 Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.9670 low. Sustained break there will resume the whole fall from 1.0095. Nevertheless, break of 0.9840 will resume the rebound to 0.9878 resistance.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9924). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0941; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.1002; More…

EUR/CHF is still staying in corrective rise from 1.0811. Further rebound cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.0912 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside first. Further break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9693; (P) 0.9719; (R1) 0.9734; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 0.9697 will resume larger down trend to 0.9650 long term projection level. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9799 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger rise to 0.9948 resistance. However, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9565; (P) 0.9589; (R1) 0.9602; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9647 will resume the rebound from 0.9520. Further sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9849). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1955; (P) 1.1974; (R1) 1.2004; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally extends today and reaches as high as 1.1996 so far, just inch below 1.2 handle. While it’s staying to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, intraday bias stays on the upside as long as 1.1959 minor support holds. Sustained break of 1.2 will extend the current up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. On the downside, below 1.1959 will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.1832 should now extend the medium term up trend through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. 2013 high at 1.2649 should be the next target. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1445 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0669; (P) 1.0682; (R1) 1.0699; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0665. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. As long as 1.0788 resistance holds, larger down trend might extend lower. But strong support is expected at 1.0629, which is close to 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0788 will confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias to the upside.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and sustained break will put parity back into focus. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF’s fall last week suggests that corrective rebound from 1.0324 has completed at 1.0510 already. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.0324 first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, above 1.0401 minor resistance will extend the corrective pattern with another rise leg. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0936 to 1.0324 at 1.0558.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.0967) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 0.9416 extend higher last week. A short term bottom should be formed on bullish convergence condition in 4 H MACD, just ahead of 0.9407 medium term bottom. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9571) will bring further rise to 0.9691 key structural resistance. On the downside, though, below 0.9457 support will bring retest of 0.9407/16 zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm resumption, and target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. On the upside, break of 0.9691 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0362). Break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

EUR/CHF stayed in sideway consolidation in tight range last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further rise is in favor with 1.0772 minor support intact. Consolidation pattern from 1.0915 should have completed with three waves to 1.0661. On the upside, break of 1.0827 will target 1.0877 resistance to confirm this bullish case. However, break of 1.0772 support will likely extend the pattern with another falling leg and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9840; (P) 0.9865; (R1) 0.9899; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom are currently seen as a corrective pattern, rather than trend reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9826; (P) 0.9882; (R1) 0.9909; More….

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation pattern from 0.9953 and intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled, but downside should be contained by 0.9798 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9953 will resume the rise from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9407. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9641 support holds, even as a corrective rebound. Next target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Reaction from there, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0121) will reveal whether the trend is reversing.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0042; (P) 1.0086; (R1) 1.0117; More….

EUR/CHF’s fall continues today and breaches parity to as low as 0.9990 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for retesting 0.9970 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, however, above 1.0214 minor resistance will delay the bearish case, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1012; (P) 1.1065; (R1) 1.1097; More….

EUR/CHF’s correction from 1.1149 is extending lower today. Intraday bias remains neutral first. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, further rally is expected as long as 1.0954 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9846; (P) 0.9889; (R1) 0.9912; More….

EUR/CHF’s decline continues today and immediate focus is now on 0.9832. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.9892 minor resistance, will argue that fall from 1.0040 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0040/95 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 0.9832 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9407 low again.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9832 support intact, rise from 0.9407 (2022 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0095 and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0021) will be a medium term bullish signal, and bring further rally to 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF dropped to as low as 1.0608 last week, before forming a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0737 resistance holds. Break of 1.0608 will extend larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1721; (P) 1.1743; (R1) 1.1781; More….

EUR/CHF’s decline accelerates to as low as 1.1580 so far and breaks 61.8% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1659 decisively. There is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside for key support level at 1.1445. We’d expect strong support from here to bring rebound, at least, on first attempt. On the upside, above 1.1668 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staying another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9643; (P) 0.9712; (R1) 0.9754; More….

EUR/CHF’s fall from 0.9928 extended lower last week and touched 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9670. Strong support is expected from this fibonacci level to bring rebound. Break of 0.9740 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will bring deeper fall to 0.9563 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9446; (P) 0.9459; (R1) 0.9472; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen but further rally is expected as long as 0.9404 minor support holds. Above 0.9471 will resume the rebound from 0.9252, as a correction to whole decline from 1.0095. Next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. However, break of 0.9404 will turn bias to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Another decline is in favor after rebound from 0.9252 completes. However, firm break of 0.9683, and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9659) will argue that EUR/CHF is already in a medium term rally, even as a corrective move.