Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1533; (P) 1.1566; (R1) 1.1598; More….

Focus in EUR/CHF is now on 1.1505 minor support with the current fall. Break will confirm completion of the rebound from 1.1366. And, corrective pattern from 1.2004 would then extend with the third leg, through 1.1366 low. On the upside, above 1.1656 will extend the rebound from 1.1366. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0354; (P) 1.0403; (R1) 1.0472; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 0.9970 should target 100% projection of 0.9970 to 1.0086 from 1.0400 at 1.0516 next. On the downside, below 1.0331 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.0186 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0507; (P) 1.0517; (R1) 1.0536; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumes and hits as long as 1.0446 so far. The break of 1.0505 long term support should confirm resumption of long term down trend. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, above 1.0527 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Focus is now on 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9858; (P) 0.9884; (R1) 0.9918; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is in progress. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9594; (P) 0.9633; (R1) 0.9666; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and further decline is expected with 0.9698 resistance intact. Break of 0.9550 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, however, break of 0.9698 will confirm short term bottoming. Bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound, towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9842).

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF recovered last week after hitting 1.1310 and drew support from near term trend line. Intraday bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

In the long term picture, as long as key support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 holds, A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium to long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.0832 extended higher to 1.0928 last week. While such recovery was stronger than expected, it’s nevertheless still see as correction and could have completed. Initial bias is on the downside this week for 1.0832. Break will resume larger down trend from 1.2004. On the upside, break of 1.0928 will extend the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.1021). But, in that case, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078 to bring down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0135; (P) 1.0188; (R1) 1.0220; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0184 minor support argues that rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0400 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. Rejection by 55 day EMA also revives near term bearishness. Intraday bias is now back on the downside for retesting 0.9970 low. On the upside however, above 1.0242 minor resistance will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0518; (P) 1.0528; (R1) 1.0543; More…

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.0503 extends higher today and further rise could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0598). But upside should be limited below 1.0653 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9340; (P) 0.9361; (R1) 0.9375; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays mildly on the upside for the moment, as rebound from 0.9304 extends today. As noted before, pullback from 0.9471 could have completed at 0.9304 already. Rise from there would extend to 0.9471 resistance first. On the downside, break of 0.9337 will delay this bullish case, and bring another decline. But still, downside should be contained above 0.9252 low to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0913; (P) 1.0946; (R1) 1.0966; More…

EUR/CHF’s decline accelerates to as low as 1.0909 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. As noted before, corrective rise from 1.0811 should have completed at 1.1059 already. Further fall should be seen back to retest 1.0811 low. On the upside, above 1.0957 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. In case of another rise, we’d still expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF edged lower to 0.9550 but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first but further decline is expected as long as 0.9689 resistance holds. Break of 0.9550 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, however, break of 0.9698 will confirm short term bottoming. Bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound, towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9850).

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0794; (P) 1.0814; (R1) 1.0828; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat. Another rise is expected as long as 1.0788 minor support holds. Break of 1.0831 will target 1.0890/0915 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503. On the downside, though, break of 1.0788 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0737 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1222; (P) 1.1263; (R1) 1.1286; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. In case of deeper fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring reversal. On the upside, above 1.1342 will target 1.1452 resistance first. Break should confirm that whole decline from 1.2004 has completed a target 1.1713 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.0610 last week but the fall from there accelerated to close at 1.0487. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Break of 1.0439 support will argue that rebound from 1.0298 has completed, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623. Deeper fall will then be seen back to retest 1.0298 lower. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0623 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0824 next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0673) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

In the long term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.0967) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 could still extend lower as long as 1.1149 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9591; (P) 0.9611; (R1) 0.9634; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen. But further rally is expected as long as 0.9510 support holds. Above 0.9630 will resume the rebound from 0.9252 to 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.9510 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9622) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9666; (P) 0.9704; (R1) 0.9733; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the downside. Correction from 0.9847 could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9620. But strong support is expected from there to contain downside to bring rebound, and set the range for the consolidation pattern from 0.9847. On the upside, above 0.9745 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9847 instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9639) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0956; (P) 1.0984; (R1) 1.1000; More….

EUR/CHF is still staying in consolidation pattern from 1.1149 and intraday bias remains neutral. We’d expect strong support from 1.0954 bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0954 will be the first signal of larger reversal and turn focus to 1.0915 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9687; (P) 0.9704; (R1) 0.9729; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. Strong support is still expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9670 to bring rebound. Break of 0.9740 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will bring deeper fall to 0.9563 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0795; (P) 1.0814; (R1) 1.0830; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0782 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.0860 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 1.0782 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn bias to the upside for recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.